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07.05.2004 15:05

In April of 2004 volume of deals in KASE's repo sector increased by 14.1% to KZT410.4 bn

/IRBIS, Ranida Gabdeyeva, Andrey Tsalyuk, May 7, 04/ - In April of 2004 at Kazakhstan stock exchange (KASE) in repo-transactions sector there were registered 3,191 deals to the total amount of KZT410.4 bn. or USD2,970.5 m. at the current rate on deals making date, that is 75.0% of the whole April's turnover.

In comparison with March of 2004 volume of transactions increased by KZT50,853.5 m. ($383.7 m.) or by 14.1% (by 14.8% in dollar terms). Relative to April of 2003 volume of transactions increased by KZT129.7 bn. ($1,123.9 m.) or by 46.2% (by 60.7% in dollar terms).

Structure of repo market's turnover at KASE in April, which was calculated in tenge equivalent, was as follows:

  • the stake of automatic repo transactions was 91.1% of the sector's turnover (KZT374.0 bn.), including deals in Government securities (GS) - 90.2% (KZT370.1 bn.), deals in corporate securities (CS) - 0.9% (KZT3,849.1 m.);
  • the stake of repo transactions made by direct deals method, was 8.9% of the sector's turnover (KZT36.5 bn.), including deals in GS - 6.9% (KZT28.4 bn.), deals in CS - 2.0% (KZT8,021.3 m.).

For comparison, structure of stock exchange's repo market in March of 2004 was characterized by the following indexes: autorepo - 91.9% (GS - 91.5%;
CS - 0.4%); repo by direct method - 8.1% (GS - 6.9%; CS - 1.2%).

Below are tables, which characterize KASE's repo sector in April of 2004 on opening transactions in tenge.

Automatic repo in GS - 90.2% of the market

---------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                 Repo rate, % APR
Instrument  -------------------------------------   Volume,   Num- Stake of
(currency,  on first mini- maxi- on last weighted         m ber of  market,
term, days)     deal   mum   mum    deal  average       KZT  deals        %
----------- -------- ----- ----- ------- -------- --------- ------ --------
KZT_001         2.10  0.20 15.00    2.00     2.86 166,167.2   1141     90.0
KZT_002         2.00  1.50  5.60    3.00     3.30   1,526.0     14      0.8
KZT_003         2.50  2.10  7.00    3.20     3.88   1,916.0     23      1.0
KZT_007         2.90  2.40  6.25    4.00     4.13   6,186.0     72      3.4
KZT_014         3.75  3.30  6.00    3.60     4.00   3,911.0     50     2.11
KZT_028         3.70  3.50  5.50    3.50     3.91   4,870.0     44     2.64
----------- -------- ----- ----- ------- -------- --------- ------ --------
TOTAL                                             184,576.2  1 344      100
---------------------------------------------------------------------------

Automatic repo in CS - 0.9% of the market

-------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                 Repo rate, % APR
Instrument  ------------------------------------- Volume,   Num- Stake of
(security,  on first mini- maxi- on last weighted       m ber of  market,
term, days)     deal   mum   mum    deal  average     KZT  deals        %
----------- -------- ----- ----- ------- -------- ------- ------ --------
ALKS_007        4.80  4.80  5.30    5.30     5.20    91.0      3      3.9
ALKS_028        7.00  6.40  8.00    8.00     7.14    73.0      4     3.10
ALKS_003        5.00  5.00  5.10    5.10     5.05    74.0      3     3.14
ASFIb2_001      4.80  4.80  5.00    5.00     4.89    18.0      2      0.8
ASFIb2_002      4.80  4.80  5.00    5.00     4.89    18.0      2      0.8
ASFIb2_007      5.30  5.30  5.30    5.30     5.30    84.0      3      3.6
ASFIb2_021                          6.00     6.00    10.0      1      0.4
BRKZb1_003      5.00  5.00  5.10    5.10     5.05    26.0      2      1.1
BRKZb1_007                          5.30     5.30    13.0      1      0.6
CCBN_001                            4.50     4.50    30.0      1      1.3
CCBN_007                            5.30     5.30    10.0      1      0.4
CCBN_030        8.00  8.00  9.00    9.00     8.86    70.0      2      3.0
CCBNb3_028                          8.50     8.50   250.0      1     10.6
HSBKb_028                           7.00     7.00    24.0      1      1.0
KZIKb1_001      4.80  4.80  5.20    5.20     5.00    40.0      2      1.7
KZIKb1_003      5.00  5.00  5.10    5.10     5.05    82.0      2      3.5
KZIKb1_007                          5.30     5.30    20.0      1      0.8
KZIKb1_028                          4.00     4.00   111.0      1      4.7
NRBNb2_028                          8.25     8.25   153.0      1      6.5
ORDB_028        9.50  8.00  9.50    8.00     8.58   457.0      5     19.4
ORDBb1_014                          5.70     5.70    10.0      1      0.4
ORDBb1_028      6.60  6.50  6.60    6.50     6.56    30.0      2      1.3
RGBRb3_028                          8.50     8.50   200.0      1      8.5
TEBN_030        7.80  7.80 12.00   12.00     9.33   137.0      2      5.8
TXBNb2_007      5.30  5.30  5.30    5.30     5.30   100.0      2      4.2
VTBNb1_001      4.30  4.30  5.00    5.00     4.72   134.0      4      5.7
VTBNb1_007                          5.30     5.30    20.0      1      0.8
VTBNb1_028                         10.00    10.00    70.0      1      3.0
----------- -------- ----- ----- ------- -------- ------- ------ --------
TOTAL                                             2,355.1     53    100.0
-------------------------------------------------------------------------

