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Market and Company News
10.05.2005 11:08

ANALYSIS: In April of 2005 volume of CS purchase and sale deals at KASE grew by 5.1% to $132.5 m.

/IRBIS, Assel Omarova, May 10, 05/ - In April of 2005 at the Kazakhstan stock exchange (KASE) 517 deals were made in corporate securities (CS) in all sectors of the market (excluding repo-transactions sector) for a total of KZT17,395.1 m. or $132.5 m. at the current rate effective on deals making dates. The stated sum is 1.9% of monthly exchange turnover (in March of 2005 - 2.3%).

In comparison with March of 2005 volume of transactions has grown by $6,446.1 th. (by KZT925.9 m.) or by 5.11% (by 5.62% in terms of tenge). Relative to April of 2004 trade volume has increased by $69,880.4 th. (KZT8,744.1 m.) or 2.12 times (2.01 times in terms of tenge).

Structure of CS turnover at KASE in April is presented in the following way: 3.4% of transactions volume ($4,547.9 th.) fell to the stake of primary floatations, 96.6% ($127,934.8 th.) - to the stake of purchase and sale sector. Structure of exchange's CS market in March of 2005 was as follows: 100% of all conducted deals fell to the stake of purchase and sale sector.

SHARE MARKET

Volume of deals in this segment rose in April 3.3 times or by $55.4 m. to the equivalent of $79.1 m. Number of shares involved into deals in April grew from 26 to 31, and number of deals fell from 212 to 210.

In analyzed period 63.8% of deals in shares in quantitative expression and 79.7% in volumetric expression were direct. Corresponding indicators of March - 39.6% and 94.8%.

5% of total number of shares, which were included in KASE's trade lists as of the end of April 2005 (i.e. 4 shares - ATFBp8, VTBN, CCBN and BTAS), formed 78.3% of exchange's turnover of share market, including primary offerings. Similar indicator of March - 68.1%, February - 51.9%.

April's "Top-5" leading by volume of made transactions comprised: ATFBp8 (47.5% of share turnover), VTBN (13.8%), CCBN (10.0%), BTAS (7.0%) and KKGBp (3.9%). In comparison with March only CCBN and VTBN have preserved their positions. In March first 5 positions were occupied by CCBN (27.4%), ORDB (16.8%), NFBN (12.6%), VTBN (11.3%) and ASFI (5.6%).

By the number of executed deals, the indicator that adequately reflects shares' liquidity, in April VTBN (42 deals) was the leader. It followed by KKGBp (32), CCBN (15), ZERD (14) and NFBN (11). n March first five positions of the rating comprised KKGBp (49), ASFI (49), TEBN (14), ROSA (11) and NFBN (11)

Within the month weighted average daily prices of 12 shares out of 31 ones involved into deals grew, prices of 11 fell, prices of 8 shares remained on the same level. BTASp grew most highly (1.6 times), ASFI fell most deeply (by 30.9%).

CORPORATE BOND MARKET

Relative to March 2005 volume of deals has fallen 1.9 times (by $48,986.1 th.) to $53.4 m. Range of securities involved into deals shrank to 43 (51 - in March), number of deals has risen from 211 to 307. The stake of direct deals was 23.8% of transactions in quantitative expression and 7.1% in volumetric. In March - 27.5% and 29.4%.

5% of bonds, which were included in KASE's trade lists as of the end of April (5 securities - KZIKb3, BTASb4, HSBKb8, ASFIb5 and KZNHb2), formed 47.1% of the exchange's turnover including primary offerings. Similar indicator of market's concentration in March was 59.2%, in February - 52.5%. In April 16 instruments had higher than USD1 m. turnover (in March - 20). ASFIb5 were leading by the number of made deals (37 deals). They were BTASb4 (25), KZALb1 (23), TEBNb2 (22) and TXBNb2 (22). In comparison with March only BTASb4 preserved position of leader.

In April weighted average daily prices of 27 securities out of 43 ones involved into deals grew, prices of 13 - fell. There was nothing to compare prices of 3 new bonds with. BTASb3 grew most highly (by 11.8%), KZIKb4 fell most deeply (by 9.0%). Only one bond showed growth of weighted average daily dirty prices by 5% and more, whereas 2 securities showed a considerable falling of prices. Yields of 17 bonds to maturity for a buyer grew in April, yields of 23 - fell.

Below are statistical and supplemental information characterizing the CS market at KASE in April of 2005.

