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Market and Company News
27.04.2004 21:17

U.S. dollar market of Kazakhstan: day results

/IRBIS, Sergey Yakovlev, Andrey Tsalyuk, April 27, 04/ - Following is the table of major indicators of Kazakhstan market for U.S. dollar (over 99% of country's foreign exchange market) according to results of the day. Values are given in tenge per dollar, volume - th. USD, trends are shown relative to corresponding figures of previous trading day.

Results of trades at Kazakhstan stock exchange

-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Instrument                        USD TOD        USD TOD        USD TOM
KASE's session                       Main     Additional     Additional
                                (morning)          (day)      (evening)
Time                    10:15 - 11:00 ALT    11:30-15:30    14:00-18:00
                        -----------------  -------------  -------------
Indicator                  Value    Trend   Value  trend   value  trend
----------------------  --------  -------  ------  -----  ------  -----
Opening rate              138.22    +0.22  138.59  +0.32       -      -
----------------------  --------  -------  ------  -----  ------  -----
Maximum rate              138.64    +0.33  138.64  +0.20       -      -
Volume on max. Price        2180    +2175     350    +50       0   -500
----------------------  --------  -------  ------  -----  ------  -----
Minimum rate              138.20    +0.39  138.52  +0.27       -      -
volume on min. Price           5        0     150    -50       0   -500
----------------------  --------  -------  ------  -----  ------  -----
Closing rate              138.61    +0.35  138.55  +0.11       -      -
----------------------  --------  -------  ------  -----  ------  -----
Weight. aver. rate        138.52    +0.25  138.58  +0.24       -      -
Volume of the session      12410      +25    6210   +520       0   -500
Number of deals              121      -60      41     +7       0     -1
Number of participants        16       -1      17     +2       0     -2
----------------------  --------  -------  ------  -----  ------  -----
Best ask*                 138.60    +0.35  138.53  +0.13       -      -
Best bid*                 138.64    +0.36  138.61  +0.15       -      -
----------------------  --------  -------  ------  -----  ------  -----
REUTERS Bid*              138.56    +0.30  138.47  +0.14  138.48  +0.08
REUTERS Ask*              138.66    +0.30  138.57  +0.14  138.58  +0.08
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
* at closing of the session at KASE, out of stock exchange - by  
  the data of REUTERS

Table of price levels of trade in US dollar at KASE on TOD terms

------------------------------------------------------------------
                                      TOTAL BY RESULTS OF THE DAY:
              Morning            Day  ----------------------------
             Session:       session:                   time (ALT):
 Price  -------------  -------------                  ------------
 level  volume  deals  volume  deals   volume  deals   from     to
------  ------  -----  ------  -----  -------  -----  -----  -----
138.64    2180     18     350      3     2530     21  10:58  14:16
138.63     200      2                     200      2  10:57  10:59
138.62     600      2     300      1      900      3  10:56  12:19
138.61     100      1     750      5      850      6  10:59  14:28
138.60    1155      7                    1155      7  10:49  10:55
138.60                    375      3      375      3  14:28  15:15
138.59      30      4    1100      6     1130     10  10:54  15:08
138.58                    710      7      710      7  11:35  15:17
138.57                    600      2      600      2  15:07  15:17
138.56      10      1     100      1      110      2  10:55  14:50
138.55    3000      6     900      4     3900     10  10:49  15:29
138.54       5      1     575      7      580      8  10:48  15:29
138.53       5      1     300      1      305      2  10:48  15:21
138.52                    150      1      150      1  15:26  15:26
138.51     500      3                     500      3  10:47  10:47
138.50     225      5                     225      5  10:15  10:47
138.49     105      3                     105      3  10:45  10:47
138.48     150      2                     150      2  10:43  10:44
138.46     160      2                     160      2  10:42  10:42
138.45     520      3                     520      3  10:15  10:42
138.44     105      2                     105      2  10:15  10:35
138.43     100      2                     100      2  10:35  10:35
138.40    2640     42                    2640     42  10:24  10:31
138.39     210      5                     210      5  10:24  10:29
138.38     400      7                     400      7  10:22  10:29
138.22       5      1                       5      1  10:15  10:15
138.20       5      1                       5      1  10:15  10:15
------  ------  -----  ------  -----  -------  -----  -----  -----
TOTAL    12410    121    6210     41    18620    162  10:15  15:29
------------------------------------------------------------------

Parameters of unsatisfied demand and supply at trading system of KASE for the last 5 days (the amount of valid bids by the time of morning and day trades closed, th. USD)

----------------------------------------------------------------------
Indicator   Apr 21, 04  Apr 22, 04  Apr 23, 04  Apr 26, 04  Apr 27, 04
----------  ----------  ----------  ----------  ----------  ----------
Bid              3,820       2,960       3,950       2,500       2,690
Ask              6,595       3,825       3,370       3,160       4,265
----------  ----------  ----------  ----------  ----------  ----------
Difference      +2,775        +865        -580        +660      +1,575
----------------------------------------------------------------------

Corrective movement of dollar developed today even further thanks to locally high demand on the part of second tier banks, improving tenge liquidity of banks, moderate volume of USD offer by leading sellers, speculative intentions of traders and USD buyers' willing o purchase greenback at existing prices.

The market became very thin in the afternoon. It consolidated at earlier achieved levels and was vulnerable to any changes in USD offer volumes. As closing quotes indicated, the dollar failed to strengthen its positions.

It worth noting that some fundamental factors do favor tenge appreciation. It allows assuming that current readjustment course is about to finish. The latter statement can be inferred from closing pararmeters of the day and international bonds floatation by ATFBank JSC for $100 m.

IRBIS forecast for Wednesday: positioned trades, it is also possible that tenge will appreciate. Rate's fall and rise are equally likely scenarios.

[2004-04-27]