Repo on direct deals in GS - 6.9% of the market

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                  Repo rate, % APR
Term of  -----------------------------------------   Volume,    Num-  Stake of
 repo,   on first  mini-  maxi-  on last  weighted         m  ber of   market,
 days        deal    mum    mum     deal   average       KZT   deals         %
-------  --------  -----  -----  -------  --------  --------  ------  --------
      1      1.01   0.70  15.00     1.50      3.59   4,716.4      41      32.5
      2      4.00   4.00   4.00     4.00      4.00     100.0       1       0.7
      3      1.00   0.50   3.80     3.80      1.89   2,667.5      14      18.4
      4      1.00   0.60   3.99     3.50      3.03   1,752.3      10      12.1
      5      1.29   1.29   2.01     2.01      1.54     228.2       2       1.6
      7      2.00   2.00   4.30     4.30      2.69   1,706.0       6      11.7
      8      4.00   4.00   4.00     4.00      4.00      48.0       2       0.3
      9      3.60   3.60   3.60     3.60      3.60     182.6       1       1.3
     10      3.00   3.00   3.00     3.00      3.00      35.0       1       0.2
     11      2.20   2.20   2.20     2.20      2.20      97.8       1       0.7
     12      3.00   3.00   3.00     3.00      3.00     290.2       2       2.0
     14      3.25   3.25   5.20     3.70      4.54     560.5       5       3.9
     21      3.50   3.50   3.50     3.50      3.50     187.4       6       1.3
     28      4.00   3.80   5.40     5.40      4.75   1,357.4      12       9.3
     29      3.50   3.50   5.00     5.00      4.57     194.9      12       1.3
     30      1.50   1.50   1.50     1.50      1.50     199.0       1       1.4
     34      4.00   4.00   4.00     4.00      4.00      11.8       1       0.1
    182      6.00   6.00   6.00     6.00      6.00     184.8       1       1.3
-------  --------  -----  -----  -------  --------  --------  ------  --------
 TOTAL                                              14,519.6     199     100.0
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Repo on direct deals in CS - 2.0% of the market

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                  Repo rate, % APR
Subject   Term of  -------------------------------   Volume,    Num-  Stake of
of          repo,  mini-  maxi-  on last  weighted         m  ber of   market,
repo         days    mum    mum     deal   average       KZT   deals         %
--------  -------  -----  -----  -------  --------  --------  ------  --------
ALKS            7                             5.21     27.21       1      0.64
               29   7.55   7.55     7.55      7.55    100.00       2      2.34
               30                             4.87     30.00       1      0.70
               31                             8.17     69.60       1      1.63
               34                             7.67     19.01       1      0.45
               53                             8.30     27.00       1      0.63
               62   5.81   9.42     9.42      7.31    126.56       2      2.97
               63                             8.69     47.00       1      1.10
              182                            13.04     20.50       1      0.48
              249                             5.95     47.47       1      1.11
--------  -------  -----  -----  -------  --------  --------  ------  --------
Subtotal                                              514.34             12.05
--------  -------  -----  -----  -------  --------  --------  ------  --------

