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05.08.2003 00:00

As of August 1, 2003 total state debt of Kazakhstan, issued as GS, reached KZT540.3 bn or $3,681.1 m along with servicing

/IRBIS, August 5, 03/ - As of August 1, 2003 total state debt of Kazakhstan, issued as government securities (GS), including municipal bonds, along with the servicing (amount of coupon payments) equaled in current prices to KZT540.3 bn, or $3,681.1 m at the rate KZT146.79 per dollar. Specialists of IRBIS came to this conclusion after making the analysis on the database of the agency. When making this analysis the payments on MEIKAM were calculated along with the consumer price index, which was fixed for the period from May till July of the current year.

Since July 1 through July 31, 2003 total debt increased by 56,690.3 m (+11.72%) in tenge, in dollar equivalent (taking into account change in the rate of the National Bank) - by 413,137.8 th. (+12.64%). Corresponding figures of debt changing in June were +KZT45,157.8 m (+10.30%) or +$360,133.3 th. (+12.38%).

According to the data, which IRBIS possesses, volume of GS issue of the National Bank in July by sums of floatation reached KZT91,899.1 m.(in June - KZT89,709.6 m.). At that, the issuer redeemed liabilities in the amount of KZT57,831.5 m. (KZT46,169.2 m.). July's net-borrowing balance of the National Bank at GS market was positive KZT34,067.6 m. Corresponding index of June - positive KZT43,540.4 m. Decrease of volume of borrowing of the National Bank by net-index was possible due to the help of the Ministry of finance. This issuer borrowed in July due to МЕОКАМ offering KZT8,900.0 m. (in June - KZT3,000.0 m.). Total sum of coupon payments equaled to KZT504.8 m. (2,041.1 m.). July's net-borrowing balance of the Ministry of finance is estimated by IRBIS at positive KZT8,395.2 m. (in June - positive KZT663.9 m.).

Thus, the significant increase of debt sum in July was caused mainly by further growth of issuing activity of the National Bank, which continues to tie excessive tenge liquidity. But, unlike the previous month the Ministry of finance significantly helped it. However, judging on the above-mentioned data, stake of participation of the Ministry of finance at the primary GS market is still small.

Following table contains more detailed information.

---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                        Amount and structure of debt
                                       -----------------------------
                                                   as of                         Change
                     Currency* of             July 31,03       as of     for the period
                     ----------------  -----------------  June 30,03  -----------------
Issuer               issue  servicing   bn KZT  stake, %      bn KZT      m KZT       %
-------------------  -----  ---------  -------  --------  ----------  ---------  ------
National Bank        KZT    KZT        235.617      43.6     187.640  +47,977.7   +25.6
-------------------  -----  ---------  -------  --------  ----------  ---------  ------
Ministry of Finance
                                       289.140      53.5     280.299   +8,841.1    +3.2
incl. face value                       227.605      42.1     219.559   +8,046.6    +3.7
also, domestic GS    KZT,                           25.1
                     USD    KZT        135.861               127.059   +8,802.9    +6.9
also, euronotes
                     USD    USD         91.744      17.0      92.500     -756.2    -0.8
incl. servicing                         61.535      11.4      60.741     +794.5    +1.3
also, domestic GS    KZT,                            5.6
                     USD    KZT         30.422                29.372   +1,050.9    +3.6
also, euronotes
                     USD    USD         31.113       5.8      31.369     -256.5    -0.8
-------------------  -----  ---------  -------  --------  ----------  ---------  ------
Municipals           USD    KZT         15.590       2.9      15.718     -128.5    -0.8
incl. face value     USD    KZT         12.473       2.3      12.576     -102.8    -0.8
incl. servicing      USD    KZT          3.117      0.58       3.143      -25.7    -0.8
-------------------  -----  ---------  -------  --------  ----------  ---------  ------
incl. Astana akimat
                     USD    KZT          5.909      1.09       5.958      -48.7    -0.8
also, face value      USD
                            KZT          4.733      0.88       4.772      -39.0    -0.8
also, servicing      USD    KZT          1.176      0.22       1.186       -9.7    -0.8
-------------------  -----  ---------  -------  --------  ----------  ---------  ------
incl. Atyrau
region akimat        USD    KZT          7.755      1.44       7.819      -63.9    -0.8
also, face value                         6.022
                     USD    KZT                     1.11       6.072      -49.6    -0.8
also, servicing      USD    KZT          1.733      0.32       1.748      -14.3    -0.8
-------------------  -----  ---------  -------  --------  ----------  ---------  ------
incl. E-Kz region
akimat               USD    KZT          1.925      0.36       1.941      -15.9    -0.8
also, face value     USD    KZT          1.718      0.32       1.732      -14.2    -0.8
also, servicing      USD    KZT          0.207      0.04       0.209       -1.7    -0.8
-------------------  -----  ---------  -------  --------  ----------  ---------  ------
TOTAL                                  540.347     100.0     483.657  +56,690.3  +11.72
incl. face value                       475.695      88.0     419.774  +55,921.5   +13.3
incl. Servicing                         64.652      12.0      63.883     +768.8   +1.20
-------------------  -----  ---------  -------  --------  ----------  ---------  ------
OR
-------------------  -----  ---------  -------  --------  ----------  ---------  ------
incl. internal debt
                     KZT    KZT        417.491      77.3     359.788  +57,703.0   +16.0
also, face value     KZT    KZT        383.952      71.1     327.274  +56,677.7   +17.3
also, servicing      KZT    KZT         33.539       6.2      32.514   +1,025.3    +3.2
-------------------  -----  ---------  -------  --------  ----------  ---------  ------
incl. external debt                                                                -0.8
                     USD    USD        122.856      22.7     123.869   -1,012.7
also, face value     USD    USD         91.744      17.0      92.500     -756.2    -0.8
also, servicing      USD    USD         31.113       5.8      31.369     -256.5    -0.8
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

