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Market and Company News
10.08.2004 22:06

In July of 2004 volume of deals in KASE's repo sector fell by 14.4% down to KZT 489.4 bn

/IRBIS, Ranida Gabdeyeva, Andrey Tsalyuk, August 10, 04/ - In July of 2004 at Kazakhstan stock exchange (KASE) in repo-transactions sector there were registered 3,055 deals to the total amount of KZT 489.4 bn. or USD3,610.5 m. at the current rate on deals making date, that is 78.9% of the whole July's turnover. This is highest monthly volume in the history of KASE.

In comparison with June of 2004 volume of transactions decreased by KZT 82,370.3 m. ($583.6 m.) or by 14.4% (by 13.9% in dollar terms). Relative to July of 2003 volume of transactions increased by KZT 227.9 bn. ($1,853.4 m.) or 1.9 times (2.1 times in dollar terms).

Structure of repo market's turnover at KASE in July, which was calculated in tenge equivalent, was as follows:

  • the stake of automatic repo transactions was 95.3% of the sector's turnover (KZT 466.3 bn.), including deals in Government securities (GS) - 93.8% (KZT 459.0 bn.), deals in corporate securities (CS) - 1.5% (KZT 7.2 bn);
  • the stake of repo transactions made by direct deals method, was 4.7% of the sector's turnover (KZT 23.1 bn.), including deals in GS - 3.6% (KZT 17.8 bn.), deals in CS - 1.1% (KZT 5.4 bn).

For comparison, structure of stock exchange's repo market in June of 2004 was characterized by the following indexes: autorepo - 77.1% (GS - 75.9%;
CS - 1.3%); repo by direct method - 22.9% (GS - 21.4%; CS - 1.4%).

Below are tables, which characterize KASE's repo sector in July of 2004 on opening transactions in tenge.

Automatic repo in GS - 93.8% of the market

---------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                Repo rate, % JUNE
 Instrument -------------------------------------   Volume,   Num- Stake of
(currency,  on first mini- maxi- on last weighted         m ber of  market,
term, days)     deal   mum   mum    deal  average       KZT  deals        %
----------- -------- ----- ----- ------- -------- --------- ------ --------
KZT_001         1.48  0.10  8.50    0.50     1.39 211,982.1  1,134     92.1
KZT_002         3.00  0.35  3.00    0.35     2.00     264.0      3      0.1
KZT_003         1.50  1.00  3.90    1.90     2.94     994.0     10      0.4
KZT_007         2.00  1.00  5.00    1.00     2.23   6,261.0     65      2.7
KZT_014         2.50  1.20  5.00    1.20     2.84   6,382.0     54      2.8
KZT_028         3.60  2.00  4.50    2.80     3.27   4,350.0     46      1.9
----------- -------- ----- ----- ------- -------- --------- ------ --------
TOTAL                                             230,233.2  1,312      100
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

Automatic repo in CS - 1.5% of the market

-------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                Repo rate, % JUNE
 Instrument ------------------------------------- Volume,   Num- Stake of
(security,  on first mini- maxi- on last weighted       m ber of  market,
term, days)     deal   mum   mum    deal  average     KZT  deals        %
----------- -------- ----- ----- ------- -------- ------- ------ --------
ALKS_028        6.40  6.40  7.30    7.30     6.97    33.0      2      1.1
ASFIb2_001      5.10  5.00  5.10    5.00     5.03    90.0      3      2.9
ASFIb2_007                          5.50     5.50    30.0      1      1.0
CCBN_030                            8.00     8.00     8.0      1      0.3
CCBNb3_028      8.50  8.50  8.50    8.50     8.50   247.0      2      8.0
HRLT_028        8.00  7.50  8.00    7.50     7.72   411.0      2     13.4
HSBKb_028                           9.00     9.00    22.0      1      0.7
KZIKb1_001      5.00  5.00  5.40    5.30     5.33   387.0      6     12.6
KZTCb1_007      5.50  5.50  8.00    5.50     5.86   140.0      3      4.6
NRBNb2_028                          8.25     8.25   153.0      1      5.0
ORDB_028       11.00  8.00 11.00    8.00     8.25   305.0      5      9.9
ORDBb1_028                          6.60     6.60    11.0      1      0.4
ORDBp_007       5.50  5.50  5.60    5.60     5.53    60.0      3      2.0
ORDBp_028                          11.00    11.00    40.0      1      1.3
RGBRb3_028      8.50  8.50  8.50    8.50     8.50   190.0      2      6.2
TEBN_030        7.80  7.80 12.00   12.00     9.29   141.0      2      4.6
TXBNb1_001      5.00  5.00  5.10    5.00     5.02    80.0      4      2.6
TXBNb2_001      5.20  5.10  5.30    5.20     5.15   306.0      7     10.0
VTBN_001                            5.20     5.20    17.0      1      0.6
VTBN_028       10.00 10.00 10.00   10.00    10.00    98.0      2      3.2
VTBNb1_028                         10.00    10.00    70.0      1      2.3
VTBNp_001                           5.00     5.00    10.0      1      0.3
VTBNp_007                           5.50     5.50    10.0      1      0.3
VTBNp_014                           6.00     6.00    10.0      1      0.3
VTBNp_028       9.00  6.50 10.00    9.00     9.10   204.0      4      6.6
----------- -------- ----- ----- ------- -------- ------- ------ --------
TOTAL                                             3,073.0     58    100.0
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