ALKSb2 21 5.00 8.36 1 0.20

--------  -------  -----  -----  -------  --------  --------  ------  --------
ARNAb1         21                             5.00      3.34       1      0.08
                7                             6.08      4.15       1      0.10
--------  -------  -----  -----  -------  --------  --------  ------  --------
Subtotal                                                7.49              0.18
--------  -------  -----  -----  -------  --------  --------  ------  --------
ASBNb2         12                             6.08      1.70       1      0.04
               31                             8.82      1.77       1      0.04
--------  -------  -----  -----  -------  --------  --------  ------  --------
Subtotal                                                3.47              0.08
--------  -------  -----  -----  -------  --------  --------  ------  --------

ASFI 366 10.43 43.17 1 1.01

--------  -------  -----  -----  -------  --------  --------  ------  --------
ASFIb2         21                             5.00     10.10       1      0.24
               24                             3.66      7.94       1      0.19
--------  -------  -----  -----  -------  --------  --------  ------  --------
Subtotal                                               18.04              0.42
--------  -------  -----  -----  -------  --------  --------  ------  --------

ASFIb3 183 10.00 12.00 12.00 10.03 46.04 3 1.08

--------  -------  -----  -----  -------  --------  --------  ------  --------
ATFBb2         21                             5.00     68.35       1      1.60
--------  -------  -----  -----  -------  --------  --------  ------  --------
BRKZb1         21                             5.00     19.37       1      0.45
--------  -------  -----  -----  -------  --------  --------  ------  --------
BTAIb1        183                            12.00     52.96       1      1.24
--------  -------  -----  -----  -------  --------  --------  ------  --------
CCBN            1                             5.48     15.00       1      0.35
                2                             8.09    157.89       1      3.70
                5                             5.34     85.96       1      2.01
                7   6.08   9.12     6.08      7.55      4.14       2      0.10
               11   8.04   8.10     8.10      8.06    279.37       2      6.55
               13   7.75   8.04     7.75      7.77    340.58       2      7.98
               14                             8.07     68.25       1      1.60
               23                             9.05     10.00       1      0.23
               28                            10.01     74.44       1      1.74
               29                             9.06     28.00       1      0.66
               31   9.01  10.01     9.01      9.07     31.99       2      0.75
               55  13.01  13.01    13.01     13.01     20.44       2      0.48
               56                             8.00     42.00       1      0.98
               57                            10.56     45.00       1      1.05
               60                             8.01     55.85       1      1.31
               61   9.51  10.00    10.00      9.93    177.15       3      4.15
              364                             9.00    104.00       1      2.44
              365   9.00   9.00     9.00      9.00     34.00       2      0.80
--------  -------  -----  -----  -------  --------  --------  ------  --------
Subtotal                                            1,574.07             36.88
--------  -------  -----  -----  -------  --------  --------  ------  --------

HSBKb 1 7.00 26.08 1 0.61 31 8.00 23.05 1 0.54 60 8.00 13.00 1 0.30

--------  -------  -----  -----  -------  --------  --------  ------  --------
Subtotal                                               62.12              1.46
--------  -------  -----  -----  -------  --------  --------  ------  --------

HSBKb3 21 5.05 1.70 1 0.04 91 10.00 80.00 1 1.87

--------  -------  -----  -----  -------  --------  --------  ------  --------
Subtotal                                               81.70              1.91
--------  -------  -----  -----  -------  --------  --------  ------  --------

HSBKp 91 7.00 99.08 1 2.32

--------  -------  -----  -----  -------  --------  --------  ------  --------
KARMb2          2                             4.00     73.01       1      1.71
--------  -------  -----  -----  -------  --------  --------  ------  --------
KZIKb1         31                            13.00      2.00       1      0.05
--------  -------  -----  -----  -------  --------  --------  ------  --------
KZTCb1         21                             4.91      4.47       1      0.10
--------  -------  -----  -----  -------  --------  --------  ------  --------
KZTOe1         56                             6.00     42.00       1      0.98
--------  -------  -----  -----  -------  --------  --------  ------  --------
ORDB            5                             2.99     77.00       1      1.80
                7                             0.02     73.89       1      1.73
                9                            10.01    152.85       1      3.58
               23                             8.00      9.86       1      0.23
               25                             9.00     47.00       1      1.10
               28                            10.00     30.01       1      0.70
               82                             9.50      4.50       1      0.11
               90                             9.50      3.18       1      0.07
               91   3.00   9.50     9.50      3.34    135.54       2      3.18
--------  -------  -----  -----  -------  --------  --------  ------  --------
Subtotal                                              533.82             12.51
--------  -------  -----  -----  -------  --------  --------  ------  --------