Change of KASE's securities lists in April of 2005 (by the end of month, change for the month)

--------------------------------------------------
                 Shares:       Bonds:     Issuers:
Category of ------ ----- ------ ----- ------ -----
admission   number trend number trend number trend
----------- ------ ----- ------ ----- ------ -----
A               46    +1    101    +6     54    +2
B               39    +2      8     0     35    +2
----------- ------ ----- ------ ----- ------ -----
A+B             85    +3    109    +6     86    +3
----------- ------ ----- ------ ----- ------ -----
N                3     0      0     0      3     0
----------- ------ ----- ------ ----- ------ -----
TOTAL           88    +3    109    +6     87    +3
--------------------------------------------------

Notes: "A" - official "A" listing category; "B" - official "B" listing category; "A+B" - official list; "N" - "Non-listing securities" sector.

Most tradable CS at KASE in April of 2005 (purchase and sale only, excluding deals in SBS and including primary floatations)

-------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                         Volume of deals:
Code     Brief                         --------- --------   Num- Market   Price
of       name of                             th.       m. ber of share, change,
security issuer                              USD      KZT  deals      %       %
-------- ----------------------------- --------- -------- ------ ------ -------
ATFBp8   ATFBank JSC                    37,549.9  4,929.5      8  28.34   +4.71
VTBN     Valut-Tranzit-Bank JSC         10,948.2  1,433.2     42   8.26   -8.52
CCBN     Bank CenterCredit JSC           7,889.4  1,035.5     15   5.96   +4.45
KZIKb3   Kazakhstan Mortgage
         Company JSC "                   7,651.0  1,004.3      6   5.78   -1.20
BTAS     Bank TuranAlem JSC              5,550.0    729.9      7   4.19  -13.89
BTASb4   Bank TuranAlem JSC              5,310.5    696.3     25   4.01   -0.55
HSBKb8   Halyk savings bank of
         Kazakhstan JSC                  4,547.9    597.8      3   3.43       -
ASFIb5   Astana-Finance JSC              4,419.2    580.9     37   3.34   +1.33
KZNHb2   Kazneftekhim JSC                3,218.3    420.5      2   2.43   -0.18
KKGBp    Kazkommertsbank JSC             3,119.7    410.0     32   2.35   +0.01
ORDB     Ordabasy JSC                    3,002.8    394.3      3   2.27  -10.00
HSBKb5   Halyk savings bank of
         Kazakhstan JSC                  2,611.5    344.7      2   1.97   +1.97
HRLT     CHARALTYN JSC                   2,505.0    328.1      8   1.89  -17.85
KKGBb2   Kazkommertsbank JSC             2,402.4    316.2      3   1.81   +1.40
ASBNb1   Alliance Bank JSC               2,396.5    314.7      2   1.81   +2.69
HSBKb2   Halyk savings bank of
         Kazakhstan JSC                  2,280.4    300.8     14   1.72   -2.78
KZALb1   Mining and metallurgical
         concern Kazakhaltyn JSC         2,072.2    271.9     23   1.56   +0.91
ATFBb4   ATFBank JSC                     1,741.0    228.8      7   1.31   +1.68
NRBNb4   Nurbank JSC                     1,544.8    204.4      1   1.17       -
BTASb3   Bank TuranAlem JSC              1,520.8    200.0      2   1.15  +11.75
KZIKb7   Kazakhstan Mortgage
         Company JSC "                   1,519.0    200.7      2   1.15   +0.07
BTAIb3   BTA Mortgage JSC                1,512.9    197.4      1   1.14       -
NFBN     Neftebank JSC                   1,506.5    197.4     11   1.14       0
KKAGb1   Kazakhstan Kagazy JSC           1,477.4    194.4      8   1.12   -0.13
NRBNp6   Nurbank JSC                     1,258.0    166.2      2   0.95   +0.07
TSBN     Tcesnabank JSC                  1,201.5    157.6      7   0.91       0
ROSA     ROSA JSC                        1,143.8    150.0      3   0.86       0
KZIKb4   Kazakhstan Mortgage
         Company JSC "                     988.3    129.8      1   0.75   -8.95
VTBNb2   Valut-Tranzit-Bank JSC            964.4    126.0      3   0.73   +0.16
BTASp    Bank TuranAlem JSC                927.8    121.4      4   0.70  +62.86
BTAIb1   BTA Mortgage JSC                  641.8     84.2      7   0.48   -0.69
KARMb2   Karazhanbasmunai JSC              630.5     83.1      5   0.48   +3.83
ASFI     Astana-Finance JSC                607.8     79.6      8   0.46  -30.93