Repo on direct deals in GS - 3.6% of the market

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                 Repo rate, % JUNE
Term of  -----------------------------------------  Volume,    Num-  Stake of
 repo,   on first  mini-  maxi-  on last  weighted        m  ber of   market,
 days        deal    mum    mum     deal   average      KZT   deals         %
-------  --------  -----  -----  -------  --------  -------  ------  --------
      1      0.50   0.50   7.80     0.60      2.62    923.6       8       9.2
      2      0.29   0.29   3.00     0.80      1.30  1,033.0       6      10.3
      3      0.50   0.40   2.01     0.40      0.66  1,049.8       6      10.5
      4      1.80   0.30   7.00     0.70      2.23  1,230.8       9      12.3
      5      0.55   0.30   4.00     1.50      2.71    309.5       4       3.1
      6      2.60   2.60   2.60     2.60      2.60    100.0       2       1.0
      7      2.50   0.40   3.20     0.50      1.53    881.6       8       8.8
      8      0.50   0.50   2.70     2.70      0.96    865.8      11       8.7
      9      1.60   1.60   1.60     1.60      1.60    108.1       1       1.1
     10      4.00   1.50   4.00     1.50      2.94    204.0       4       2.0
     12      3.50   3.50   3.50     3.50      3.50    630.6       4       6.3
     13      3.50   3.50   3.50     3.50      3.50    839.0       4       8.4
     14      2.90   2.00   3.50     2.00      3.05    829.0       6       8.3
     17      1.50   1.50   1.50     1.50      1.50    180.0       1       1.8
     28      5.00   3.30   5.00     3.40      3.57    485.5      10       4.9
     74      3.70   3.70   3.70     3.70      3.70    100.0       1       1.0
     92      4.25   4.25   4.25     4.25      4.25    222.4       3       2.2
-------  --------  -----  -----  -------  --------  -------  ------  --------
 TOTAL                                              9,992.5      88     100.0
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------

