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14.11.2011 15:45 #Issuer news

REVIEW: KASE debt capital market in October 2011

/IRBIS, November 14, 2011/ - In October 2011 on the Kazakhstan Stock Exchange (KASE) on corporate bonds across all sectors were recorded 168 transactions totaling 16,438.5 million tenge, or 111.1 million U.S. dollars at current exchange rates at the dates of transactions. The said amount is 86.9% of the monthly trading volume in the market of corporate securities (Sep 2011 - 61.4%) and 0.5% of the total trading volume in all sectors (0.6%).

Price background for stock market of corporate bonds in October 2011 was as follows: of 50 names of bonds involved in the transaction on the secondary market at a discount were traded 25 items, with a premium - 24 items, at face value - 1. The most overbought looked KMGZe3, the weighted average net price of which amounted to 122.29%, oversold - BTASe15 (26.35%). Recall that in September 2011 of 51 items of bonds involved in the transaction on the secondary market at a discount were traded debt instruments of 22 items, with a premium - 28 items, nominal - 1. The most overbought looked KMGZe3, the weighted average net price of which amounted to 122.89%, oversold - BTASe15 (4.04%).

The weighted average net price of corporate bonds in the secondary market in October rose to 95.6% from 95.2% in September 2011. For the month on deals bond yield to maturity rose for 29 instruments (Sep 2011 - 20), decreased - for 12 instruments (22), 9 instruments were traded for the first time (8).

Below are the tables, characterizing this segment of exchange market in October 2011.

Tab. 1. Statistic characteristic of corporate bonds market on KASE in October 2011 (indicators are given taking into account direct deals)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                  Trend to
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
Indicator                                         Oct      Sep         Oct
                                                 2011     2011        2010
------------------------------------------- --------- -------- -----------
Trades volume, th., USD                     111,074.2   -29.5%       +8.1%
Trades volume, m., KZT                       16,438.5   -29.2%       +8.4%
Number of deals                                   168   +12.8%      -33.9%
Day average number of deals                         8   +18.1%      -33.9%
Day average volume of deals, th. USD          5,289.2   -26.1%       +8.1%
Day average volume of deals, m. KZT             782.8   -25.8%       +8.4%
Number of instruments,                             50    -2.0%      -12.3%
involved in deals
Stake of nego deals (number), %                     0        0     -0.4 pp
Stake of nego deals (volume), %                     0        0 -0.00003 pp
Participation of pension assets, % gross            0        0    -25.2 pp
Participation of physical entities, % gross       6.1  +1.3 pp     +1.7 pp
Participation of non residents, % gross          18.6  +4.9 pp    +17.8 pp
Number of exchange's members,                      30   -11.8%      -30.2%
who made deals
Market concentration, %*                         32.3 -23.0 pp    -40.8 pp
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
* Indicates the percentage of the total corporate bond trading,
which accounts for most traded securities (their number is 5%
the total number of items of corporate bonds, involved in the transaction).

Tab. 2. Sector structure of the trading volume in Oct 2011 of corporate bonds on KASE *

-------------------------------------------------------------------
                           Stake from total volume of trades(%) in:
                           -------------- ---------- --------------
Branch                           Oct 2011        Sep       Oct 2010
                                                2011
-------------------------- -------------- ---------- --------------
Finance                              69.7       34.8           91.6
Main
consumer sector                      13.2        8.0            1.9
Telecommunication services           12.1        5.5            1.5
Primary sector
                                      3.3        0.1            2.6
Industry                              1.1       50.7            0.1
Discretionary                         0.5        0.1           0.02
consumer sector
Utilities sector
                                      0.2        0.1            1.3
Public health                           -          -              -
Energy                                  -        0.8            1.0
Information technologies
                                        -          -              -
-------------------------------------------------------------------
* branch classification of turDecer structure was made in compliance with list 
  of classification headings of Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS) 
  of Standard and Poor