KZIKb5   Kazakhstan Mortgage
         Company JSC "                     596.4     78.3      1   0.45   -2.69
ASFIb3   Astana-Finance JSC                472.1     62.0      1   0.36   +0.61
VTZL     Kazyuvelirprom JSC                459.5     60.6      6   0.35  -25.00
UKPFb1   UST-KAMENOGORSK POULTRY FIRM JSC
                                           444.0     58.3     10   0.34   +0.06
ZERD     Zerde OJSC                        438.8     57.7     14   0.33  +30.00
KZASb2   KOSTANAI MINERALS JSC
                                           375.1     49.2     10   0.28   +0.37
CCBNb6   Bank CenterCredit JSC             350.1     46.3      1   0.26   +2.45
VTBNp    Valut-Tranzit-Bank JSC            349.9     45.8      7   0.26   -8.86
TXBNb3   TEXAKABANK JSC                    302.7     39.5      1   0.23   +0.34
ALKSb2   Almaty Kus OJSC                   285.4     37.8     10   0.22   +1.89
BTAIb2   BTA Mortgage JSC                  228.4     30.1      1   0.17   +0.02
KZTK     Kazakhtelecom JSC                 218.4     28.8      2   0.16   -1.37
HSBK     Halyk savings bank of
         Kazakhstan JSC                    207.7     27.3      9   0.16  +55.92
ORDBb1   Corporation Ordabasy JSC          165.9     21.8     18   0.13   +0.90
TEBNb2   Temirbank JSC                     134.2     17.6     22   0.10   +0.11
TEBNb    Temirbank JSC                     103.1     13.5      4   0.08   +0.96
TXBNb2   TEXAKABANK OJSC                    94.1     12.4     22   0.07   +0.60
KZZN     KAZZINC JSC                        75.6     10.0      6   0.06  +29.35
BTASb1   Bank TuranAlem JSC                 71.9      9.4      3   0.05   +1.54
HSBKb3   Halyk savings bank of
         Kazakhstan JSC                     57.8      7.6     16   0.04   +1.01
VTBNb1   Valut-Tranzit-Bank JSC             57.3      7.6      2   0.04   +2.20
MREKb1   Mangisitau electricity
         distribution company OJSC
                                            53.1      7.0      1   0.04   -5.13
TSBNp    Tcesnabank JSC                     48.4      6.4      2   0.04       0
CHFMb1   Khimpharm JSC                      40.3      5.3      2   0.03   +0.04
ARNAb1   ARNA OJSC                          38.4      5.0      3   0.03   +1.58
AMGZp    CNPC Aktobemunaigas OJSC           35.1      4.6      1   0.03  -10.00
PRKRb1   Food contract corporation JSC
                                            29.7      3.9      7   0.02   +1.34
KZTKp    Kazakhtelecom JSC                  22.7      3.0      2   0.02  +10.95
UTMKp    Ust-Kamenogorsk titanium
          magnesium plant JSC               18.2      2.4      1   0.01  +24.96
CSBNb4   BANK CASPIAN JSC                   13.1      1.7     10   0.01   -0.62
KZPSb1   Kazpost JSC                         8.8      1.2      6   0.01   -4.74
UKTCb1   AES Ust-Kamenogorsk
         PS OJSC                             6.8      0.9      1   0.01   -3.82
KANT     Kant OJSC                           6.1      0.8      1  0.005  -16.74
RDGZp    Exploration Production
         KazMunaiGas JSC
                                             5.6      0.7      1  0.004       0
TEBN     Temirbank JSC                       3.3      0.4      2  0.002   +8.46
ATFBp    ATFBank JSC                         1.1      0.2      1  0.001  +36.36
CSBN     BANK CASPIAN JSC                    1.1      0.1      1  0.001       0
KZIKb1   Kazakhstan Mortgage
         Company JSC "                       0.8      0.1      1  0.001   -0.12
KZCRp    TNK Kazchrome OJSC                  0.5      0.1      1 <0.001       0
RAHT     Rakhat OJSC                         0.4      0.1      2 <0.001       0
ALKZp    Aluminum Kazakhstan JSC             0.2     0.02      1 <0.001   -8.05
-------- ----------------------------- --------- -------- ------ ------ -------
TOTAL    74                            132,482.7 17,395.1    517  100.0       -
-------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Comments: Securities were sorted in descending order based on the volumes of deals expressed in U.S. dollars. Small letters in the securities codes have the following meanings: "p" - preferred inscribed share; "b" - bond: "e" - eurobond; the rest - common inscribed share. The figure shows the number of the bond issue. If there is no figure (old code) it implies that it is the first issue.

