In June of 2004 volume of GS purchase and sale deals at KASE increased 3.8 times up to KZT 150.3 bn.
06.07.04 22:36
/IRBIS, Ranida Gabdeyeva, Andrey Tsalyuk, July 6, 04/ - In June of 2004 at
Kazakhstan Stock Exchange (KASE) 366 deals in government securities
(GS) were made for a total of KZT 150,262.5 m. or ($1,102.7 m.) what was
18.4% of total exchange's turnover of the month.
Stated figure is both current year and KASE historical record breaking
monthly volume of GS operations in the sector.
In comparison with May of 2004 the sector's turnover increased 3.8 times in
tenge equivalent and 3.8 in dollar terms. Relative to June of 2003 the
turnover increased 10.1 times in tenge and 11.0 times in dollar terms.
Statistical indicators of sale-purchase sector in June and turnover's structure
are given in the table (in parentheses - comparable figures of previous
month).
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Yield to maturity for
the buyer, %APR
Days ----------------------------- Volume, mln KZT Number
till maturity min max last WA at discount of deals
-------------- ---- ----- ---- ------------- -------------------- ---------
Discounted GS (KZT): MEKKAM, National Bank's notes
68.3% (60.4%) of purchase and sale sector's turnover
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less than 8 3.01 3.60 3.37 3.21 (3.17) 808.8 4
8 - 14 1.90 4.50 1.90 3.78 (3.38) 1,208.4 6
15 - 28 3.20 4.70 3.65 3.70 (3.86) 749.8 21
29 - 36 3.00 5.22 3.00 4.00 (4.17) 1,097.2 14
37 - 42 3.65 4.00 3.65 3.73 (4.32) 131.7 3
43 - 56 3.60 5.00 3.60 3.81 (4.83) 641.6 13
57 - 63 3.80 16.17 4.50 15.03 (4.54) 110.3 4
64 - 91 2.65 14.66 3.90 4.40 (5.28) 1,275.7 20
92 - 181 2.55 4.97 4.00 4.72 (4.60) 8,065.5 50
182 - 364 4.00 5.17 4.70 4.80 (5.02) 88,490.4 131
-------------- ---- ----- ---- ------------- -------------------- ---------
Total 102,579.4 (24,204.1) 266 (178)
-------------- ---- ----- ---- ------------- -------------------- ---------
Coupon GS (KZT): MEOKAM
31.0% (27.1%) of purchase and sale sector's turnover
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less than 730 2.83 8.00 5.18 5.71 (5.43) 24,397.6 33
731 - 1095 5.50 6.00 5.50 5.78 (6.00) 228.2 9
1096 - 1460 5.90 8.00 8.00 5.93 (6.00) 1,535.7 8
1461 - 1825 5.70 7.00 6.12 6.03 (5.96) 17,848.2 33
1826 - 2190 5.60 6.13 6.13 5.81 (5.82) 1,312.0 5
more than 2191 5.95 6.24 6.09 6.08 (6.06) 1,234.2 6
-------------- ---- ----- ---- ------------- -------------------- ---------
Total 46,555.9 (10,851.4) 94 (70)
-------------- ---- ----- ---- ------------- -------------------- ---------
Euronotes of Kazakhstan (USD)
0.8% (12.5%)
-------------- ---- ----- ---- ------------- -------------------- ---------
*113 - 124 3.64 4.07 3.64 4.03 ( -) 454.3 2
**1036 - 1054 4.06 5.24 4.06 5.07 (3.92) 672.8 4
-------------- ---- ----- ---- ------------- -------------------- ---------
Total 1,127.1 (4,992.7) 6 (11)
-------------- ---- ----- ---- ------------- -------------------- ---------
GRANDTOTAL 150,262.5 (40,059.5) 366 (262)
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Notes: for euronotes (* - third issue. ** - fourth issue) volumes were
calculated at weighted average USD/KZT rate of the Exchange.
In June stake of the exchange's turnover in total volume of purchase and
sale deals made at Kazakhstan secondary GS market fell to 97.8%. In May it
was 96.1%.
Unfortunately, stated growth figures in June did not display qualitative
changes on the GS secondary market. It still suffers from absence of real
and true liquidity of securities. More than 77% of the stock exchange
turnover fell on two KASE members that operated between each other using
standard set of bonds (securities could be easily disclosed judging from
operational volumes). It is possible that mentioned members were operating
on behalf of their clients. However, isolation of this pair from rest of the
market forces us to consider non-market nature of conducted deals yet not
excluding market nature of prices. Thus, it is clearly that in July absence of
motives that caused June growth of operations could result in sharp decline
of market turnover. This fall could be hardly forecasted.
Yields in the GS purchase-sale sector remain unchanged reflecting rates at
primary floatation of MEKKAM and notes.
[2004-07-06]