Tab. 3. Main indicators of KASE corporate bond market in October 2011

--------------------------------------------------------------
          Market.
         value of    Index                 Volume of Volume of
            debt, KASE_BY,   Index   Index    trade,    deals,
Date       USD m.    % APR KASE_BP KASE_BC   th. USD    m. KZT
-------- -------- -------- ------- ------- --------- ---------
03.10.11 40,368.2    14.49  419.91  299.31   4,331.6     641.9
04.10.11 40,353.1    14.48  419.29  298.58   6,527.0     967.1
05.10.11 40,335.5    14.56  417.28  298.07  11,806.4   1,749.7
06.10.11 40,334.3    14.69  412.24  294.02  12,736.3   1,889.3
07.10.11 40,347.3    14.71  415.89  296.55   1,977.4     293.4
10.10.11 40,295.9    14.71  416.40  297.31   1,942.0     287.9
11.10.11 40,344.9    14.71  415.90  297.12      29.9       4.4
12.10.11 40,363.0    14.71  418.57  299.44   7,912.0   1,170.1
13.10.11 40,392.6    14.71  414.40  296.49     870.8     128.6
14.10.11 40,388.4    14.71  416.66  298.66   7,291.1   1,077.0
17.10.11 40,380.7    14.71  416.88  298.22   7,120.5   1,052.9
18.10.11 40,252.6    14.72  415.82  297.65  14,341.9   2,121.0
19.10.11 40,213.4    14.72  411.15  294.68   3,647.5     539.3
20.10.11 40,220.1    14.72  409.04  293.31     640.9      94.8
21.10.11 40,204.3    14.73  411.97  295.64  15,616.4   2,311.2
24.10.11 40,210.8    14.70  408.50  293.24   1,538.0     227.6
25.10.11 40,211.7    14.70  411.61  295.83     134.6      19.9
26.10.11 40,209.1    14.71  409.95  294.64   3,325.7     492.1
27.10.11 40,221.1    14.71  409.85  294.73     575.6      85.1
28.10.11 40,254.2    14.72  409.07  294.37   7,458.1   1,100.4
31.10.11 40,247.3    14.71  408.78  293.98   1,250.6     184.8
-------- -------- -------- ------- ------- --------- ---------
Trend      -555.9     +0.2   -15.9    -8.3
%            -1.4     +1.5    -3.7    -2.7
--------------------------------------------------------------

Tab.4 Change of corporate bonds lists, traded on KASE, in Oct 2011

--------------------------------------------
                         Bonds:     Issuers:
Category of        ------ ----- ------ -----
admission          number trend number trend
------------------ ------ ----- ------ -----
Rated                 113   -20     32    -8
------------------ ------ ----- ------ -----
Non-rated
first subcategory      75    -2     20    -1
Non-rated
second subcategory     28    -1     18    -1
Buffered                5     0      4     0
------------------ ------ ----- ------ -----
Total                 221   -23     66    -4
--------------------------------------------

Tab. 5. Summary data on deals with corporate bonds on KASE in Oct 2011 (purchase and sale without consideration of nego deals)

