Review of key events and forecasts from ASYL INVEST JCS (Kazakhstan) analysts for November 16, 2011
16.11.11 16:59
/IRBIS, November 16, 2011/ - ASYL INVEST JCS (Almaty)
provided IRBIS with the review of main events and its investment
ideas and forecasts for November 16, 2011.
Analysts of ASYL INVEST JCS note the following tendencies
on Kazakhstani and world markets:
- Trading in Asia today is in negative territory on concern
about the euro area, due to record growth in government
bond yields of richer countries in the region, France, Belgium
and Austria. Japan's Nikkei today is reduced to 0.7%, while
China's Hang-Seng and Shanghai Composite lost 1.5%
weight. Futures on U.S. indices today fall within 1%. Mario
Monti, today appointed to the position of prime minister of
Italy, will present the new government to President, Giorgio
Napolitano. Earlier, Mario Monti, was unable to obtain the
consent of the political parties for their participation in the so-
called technical office for talks on Monday. Lack of support
from political parties could jeopardize the implementation of
government measures to reduce the budget deficit.
- Commodity markets today show a negative trend. Quotes of
WTI oil and Brent went down within 1%. Copper in electronic
trading in New York drops by more than 1%, gold loses 0.8%
of value.
- The euro/dollar today is trading well below the mark of 1.35,
falling in morning trading at 0.6%. The dynamics of the
reflected investors' concerns about the outcome of today's
auction of government bonds of France and Spain after the
Italian bonds fell in price. Yesterday, trading showed that the
bonds of France, Belgium, Spain and Austria, investors
demand a higher premium to bond yields in Germany.
Spreads on bonds reached these countries have reached
record highs during the existence of the Eurozone.
- The news background today is very negative for shares of
mining companies in Kazakhstan, quotes of Kazakhmys,
ENRC and EP KMG may show significant reduction.
- Analysts of ASYL INVEST recommend to "buy" on Halyk
Bank common stock, received good support at around 200
tenge. At current price levels, 218 tenge per share, they look
extremely attractive. In fact, stocks are estimated at a book
value that is not reasonable for the Bank, which has high
growth prospects of net income and return on equity (ROE)
due to higher net interest margins, reduce costs to the
formation of provisions, effective control of operating
expenses, the presence of significant levels of liquidity and
low debt burden.
- Analysts of ASYL INVEST recommend investors to "buy"
preferred shares of Kazakhtelecom. As previously
mentioned stocks have high growth potential after the
company announced the sale of its 49% stake in mobile
operator LLC "GSM Kazakhstan". Selling shares at a much
higher price (of mobile communications sector, even in the
current situation is estimated at more than 9 annual profits)
than it is recorded on the balance sheet, positive impact on
its net profit in 2012 and is likely to give big dividends to
shareholders up to 2012.
This material has only informative character and is not the offer
or recommendation to make any transactions with the stocks. Irbis
Agency doesn't take responsibility for the opinions which are given
in this material.
[2011-11-16]