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17.09.2002 00:00

ANALYSIS: Dynamics of conditional pension unit of Kazakhstan APF since beginning of their activities till September 1, 2002

/IRBIS, September 17, 02 / - IRBIS information agency of financial markets (Almaty) continues publication of information on pension market provided by the National Bank of Kazakhstan.

In the following table values of condition pension unit (CPU) of accumulative pension funds' (APF) assets of the republic as of September 1, 2002 are given. Funds have been sorted in an order, which corresponds to a start of their activity at the market. Trends are given in percents relative to corresponding data on August 1, 2002.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                             CPU change in % APR
                            ----------------------------------------------------
          Data of   Meaning            m the beginning of:          During last:
Title    Activity of CPU on ------------------------------ ---------------------
of fund     start  Sep 1.02 activity   2000    2001   2002 6 mon.  3 mon. 1 mon.
------- --------- --------- -------- ------ ------- ------ ------ ------- ------
SAPF    Jan 15.98  254.3769    33.34  17.21   15.74  14.17  14.65   12.63  12.51
                    (+1.06)   (-0.1) (+0.2) (-0.04) (-0.6) (+2.0) (-16.6) (-6.6)
------- --------- --------- -------- ------ ------- ------ ------ ------- ------
HBK     Feb 24.98  282.0752    40.28  16.99   14.21  11.65  11.08   11.40   5.05
                    (+0.43)   (-1.2) (-1.8)  (-2.9) (-7.3) (-9.5) (-12.0)(-68.3)
------- --------- --------- -------- ------ ------- ------ ------ ------- ------
VTF     Mar 20.98  270.5961    38.29  17.95   14.22  11.83  11.10   12.12   8.73
                    (+0.74)   (-0.7) (-0.9)  (-1.3) (-3.0) (-7.4)  (+0.4)(-31.4)
------- --------- --------- -------- ------ ------- ------ ------ ------- ------
HPF     Mar 22.98  288.4865    42.36  17.90   14.97  11.87  10.52    9.90   8.34
                    (+0.71)   (-0.8) (-1.0)  (-1.6) (-3.5) (-6.1)  (-1.5)(-30.3)
------- --------- --------- -------- ------ ------- ------ ------ ------- ------
Kunaev  Mar 24.98  253.9045    34.63  18.26   14.70  12.94  12.34   11.80   8.30
                    (+0.71)   (-0.8) (-1.1)  (-1.6) (-4.3) (-3.4)  (+0.7)(-13.8)
------- --------- --------- -------- ------ ------- ------ ------ ------- ------
Kazmys  Apr 19.98  291.9075    43.89  18.05   14.95  13.14  11.52   13.43  15.37
                    (+1.31)   (+0.0) (+0.8)  (+1.5) (+3.9) (+6.0) (+21.7)(+28.3)
------- --------- --------- -------- ------ ------- ------ ------ ------- ------
UlUm    Apr 20.98  283.4449    41.98  16.81   14.17  12.15  11.27   11.08  11.77
                    (+1.00)   (-0.4)(+0.02)  (+0.1) (+0.5)(-0.02) (+10.0) (+0.7)
------- --------- --------- -------- ------ ------- ------ ------ ------- ------
Kaz-n   Apr 28.98  272.0165    39.56  17.88   15.54  12.54  11.67   11.51   9.21
                    (+0.78)   (-0.7) (-0.8)  (-1.4) (-3.0) (-7.7)  (-4.7)(-31.6)
------- --------- --------- -------- ------ ------- ------ ------ ------- ------
NGD     Jun 07.98  278.2280    42.05  18.02   15.95  11.23  11.74    9.86   8.09
                    (+0.69)   (-0.9) (-1.1)  (-1.9) (-3.3)(-13.6)  (-5.7)(-34.2)
------- --------- --------- -------- ------ ------- ------ ------ ------- ------
Kurmet  Jan 22.99  228.8358    35.68  17.18   15.44  12.03  11.18   10.90   9.53
                    (+0.81)   (-0.9) (-0.6)  (-1.2) (-2.2) (-4.7)  (+1.7)(-23.1)
------- --------- --------- -------- ------ ------- ------ ------ ------- ------
ААКMG   Mar 03.99  197.0030    27.70  16.57   14.69  12.50  11.63   10.86   8.58
                    (+0.73)   (-1.0) (-0.8)  (-1.5) (-3.7) (-6.7)  (-5.4)(-34.0)
------- --------- --------- -------- ------ ------- ------ ------ ------- ------
SENIM   Jul 20.99  153.8790    17.27  17.66   15.19  13.10  12.87   14.06  13.66
                    (+1.16)   (+0.6) (+0.4)  (+0.6) (+1.8) (+2.3)  (+7.1)(-11.0)
------- --------- --------- -------- ------ ------- ------ ------ ------- ------
Korgau  Dec 01.99  142.1540    15.31  15.71   14.89  12.11   9.32    9.37   8.31
                    (+0.71)   (-0.7) (-0.8)  (-1.6) (-3.7) (-3.7)  (+2.3)(-28.0)
------- --------- --------- -------- ------ ------- ------ ------ ------- ------
PMK     Apr 07.01  114.4808    10.32      -       -  11.19  10.35    9.71   8.28
                    (+0.70)   (-0.6)      -       - (-3.0) (-5.4)  (+2.2)(-31.9)
------- --------- --------- -------- ------ ------- ------ ------ ------- ------
Otan    Nov 26.01  107.2642     9.50      -       -      -  10.86   13.10  10.10
                    (+0.86)   (+1.7)      -       -      - (+5.7)  (+3.7)(-32.3)
------- --------- --------- -------- ------ ------- ------ ------ ------- ------
Capital Mar 06.02  102.5507     5.20      -       -      -      -    6.70   6.29
                    (+0.53)   (+5.1)      -       -      -      -  (+5.7)(-22.6)
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

