Review of key events and forecasts from ASYL INVEST JCS (Kazakhstan) analysts for November 21, 2011
21.11.11 15:46
/IRBIS, November 21, 2011/ - ASYL INVEST JCS (Almaty)
provided IRBIS with the review of main events and its investment
ideas and forecasts for November 21, 2011.
Analysts of ASYL INVEST JCS note the following tendencies
on Kazakhstani and world markets:
- Trading in Asia today is accompanied by decline in major
indexes under pressure on fears the Eurozone and the weak
macroeconomic news. Yesterday it became known that one
of the three leaders of the Greek coalition Antonis Samaras
in response to the creditors refused to sign a declaration that
he would support measures to resolve the crisis and the
adoption of financial assistance from the EU, saying that his
oral promise is enough. According to the market, such
actions of the coalition put on a threat made in October
agreement on Greece. Today, Singapore's Minister for
Trade, said that the economy next year could slow down
growth, while Japan's export statistics showed its first
decline in three months due to the strengthening yen.
Japan's Nikkei today is reduced by 0.2%, while China's
Hang-Seng and Shanghai Composite lost 1.8 and 0.4%
respectively. Futures on U.S. indices today continue to
decline, losing nearly 0.6-0.8%.
- Commodity markets today show weak trend. Quotes of WTI
oil and Brent show very weak growth. Copper in electronic
trading in New York is getting cheaper by almost 1%.
- The euro/dollar today has not seriously advanced, trading at
around 1.353 under pressure on news from Europe and the
weak macroeconomic news.
- News background today is negative for the shares of mining
companies in Kazakhstan, quotes of Kazakhmys, ENRC and
KMG EP may show marked decline in response to the weak
dynamics of prices for industrial metals and oil.
- Analysts of ASYL INVEST recommend to "buy" on Halyk
Bank common shares, which received good support at
around 200 tenge. At current price levels, 211 tenge per
share, they look extremely attractive. In fact, stocks are
estimated at a book value that is not reasonable for the
Bank, which has high growth prospects of net income and
return on equity (ROE) due to higher net interest margins,
reduce costs to the formation of provisions, effective control
of operating expenses, the presence of significant levels of
liquidity and low debt burden.
- Analysts of ASYL INVEST recommend investors to "buy"
preferred shares of Kazakhtelecom. As previously
mentioned stocks have high growth potential, after the
company announced the sale of its 49% stake in mobile
operator LLC "GSM Kazakhstan". Selling shares at a much
higher price (mobile communications sector, even in the
current situation is estimated at more than 9 annual profits)
than it is recorded on the balance sheet, will have positive
impact on its net profit in 2012 and is likely to give big
dividends to shareholders up to 2012.
This material has only informative character and is not the offer
or recommendation to make any transactions with the stocks. Irbis
Agency doesn't take responsibility for the opinions which are given
in this material.
[2011-11-21]