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Market and Company News
17.09.2003 00:00

U.S. dollar market of Kazakhstan: day results

/IRBIS, September 17, 03/ - Following is the table of major indicators of Kazakhstan market for U.S. dollar (more than 99% of country's all currency market) according to results of the day. Values are given in tenge per dollar, volume - th. USD, trends are shown relative to corresponding figures of previous day.

Results of trades at Kazakhstan stock exchange

-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Instrument                        USD TOD        USD TOD        USD TOM
KASE's session                       Main     Additional     Additional
                                (morning)          (day)      (evening)
Time                    10:15 - 11:00 ALT    11:30-15:30    14:00-18:00
                        -----------------  -------------  -------------
Indicator                  value    trend   value  trend   value  trend
----------------------  --------  -------  ------  -----  ------  -----
Opening rate              147.00    -0.40  147.56  -0.02       -      -
----------------------  --------  -------  ------  -----  ------  -----
Maximum rate              147.80    +0.19  147.56  -0.05       -      -
Volume on max. price           5      -95    2500   2055       0      0
----------------------  --------  -------  ------  -----  ------  -----
Minimum rate              147.00    -0.40  147.52  +0.02       -      -
volume on min. price           5        0     300   +250       0      0
----------------------  --------  -------  ------  -----  ------  -----
Closing rate              147.61        0  147.55  -0.06       -      -
----------------------  --------  -------  ------  -----  ------  -----
Weight. aver. rate        147.55    +0.10  147.55  -0.02       -      -
Volume of the session       7275    -4425    6230    -50       0      0
Number of deals               47      -29      31    -15       0      0
Number of participants        16        0      13     -2       0      0
----------------------  --------  -------  ------  -----  ------  -----
Best ask*                 147.58    -0.03  147.53  -0.05       -      -
Best bid*                 147.62    -0.02  147.55  -0.06       -      -
----------------------  --------  -------  ------  -----  ------  -----
REUTERS Bid*              147.55    +0.05  147.50  -0.11  147.48  -0.05
REUTERS Ask*              147.65    +0.08  147.57  -0.12  147.56  -0.05
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
* at closing of the session at KASE. out of stock exchange - 
  by the data of REUTERS

Table of price levels of trade in US dollar at KASE on TOD terms

------------------------------------------------------------------
                                      TOTAL BY RESULTS OF THE DAY:
              Morning            Day  ----------------------------
             session:       session:                   time (ALT):
 Price  -------------  -------------                  ------------
 level  volume  deals  volume  deals   volume  deals   from     to
------  ------  -----  ------  -----  -------  -----  -----  -----
147.80       5      1                       5      1  10:15  10:15
147.61     705      6                     705      6  10:53  10:57
147.60      10      1                      10      1  10:53  10:53
147.59     520      3                     520      3  10:53  10:53
147.58     110      2                     110      2  10:51  10:51
147.57    1300      2                    1300      2  10:49  10:49
147.56     320      2    2500     11     2820     13  10:49  15:20
147.55    1200      6    1130      9     2330     15  10:28  15:29
147.54     150      2    1800      7     1950      9  10:43  15:29
147.53     550      4     500      3     1050      7  10:38  15:20
147.52     500      1     300      1      800      2  10:41  15:20
147.51     100      1                     100      1  10:28  10:28
147.50    1700     14                    1700     14  10:23  10:40
147.49     100      1                     100      1  10:23  10:23
147.00       5      1                       5      1  10:15  10:15
------  ------  -----  ------  -----  -------  -----  -----  -----
TOTAL     7275     47    6230     31    13505     78  10:15  15:29
------------------------------------------------------------------

The Kazakhstani market of U.S. dollar is still being influenced limited short0term liquidity of the banking sector, caused by the last "taxing week" of September. The cost of the shortest money remains at 6%APR higher on average, though repo "overnight" today were opened at much lower rates than yesterday. The demand for MEOKAM notably declined, another issue of which the Ministry of Finance was floating today. The National Bank for a second day does not float notes and actually does not plan to do it on Thursday. It is of course cannot be concluded that there is a deficit of tenge, but banks' passivity is being felt for the second day.

Nevertheless, banks are reluctant to sell USD with the purpose of supporting tenge liquidity, preferring to reduce the volume of operations with American currency to minimal level and limit themselves to the orders of clients. The volume of USD trading is continuously falling with simultaneous reduction of number of deals and participants. The market is developing towards horizontal and flank direction approximately at the same price levels, however the amplitude of dollar's hesitations was significantly narrowed today, and highlighted the main price channel of 147.52-147.56 during the second half of the day. Traders are waiting for the time being and don't demonstrate their willingness to actively influence the market so that to move it out from shaky equilibrium. By the day results, there is no the impression of general expectation about market's going up, though objectively, market is still opened for either directions approximately with equal chances.

In IRBIS specialists' opinion, the market development towards flank trend may remain till the end of the current week, after what dollar will tend to appreciate.

[2003-09-17]