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Market and Company News
29.03.2004 21:59

U.S. dollar market of Kazakhstan: day results

/IRBIS, Sergey Yakovlev, Andrey Tsalyuk, March 29, 04/ - Following is the table of major indicators of Kazakhstan market for U.S. dollar (over 99% of country's foreign exchange market) according to results of the day. Values are given in tenge per dollar, volume - th. USD, trends are shown relative to corresponding figures of previous trading day.

Results of trades at Kazakhstan stock exchange

------------------------------------------------------------------
Instrument                       USD TOD      USD TOD      USD TOM
KASE's session                      Main   Additional   Additional
                               (morning)        (day)    (evening)
Time                   10:15 - 11:00 ALT  11:30-15:30  14:00-18:00
                       ----------------- ------------ ------------
Indicator                 Value    Trend  Value trend  value trend
---------------------- -------- -------- ------ ----- ------ -----
Opening rate             138.45    +0.15 138.68 +0.25      -     -
---------------------- -------- -------- ------ ----- ------ -----
Maximum rate             138.74    -0.26 138.90 +0.35      -     -
Volume on max. Price         35      +30    100  -200      0     0
---------------------- -------- -------- ------ ----- ------ -----
Minimum rate             138.40    +0.10 138.68 +0.25      -     -
volume on min. Price          5        0    400  +350      0     0
---------------------- -------- -------- ------ ----- ------ -----
Closing rate             138.74    +0.31 138.90 +0.44      -     -
---------------------- -------- -------- ------ ----- ------ -----
Weight. aver. rate       138.62    +0.21 138.78 +0.27      -     -
Volume of the session     10380   -26855   9040 +5125      0     0
Number of deals             207      +53     57   +25      0     0
Number of participants       17       -3     16     0      0    -2
---------------------- -------- -------- ------ ----- ------ -----
Best ask*                138.71    +0.28 138.80 +0.34      -     -
Best bid*                138.74    +0.30 138.90 +0.39      -     -
---------------------- -------- -------- ------ ----- ------ -----
REUTERS Bid*             138.65    +0.29 138.74 +0.25 138.69 +0.23
REUTERS Ask*             138.75    +0.29 138.84 +0.30 138.79 +0.28
------------------------------------------------------------------
* at closing of the session at KASE, out of stock exchange - by the data of
REUTERS

Table of price levels of trade in US dollar at KASE on TOD terms

---------------------------------------------------------
                                                    TOTAL
                                   BY RESULTS OF THE DAY:
            Morning          Day ------------------------
           Session:     session:              time (ALT):
 Price ------------ ------------              -----------
 level volume deals volume deals volume deals  from    to
------ ------ ----- ------ ----- ------ ----- ----- -----
138.90                 100     1    100     1 15:29 15:29
138.89                 100     1    100     1 15:29 15:29
138.88                 100     1    100     1 15:28 15:28
138.87                 345     5    345     5 15:28 15:29
138.86                 195     2    195     2 15:27 15:28
138.85                 400     2    400     2 15:26 15:26
138.84                 100     1    100     1 15:26 15:26
138.82                 300     1    300     1 15:24 15:24
138.81                 150     1    150     1 15:23 15:23
138.80                1300     9   1300     9 15:22 15:23
138.79                 200     2    200     2 15:20 15:20
138.78                1600    10   1600    10 12:18 15:19
138.77                1100     5   1100     5 12:13 14:24
138.76                 800     5    800     5 12:13 14:24
138.75                 800     4    800     4 11:53 14:54
138.74     35     2    100     1    135     3 10:55 13:56
138.73   1695    34    350     2   2045    36 10:55 11:56
138.72    145     3                 145     3 10:50 10:50
138.71    325     7                 325     7 10:50 10:52
138.70    760     7    300     1   1060     8 10:45 11:35
138.69    190     3    300     1    490     4 10:45 11:35
138.68    700     3    400     2   1100     5 10:45 11:34
138.66    450     6                 450     6 10:44 10:48
138.65    260     5                 260     5 10:44 10:44
138.64    250     4                 250     4 10:43 10:43
138.63    500     1                 500     1 10:43 10:43
138.62    300     3                 300     3 10:42 10:42
138.61    150     2                 150     2 10:42 10:42
138.60    995    14                 995    14 10:15 10:42
138.59    150     3                 150     3 10:38 10:39
138.58     55     3                  55     3 10:38 10:38
138.57    115     4                 115     4 10:38 10:38
138.56    170     4                 170     4 10:36 10:37
138.55    105     3                 105     3 10:36 10:37
138.54    120     3                 120     3 10:36 10:36
138.53    165     6                 165     6 10:35 10:36
138.52    300     7                 300     7 10:28 10:33
138.51   1000    28                1000    28 10:27 10:33
138.50   1435    50                1435    50 10:16 10:27
138.45      5     1                   5     1 10:15 10:15
138.40      5     1                   5     1 10:15 10:15
------ ------ ----- ------ ----- ------ ----- ----- -----
TOTAL   10370   205   9040    57  19410   262 10:15 15:29
---------------------------------------------------------

Parameters of unsatisfied demand and supply at trading system of KASE for the last 5 days (the amount of active bids by the time of morning and day trades closed, th. USD)

-----------------------------------------------------------------
Indicator  Mar 23, 04 Mar 24, 04 Mar 25, 04 Mar 26, 04 Mar 29, 04
---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ----------
Bid             4,760      3,140     13,210      4,215      3,345
Ask             3,965      2,985      5,700      8,365      3,600
---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ----------
Difference       -795       -155     -7,510     +4,150       +255
-----------------------------------------------------------------

The day outlined another corrective movement up at Kazakhstan market of US dollar. Moderate volume of USD offering settle down the market rate at 138.90. In general, determinant factors that shaped market today include stable demand on the part of five participants, whose needs on net positions exceeded a million of dollars per each.

Day results point at the fact that favorable conditions for dollar corrective movement development are emerging at market. The most interesting is that some USD traditional sellers supported such movement today.

Results of technical analysis traced prices going up back to recently penetrated horizontal channel. The extend to which corrective movement will develop depends on psychological spirit of traders and degree of their speculative interest. If we consider changeless of factors influencing market and empirical evidence of previous readjustments, IRBIS analysts do not tend to overestimate the potential of the movement, because it seemed that market achieved its equilibrium already today, when day trades were approaching the end.

IRBIS forecast for Tuesday: prices going up at 139.00.

[2004-03-29]