Review of key events and forecasts from ASYL INVEST JCS (Kazakhstan) analysts for November 23, 2011
23.11.11 16:24
/IRBIS, November 23, 2011/ - ASYL INVEST JCS (Almaty)
provided IRBIS with the review of main events and its investment
ideas and forecasts for November 23, 2011.
Analysts of ASYL INVEST JCS note the following tendencies
on Kazakhstani and world markets:
- Trading in Asia today is under pressure from negative
economic news. Japan's Nikkei today is reduced to 0.4%,
while China's Hang-Seng and Shanghai Composite lost 1.9
and 0.6% respectively. Futures on U.S. indices today
reduced by 1.2%. The reason for economic concern in Asia
was unexpectedly weaker growth of U.S. GDP in the third
quarter of 2011. According to revised data economy grew by
2% instead of 2.5% on initial assessment. Statistics on
China also gave grounds for concern. HSBC data on the
index of business activity in the industrial sector showed
reduced production. The index in November was 48 points
against 50 points a month earlier. 50 points is the threshold
between the reduction and increased production.
- Commodity markets today show negative trend. Quotes of
WTI oil and Brent fell by an average of 1%. Copper in
electronic trading in New York is getting cheaper by 0.6%.
- The euro/dollar continues to trade today in the hallway of
1.3422-1.3514. At today's auction rate becomes 0.3% at
1.346.
- The news background now is moderately negative for stocks
of mining companies in Kazakhstan, quotes of Kazakhmys,
ENRC and KMG EP may show negative trend.
- Analysts of ASYL INVEST recommend to "buy" on Halyk
Bank common stock, which received good support at around
200 tenge. At current price levels, 210 tenge per share, they
look extremely attractive. In fact, stocks are estimated at a
book value that is not reasonable for the Bank, which has
high growth prospects of net income and return on equity
(ROE) due to higher net interest margins, reduce costs to
the formation of provisions, effective control of operating
expenses, the presence of significant levels of liquidity and
low debt burden.
- Analysts of ASYL INVEST recommend investors to "buy"
preferred shares of Kazakhtelecom. As previously
mentioned stocks have high growth potential, after the
company announced the sale of its 49% stake in mobile
operator LLC "GSM Kazakhstan". Selling shares at a much
higher price (of mobile communications sector, even in the
current situation is estimated at more than 9 annual profits)
than it is recorded on the balance sheet, positive impact on
its net profit in 2012 and is likely to give big dividends to
shareholders up to 2012.
This material has only informative character and is not the offer
or recommendation to make any transactions with the stocks. Irbis
Agency doesn't take responsibility for the opinions which are given
in this material.
[2011-11-23]