ORDBb1 86 10.00 10.17 1 0.24

--------  -------  -----  -----  -------  --------  --------  ------  --------
RGBRb3          4                             3.62     35.32       1      0.83
--------  -------  -----  -----  -------  --------  --------  ------  --------
TEBN           29                             8.00     10.00       1      0.23
               30                            10.00      2.00       1      0.05
               31                             8.01     10.00       1      0.23
--------  -------  -----  -----  -------  --------  --------  ------  --------
Subtotal                                               22.00              0.52
--------  -------  -----  -----  -------  --------  --------  ------  --------

TXBNb1 21 5.00 1.66 1 0.04 30 12.00 3.00 1 0.07

--------  -------  -----  -----  -------  --------  --------  ------  --------
Subtotal                                                4.66              0.11
--------  -------  -----  -----  -------  --------  --------  ------  --------

TXBNb2 29 4.04 150.15 1 3.52

--------  -------  -----  -----  -------  --------  --------  ------  --------
UKTCb1         10                             7.03     20.18       1      0.47
--------  -------  -----  -----  -------  --------  --------  ------  --------
UTMKp           4   7.03   7.03     7.03      7.03      5.50       2      0.13
--------  -------  -----  -----  -------  --------  --------  ------  --------
VITAb3         28                            11.00     15.35       1      0.36
--------  -------  -----  -----  -------  --------  --------  ------  --------
VTBN            7                             8.00     35.50       1      0.83
               30                             8.00     35.50       1      0.83
               31                             9.30     22.00       1      0.52
              363                             8.00     44.10       1      1.03
--------  -------  -----  -----  -------  --------  --------  ------  --------
Subtotal                                              137.10              3.21
--------  -------  -----  -----  -------  --------  --------  ------  --------

VTBNb1 7 8.50 50.03 1 1.17 14 8.00 10.44 1 0.24 28 8.50 39.99 1 0.94 29 8.50 30.00 1 0.70 30 4.00 48.01 1 1.12 31 8.50 30.00 1 0.70 32 4.00 45.11 1 1.06 35 4.00 69.84 1 1.64 364 9.00 9.00 9.00 9.00 86.00 2 2.02 365 9.00 9.00 9.00 9.00 135.79 2 3.18

--------  -------  -----  -----  -------  --------  --------  ------  --------
Subtotal                                              545.21             12.78
--------  -------  -----  -----  -------  --------  --------  ------  --------

VTBNp 31 8.99 44.52 1 1.04 91 10.50 23.76 1 0.56

--------  -------  -----  -----  -------  --------  --------  ------  --------
Subtotal                                               68.27              1.60
--------  -------  -----  -----  -------  --------  --------  ------  --------

TOTAL 4,267.7 102 100.00

------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Stake of stock exchange's turnover in total volume of repo deals of Kazakhstan secondary market in April of 2004 equaled to 99.3%, in March of 2004 - 99.5%.

In April repo sector significantly grew in comparison with March, that, in all probability, was caused by higher rates. Weighted average rate of repo "overnight" at automatic repo market in March was 1.90% APR, and in April it reached 2.86% APR. Maximum rates on this instrument grew in April to 15.0% APR, and in March - only to 5.0%.

Specialists of IRBIS explain growth of repo rates in April by falling of short- term banks liquidity because of final budget payments, and also by a higher volatility of US dollar rate against tenge at domestic market. The quick falling of dollar rate in the middle of April caused a pronounced correcting movement of USD prices upward in the beginning of the third decade of the month, which in some degree was supported due to tenge taken from repo market. As the result short money had big demand.

Structure of repo market did not change much. In April participants at automatic repo market of CS used much bigger range of instruments than in March. In direct deals sector terms of repo transactions rose from 92 to 182 days. At that, the structure of the turnover modified a bit towards prolonging of repo terms.

[2004-05-07]