Review of key events and forecasts from ASYL INVEST JCS (Kazakhstan) analysts for January 17, 2012
17.01.12 16:25
/IRBIS, January 17, 2012/ - ASYL INVEST JCS (Almaty)
provided IRBIS with the review of main events and its investment
ideas and forecasts for January 17, 2012.
Analysts of ASYL INVEST JCS note the following tendencies
on Kazakhstani and world markets:
- The Asian markets today are growing on significant pace
after France successfully placed its bonds, and today
China's GDP data for Q4 2011 showed economic slowdown
by 8.9%, fueling speculation that the government will soften
monetary policy. Chinese indices Hang-Seng and Shanghai
Composite now grow on average by 2%, Nikkei adds 1%,
while the Australian market - more than 1.5%. Futures on
U.S. indices are now growing within 0.5%.
- Commodity markets today show moderate trend. WTI oil
quotation today added 1% while the European Brent crude is
rising by 0.4%. Copper traded in Shanghai and New York
shows substantial growth, adding 1.8 and 2.6% respectively.
Gold in the Asian session is gaining 1%.
- The euro/dollar today is growing at 0.4% after successful
placement of bonds in France.
- Today, investors will be focused on the macroeconomic and
corporate news. Today, Wells Fargo and Citigroup
economical reports may show increased confidence among
investors in Germany and the business district in New York.
- The news background today is positive for stocks of mining
companies in Kazakhstan. "Asyl INVEST" recommends to
"buy" shares of Kazakhmys and EP KMG. Our target price
on shares of Kazakhmys is 16.9 British pounds, shares of
KMG EP - 20,254 KZT.
- Analysts of "Asyl INVEST" offer a strong conservation of the
dynamics of quotations of ordinary and preferred shares of
Kazakhtelecom in the short term after a specific time frame
and amount of the sale of shares in mobile operator "GSM
Kazakhstan". Stocks have high growth potential, as selling
shares at a far higher price than it is recorded on the balance
sheet, positive impact on its net profit in 2012 and is likely to
give shareholders greater dividends for 2012. In addition, the
"Asyl INVEST" expect, that a significant portion of the profits
from the sale are capitalized and greatly increase the book
value of common shares of Kazakhtelecom. In view of the
last message in the transaction "Asyl Invest" has set the
minimum range of fair prices for preferred shares of
Kazakhtelecom at around 18,100 tenge. Target price of "Asyl
Invest" for the Company's common shares - 38,477 KZT
based on the projected book value of equity at the end of
2012, and estimates the market method.
- Analysts "Asyl Invest" also recommended "buy" the People's
Bank common stock, received good support at around 200
tenge. At current price levels, 198.5 tenge per share, they
look extremely attractive. Leading credit rating agency S & P
in December raised the long-term credit ratings of the bank
by two grades to 'BB' from 'B +', while maintaining its outlook
on "stable". Rating actions confirm the view of the "Asyl
Invest" to the issuer as a financially secure, given the leading
market position, low debt burden, high levels of capitalization
and liquidity, as well as high ability to generate profits.
Target price of "Asyl Invest" on the shares of the bank is 474
tenge.
This material has only informative character and is not the offer
or recommendation to make any transactions with the stocks. Irbis Agency doesn't
take responsibility for the opinions which are given in this material.
[2012-01-17]