*USD is shown as issue currency also in case the face value of bond is expressed in tenge, but the security is indexed on the level of changing of the rate of tenge to US dollar.

The equivalent amounts as of June 30, 03 were calculated at KZT148.00 per dollar rate, as of July 31, 03 - at KZT146.79. Therefore, the data shown in the table reflect the dynamics due to the exchange rate differences.

Similar figures in U.S. dollars are given in the following table.

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                        Amount and structure of debt
                                       -----------------------------
                                                   as of                          Change
                     Currency* of             July 31,03       as of      for the period
                     ----------------  -----------------  June 30,03  ------------------
Issuer               issue  servicing  mln USD  stake, %     mln USD     th. USD       %
-------------------  -----  ---------  -------  --------  ----------  ----------  ------
National Bank        KZT    KZT        1,605.1      43.6     1,267.8  +337,295.5   +26.6
-------------------  -----  ---------  -------  --------  ----------  ----------  ------
Ministry of
Finance                                1,969.8      53.5     1,893.9   +75,841.3    +4.0
incl. face value                       1,550.6      42.1     1,483.5   +67,045.9    +4.5
also, domestic GS    KZT,                           25.1
                     USD    KZT          925.6                 858.5   +67,045.9    +7.8
also, euronotes      USD    USD          625.0      17.0       625.0           0       0
incl. Servicing                          419.2      11.4       410.4    -8,795.4    +2.1
also, domestic GS    KZT,                            5.6
                     USD    KZT          207.3                 198.5    -8,795.4    +4.4
also, euronotes      USD    USD          212.0       5.8       212.0           0       0
-------------------  -----  ---------  -------  --------  ----------  ----------  ------
Municipals           USD    KZT          106.2       2.9       106.2           0       0
incl. face value     USD    KZT           85.0       2.3        85.0           0       0
incl. Servicing      USD    KZT           21.2      0.58        21.2           0       0
-------------------  -----  ---------  -------  --------  ----------  ----------  ------
incl. Astana
akimat               USD    KZT           40.3      1.09        40.3           0       0
also, face value     USD    KZT           32.2      0.88        32.2           0       0
also, servicing      USD    KZT            8.0      0.22         8.0           0       0
-------------------  -----  ---------  -------  --------  ----------  ----------  ------
incl. Atyrau
region akimat        USD    KZT           52.8      1.44        52.8           0       0
also, face value     USD    KZT           41.0      1.11        41.0           0       0
also, servicing      USD    KZT           11.8      0.32        11.8           0       0
-------------------  -----  ---------  -------  --------  ----------  ----------  ------
incl. E-Kz region
akimat               USD    KZT           13.1      0.36        13.1           0       0
also, face value     USD    KZT           11.7      0.32        11.7           0       0
also, servicing      USD    KZT            1.4      0.04         1.4           0   -13.9
-------------------  -----  ---------  -------  --------  ----------  ----------  ------
TOTAL                                  3,681.1     100.0     3,268.0  +413,137.8  +12.64
incl. face value                       3,240.7      88.0     2,836.3  +404,342.4   +14.3
incl. Servicing                          440.4      12.0       431.6    +8,795.4    +2.0
-------------------  -----  ---------  -------  --------  ----------  ----------  ------
OR
-------------------  -----  ---------  -------  --------  ----------  ----------  ------
incl. internal debt
                     KZT    KZT        2,844.1      77.3     2,431.0  +413,137.8   +17.0
also, face value     KZT    KZT        2,615.7      71.1     2,211.3  +404,342.4   +18.3
also, servicing      KZT    KZT          228.8       6.2       219.7    +8,795.4    +4.0
-------------------  -----  ---------  -------  --------  ----------  ----------  ------
incl. external debt                                                            0       0
                     USD    USD          837.0      22.7       837.0
also, face value     USD    USD          625.0      17.0       625.0           0       0
also, servicing      USD    USD          212.0       5.8       212.0           0       0
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

*USD is shown as issue currency also in case the face value of bond is expressed in tenge, but the security is indexed on the level of changing of the rate of tenge to US dollar.

The agency IRBIS draws the attention of its subscribers and mass media to the fact that these data are not official and were obtained through the analysis of the information on primary GS market from the databases of the agency.

The agency IRBIS also draws the attention of the mass media that this material was prepared by the agency IRBIS but not the Kazakhstan Stock Exchange (KASE).

[2003-08-05]