Repo on direct deals in CS - 1.1% of the market

----------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                Repo rate, % JUNE
Subject  Term of  -------------------------------  Volume,    Num-  Stake of
of          repo  mini-  maxi-  on last  weighted        m  ber of   market,
repo        days    mum    mum     deal   average      KZT   deals         %
-------  -------  -----  -----  -------  --------  -------  ------  --------
ALKS         161                            12.02      4.0       1      0.10
             183                            14.96     12.3       1      0.32
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total                                                 16.3       2      0.42
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
AMGZp         42                             6.00     30.0       1      0.77
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
ASBNb1        32                             8.10      2.5       1      0.06
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
ASBNb2        32                             8.10      1.7       1      0.04
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
ASFIb2         5                             3.01      7.1       1      0.18
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
BTASb2        14                             7.81     15.0       1      0.39
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
CCBN          31                             9.01     50.0       1      1.28
              32   9.01  11.52     9.01      9.76    166.9       4      4.27
              62                             8.52      3.0       1      0.08
              90                             9.00     82.1       1      2.10
              91                             9.99     58.0       1      1.48
              92                            10.02     50.0       1      1.28
             182   6.25  11.00     6.25      8.62     10.0       2      0.26
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total                                                420.0      11     10.75
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
HSBK          11                             2.61      2.2       1      0.06
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
HSBKb         31                             8.00     23.1       1      0.59
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
KZIKb1        31  13.00  13.00    13.00     13.00      2.5       2      0.06
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
KZMS          31                            12.00      1.4       1      0.04
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
KZTCb1        91   8.00   8.00     8.00      8.00     70.0       2      1.79
             243                             7.99    100.0       1      2.56
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total                                                170.1       3      4.35
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
KZTKp         31                            15.00      3.6       1      0.09
              43                             6.04      1.0       1      0.03
              63                            10.01      1.2       1      0.03
Total                                                  5.8       3      0.15
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
MMGZp         62                             7.00     14.6       1      0.37
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
NRBNb2       232                             7.00    250.0       1      6.40
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
NRBNb3        28                             4.12    375.8       1      9.62
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
ORDB           1                             7.04     34.6       1      0.88
               9                             7.02     16.3       1      0.42
              15                             6.99     52.0       1      1.33
              25  14.97  14.97    14.97     14.97     12.8       4      0.33
              30                             7.00     51.9       1      1.33
              31  15.01  15.04    15.04     15.02    337.5       2      8.64
              39                            11.91     14.1       1      0.36
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total                                                519.2      11     13.29
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
ORDBb1        33                             9.00     15.0       1      0.38
              62                             7.00     10.4       1      0.26
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total                                                 25.4       2      0.65
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
ORDBp         28                            11.00    100.0       1      2.56
              31                            15.02     62.5       1      1.60
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total                                                162.5       2      4.16
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
RGBRb3         8   7.78   7.78     7.78      7.78     59.9       2      1.53
              13                             7.32     79.8       1      2.04
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total                                                139.7       3      3.57
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
TEBN          32                             8.00     10.0       1      0.26
              33                            10.00      2.0       1      0.05
             168                             6.00     25.0       1      0.64
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total                                                 37.0       3      0.95
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
TEBNb3        33                             4.00     20.1       1      0.51
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
TXBNb2         1   2.08   3.64     2.08      3.28     17.6       2      0.45
               3                             3.64     15.1       1      0.39
               4                             2.42      5.0       1      0.13
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total                                                 37.6       4      0.96
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
VTBN           4                             3.53     31.2       1      0.80
               7   3.53   5.05     3.53      3.71     57.6       2      1.47
              13                             7.02      4.0       1      0.10
              14                             7.01      8.0       1      0.20
              28                             7.98     57.0       1      1.46
              33                             4.01     25.0       1      0.64
              42                             7.50     22.0       1      0.56
             112                             6.62     82.0       1      2.10
             142                             7.71     63.0       1      1.61
             153                            13.00     41.6       1      1.06
             214                            13.00     22.0       1      0.56
             235  10.00  10.00    10.00     10.00    206.0       3      5.27
             365  10.50  10.50    10.50     10.50    350.0       4      8.96
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total                                                969.4      19     24.81
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
VTBNb1         3                             4.00     75.2       1      1.92
               8                             2.00      3.0       1      0.08
              14                             4.00     73.2       1      1.87
              21                             2.00     76.5       1      1.96
              28   2.50   8.50     2.50      5.64     95.7       2      2.45
              32                             8.50     30.0       1      0.77
              33                             6.00     20.0       1      0.51
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total                                                373.6       8      9.56
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
VTBNp          7                             3.44     11.1       1      0.28
              10                             8.03     30.0       1      0.77
              32                            13.00    100.0       1      2.56
             235                            10.00     44.0       1      1.13
             365                            12.00    100.0       1      2.56
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Total                                                285.1       5      7.30
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
TOTAL                                              3,907.4      90    100.00
----------------------------------------------------------------------------

Stake of stock exchange's turnover in total volume of repo deals of Kazakhstan secondary market in July of 2004 equaled to 98.2%, in June of 2004 - 98.5%.

Absence of sizable operations between two market participants in contrast to their June transactions has lowered July volume of repo deals. The same factor affected the secondary market of government securities.

Nonetheless, reached level still looks rather substantial. The figure is a record high except for June month of 2004. The reason is growing amount of "free" tenge on the market. In June weighted average overnight repo rate in the automatic repo sector (TONIA indicator) was 2.09%. IN July the same figure has not exceeded 1.39%. Some deals were made at 0.1%.

Decline of short money cost is a result of fall in emission activity of the National Bank on the notes market as well as sterilization of export proceeds. IRBIS analysts suggest that August would demonstrate even lower overnight rates with volumes unchanged.

[2004-08-10]