-----------------------------------------------------------------------
             Yield to maturity for purchaser, % APR:
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Code of               At a last deal: last 365 days:  Volume of  
bond                  ------ -------- ------- ------    deals,   Number
on KASE   min.   max.  yield Trend, %    min.   max.   th. USD of deals
------- ------ ------ ------ -------- ------- ------ --------- --------
AESOb1   12.98  13.00  12.98    +0.04   12.50  13.00      81.7        6
------- ------ ------ ------ -------- ------- ------ --------- --------
AKFIb2    9.00   9.00   9.00             5.00   9.00       6.7        1
------- ------ ------ ------ -------- ------- ------ --------- --------
ASBNe13  15.51  15.93  15.93            13.22  15.93     800.7       12
------- ------ ------ ------ -------- ------- ------ --------- --------
ATFBe3    7.08   7.17   7.08     +0.4    4.64   7.61   2,424.5        4
------- ------ ------ ------ -------- ------- ------ --------- --------
ATFBe5    9.31   9.31   9.31             7.35   9.31     295.5        1
------- ------ ------ ------ -------- ------- ------ --------- --------
ATFBe6    9.19   9.19   9.19     +1.3    6.10   9.19     173.2        1
------- ------ ------ ------ -------- ------- ------ --------- --------
BRKZe3    6.77   6.77   6.77             6.36   9.00     629.5        1
------- ------ ------ ------ -------- ------- ------ --------- --------
BRKZe4    7.12   7.12   7.12     +0.1    6.85   7.33     162.9        1
------- ------ ------ ------ -------- ------- ------ --------- --------
BTASe11  29.22  29.22  29.22     -1.9   11.24  31.13      20.4        1
------- ------ ------ ------ -------- ------- ------ --------- --------
BTASe7   24.84  28.19  28.19     +1.7    9.67  28.19      61.4        2
------- ------ ------ ------ -------- ------- ------ --------- --------
BTTRb1   10.13  10.13  10.13     +0.1    8.65  10.13     347.1        1
------- ------ ------ ------ -------- ------- ------ --------- --------
CBH_b1   24.20  28.30  28.30     +4.3   20.00  40.02      12.3        2
------- ------ ------ ------ -------- ------- ------ --------- --------
CCBNb13   7.71   7.71   7.71     -0.3    7.71   9.90   7,271.1        1
------- ------ ------ ------ -------- ------- ------ --------- --------
CCBNb15   6.80   8.90   6.80             6.80  10.00   7,228.7        6
------- ------ ------ ------ -------- ------- ------ --------- --------
CCBNb20  10.00  11.10  11.10             8.00  11.10     203.2        2
------- ------ ------ ------ -------- ------- ------ --------- --------
CCBNe3   14.46  16.35  15.34     +1.5    6.21  16.35     576.0        6
------- ------ ------ ------ -------- ------- ------ --------- --------
CCBNe4    7.78   8.00   7.78             7.01   8.21     103.7        2
------- ------ ------ ------ -------- ------- ------ --------- --------
CSBNb10   9.00   9.00   9.00             9.00   9.00  17,461.8        6
------- ------ ------ ------ -------- ------- ------ --------- --------
CSBNb6   12.50  12.50  12.50 +0.00002   10.00  14.95      13.0        1
------- ------ ------ ------ -------- ------- ------ --------- --------
CSBNb7   12.00  12.00  12.00            12.00  14.00      21.2        1
------- ------ ------ ------ -------- ------- ------ --------- --------
EKGSb1    7.96   8.00   7.96             7.29   9.00   5,045.7        4
ERKAb1    8.04   8.08   8.04             8.04   9.00   1,178.5        2
EUBNb3    8.00  10.04  10.04     +0.2    8.00  11.00     303.6        6
EUBNb7    8.00   8.00   8.00   +0.002    8.00  10.00      20.9        1
EUBNb9    7.99   8.00   8.00 +0.00003    7.00   9.93   6,269.0        5
EXBNb2   13.00  13.00  13.00            10.00  18.50       5.5        1
HSBKb13  10.00  10.00  10.00             8.50  10.50      20.0        1
HSBKe2    6.44   6.82   6.44     +1.3    4.34   6.82   1,757.9        2
HSBKe3    8.10   8.10   8.10     +1.0    6.30   8.10   2,488.8        3
KDTSb1   10.29  10.29  10.29             6.00  17.00      19.4        1
KKGBb5   10.50  11.60  10.50             9.50  11.60   3,252.4        2
KKGBe15  12.34  12.50  12.50             7.72  12.50   3,218.3        5
KKGBe16   9.68   9.68   9.68             8.81   9.68      20.5        1
KKGBe21  13.00  13.00  13.00            13.00  13.00   4,034.0        1
KKGBe4   10.35  10.35  10.35     +1.5    7.14  10.80      18.1        1
KMGZe1    5.77   6.22   5.77     -0.7    3.20   6.44   4,247.2        2
KMGZe3   -5.69  -5.48  -5.69     -0.2   -5.69  -5.23   4,891.5        2
KZAPe1    5.17   5.47   5.17     -0.2    4.36   5.47   9,226.8        3
KZIKb17  10.80  13.00  10.80            10.00  14.70   6,276.9       12
ORDBb2  435.83 435.83 435.83   -107.1  375.00 595.74     723.0        1
ORDKb2   12.00  13.80  12.00  +0.0001   12.00  16.02     178.0       19
PRKRb3    7.00   7.00   7.00             7.00   7.00   3,614.7        1
SKKZb22   5.40   5.75   5.65             5.25   5.89   9,187.0        4
SKKZb23   5.70   6.30   5.70             4.50   6.40   2,655.7        4
TEBNe1                                                    65.7        2
TKUDb1    0.51   0.51   0.51     -8.7    0.51   9.26     504.7        3
TSBNb5    8.00  10.00  10.00     +2.0    8.00  14.00     117.6        9
TSBNb6    8.50   8.50   8.50             8.50  15.00      35.1        2
ZERDb1   16.00  16.00  16.00 -0.00001    5.00  43.00     258.3        7
ZHMNe1   14.16  14.16  14.16     +2.6   10.43  14.16   3,545.0        3
------- ------ ------ ------ -------- ------- ------ --------- --------
50                                                   111,074.2      168
-----------------------------------------------------------------------

Comments: Securities were sorted in alphabetical order according to codes of bonds. Trends are given in percentage points (1pp = 100 basis points) relative to the last deal of previous month - Sep 2011.

[2011-10-14]