Table of main indicators of the exchange's CS market in April of 2005

------------------------------------------------------------------
         Capitaliza-        Capitaliza-
                tion               tion       Bond value Volume of
              of the             of the           index,  purchase
               share              bonds Bonds  including  and sale
             market,  Share     market, yield      accum    deals,
  Date        m. USD  index      m. USD index   interest   th. USD
-------- ----------- ------ ----------- ----- ---------- ---------
31.03.05     4,171.2 242.96     6,125.9  7.40     173.60   8,041.4
01.04.05     4,178.9 242.75     6,093.4  7.28     174.43     791.4
04.04.05     4,232.1 246.63     6,099.9  7.37     173.63   8,758.3
05.04.05     4,261.0 246.50     6,111.4  7.41     173.60   9,241.6
06.04.05     4,257.6 246.53     6,113.3  7.36     173.94   7,374.6
07.04.05     4,252.7 244.90     6,110.5  7.44     173.87   4,264.2
08.04.05     4,239.7 246.77     6,112.1  7.43     173.64   5,549.4
11.04.05     4,235.0 246.19     6,147.8  7.42     173.81   7,073.8
12.04.05     4,240.2 247.62     6,148.9  7.33     174.36   2,169.4
13.04.05     4,241.2 247.62     6,148.7  7.32     174.43   6,669.0
14.04.05     4,237.6 248.10     6,151.3  7.31     174.59   1,583.5
15.04.05     4,220.6 249.50     6,151.8  7.37     174.60  17,774.3
18.04.05     4,219.9 254.45     6,226.1  7.41     175.01   2,539.6
19.04.05     4,182.9 254.06     6,224.6  7.40     174.48   1,132.9
20.04.05     4,301.0 254.39     6,222.7  7.39     174.62   1,962.9
21.04.05     4,260.9 254.43     6,261.7  7.47     174.23   3,062.7
22.04.05     4,301.6 297.81     6,264.1  7.49     174.14  11,591.6
25.04.05     4,274.3 256.78     6,249.4  7.48     174.29   3,161.1
26.04.05     4,303.2 258.00     6,250.6  7.50     174.18   4,919.6
27.04.05     4,331.7 259.11     6,265.1  7.49     174.24   2,278.1
28.04.05     4,357.7 266.43     6,258.2  7.41     174.82  11,925.0
29.04.05     4,367.6 265.90     6,259.4  7.46     174.62  18,659.7
-------- ----------- ------ ----------- ----- ---------- ---------
Тренд         +196.3 +22.95      +133.4 +0.06      +1.01
               +4.7%  +9.4%       +2.2% +0.9%      +0.6%
------------------------------------------------------------------

Comments: The shares index (KASE_Shares) reflects the changes in the bids on the shares from the official Exchange's securities list of "A" category, including the market capitalization of their issuers. Capitalization of the bonds market - indicator that reflects the volume of corporate debt circulating on the KASE as the bonds of the companies. It is calculated on the basis of the number of issued bonds and the bonds admitted to the trades and their market values. In case of the absence of the last figure, face value is used instead. Capitalization of the shares market - indicator that reflects the market capitalization of the companies whose shares were entered into official list of the KASE securities. It is calculated on the basis of the number of issued shares and their last market values. In case of the absence of the deals the face values of the securities, expressed in U.S. dollars (if necessary) at the rate of the Exchange for the current day, are used. Bonds yield index (KASE_BY) - weighted average (through capitalization) yield of the corporate bonds of category "A" of the KASE official list, which is calculated based on the deals or average bids of the market-makers (if there is no deal). Index of bonds yield with accumulated interest (KASE_BP) - weighted average (through capitalization) "dirty" price of the corporate bonds of category "A" of the KASE official list, which is calculated based on the deals or average bids of the market-makers (if there is no deal). Purchase-sale deals volume includes the deals made in state blocks of shares and volume of primary floatations at KASE's specialized trades but it doesn't take into account repo transactions.

[2005-05-10]