It's better to make conclusions about effectiveness of activity of APF (more precisely PAMC) based not on absolute value of CPU but its speed of change since the absolute value of the unit depends on operating tern of the fund. Due to this reason IRBIS agency operates in table with the speed of the change of CPU in different periods, expressed in percents APR. The indicator for each period is determined as a difference between the last and first values of CPU divided by first value, expressed in percents, then divided by number of days in the period and multiplied by 365. According to IRBIS analysts, derived parameter can be considered as a nominal (without taking into account inflation) yield of fund assets during period for the depositor.

The following detailed table enables to observe dynamics of above described change indicator of CPU (% APR) in monthly sector for the last 12 months. The data have been sorted alphabetically.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                           2001                                            2002
        ----------------------- ----------------------------------------------- Avera-
Fund     Sept   Oct   Nov   Dec   Jan   Feb   Mar   Apr   May   Jun   Jul   Aug     ge
------- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------
ААКMG   15.38 11.75 10.97 19.80 15.05 13.43 13.26 12.24 10.38 10.73 12.99  8.58  12.88
VTF     10.77 13.54 15.28 22.36 12.60 14.04  9.06 11.52  8.61 14.61 12.73  8.73  12.82
SPAF    12.92 33.15  8.84 19.01 12.79 10.61 10.54 17.50 19.83 11.57 13.39 12.51  15.22
Kaz-n   13.21 10.02 15.29 19.92 13.72 15.00  9.68 13.66 10.88 11.53 13.47  9.21  12.96
Kazmys  11.90  9.95 11.05 18.61 21.88 11.82  8.64 10.66  8.41 12.46 11.98 15.37  12.73
Capital     -     -     -     -     -     -     -  3.41  5.23  5.53  8.12  6.29   5.72
Korgau  11.31 11.01 10.43 18.79 28.18 10.44  9.07 10.20  7.69  8.01 11.54  8.31  12.08
Kunaev  12.01 11.06 11.81 15.15 16.81 10.62 19.31  9.67  8.08 17.30  9.64  8.30  12.48
Kurmet  14.04 11.01 15.72 19.23 14.72 12.81 12.06 12.12  9.00 10.49 12.39  9.53  12.76
HBK     12.07 13.36 11.30 18.39 13.62 11.59 10.10 11.50  9.55 13.00 15.92  5.05  12.12
NGD     14.48 10.92 11.35 36.86  0.04 19.11 18.03 11.53  9.81  8.94 12.29  8.09  13.46
PAF     11.88 12.12 12.75 22.45 17.71 12.36 12.29 11.23  8.79  9.13 11.98  8.34  12.59
Otan        -     -     -  6.57  7.04  6.47  9.09  7.01  8.74 13.89 14.92 10.10   9.32
SENIM   11.90  0.56 22.66 18.10 13.70 12.08 10.27 12.31 10.96 12.64 15.35 13.66  12.85
UlUm    11.88 11.08 11.19 19.49 15.94 11.89 12.96 11.36  8.83  9.43 11.69 11.77  12.29
PMK      9.90  9.26  8.33 18.14 14.24 11.79 13.81 10.38  7.69  8.42 12.16  8.28  11.03
------- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ----- ------
Average 12.40 12.06 12.64 19.52 14.54 12.27 11.88 11.02  9.53 11.10 12.54  9.51  12.08
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

For simplicity, following abbreviations have been used in the table: VTF - PAPF Valut-tranzit fund CJSC; Kunaev - PAPFOT after Kunaev CJSC; HPF - OAPF Halyk Pension Fund CJSC; Kaz-n - PAPF Kazakhstan CJSC; HBK - APF Halyk Bank of Kazakhstan; Kazmys - APF Kazakhmys CJSC; UlUm - up to Oct 10,01 OAPF Ular CJSC, on October 1 - OAPF UlarUmit CJSC; NGD - PAPF NefteGas-Dem; Kurmet - POAPF Kurmet; AAKMG - APF ABN AMRO - KaspiiMunaiGas CJSC; SENIM - OAPF SENIM CJSC;
Korgau - APF Korgau CJSC; PMK - KAPF Philip Morris Kazakhstan CJSC; Otan - OAPF OTAN CJSC; SAPF - State Accumulative Pension Fund CJSC; Capital - APF Capital CJSC; "-" - the data is absent because of no fund activity or fund liquidation and also due to that fund worked during non-full month or data cannot be taken into account as objectively unstable.

The data is published as deserving attention of all participants of Kazakhstan pension reform.

[2002-09-17]