Review of key events and forecasts from ASYL INVEST JCS (Kazakhstan) analysts for November 11, 2011
11.11.11 16:23
/IRBIS, November 11, 2011/ - ASYL INVEST JCS (Almaty)
provided IRBIS with the review of main events and its investment
ideas and forecasts for November 11, 2011.
Analysts of ASYL INVEST JCS note the following tendencies
on Kazakhstani and world markets:
- Asian indices are growing today after sharp fall on the
previous day on concerns around the euro area. Today,
incentives for growth are positive U.S. data on
unemployment showed a reduction in the number of initial
claims for unemployment benefits up to a seven-month low,
as well as the decrease in the yield of Italian bonds.
Investors today are also hoping that the Italian Senate vote
in favor of new measures to reduce the budget deficit, which
will create the conditions for forming a new government, led
by Mario Monti. Japan's Nikkei drops today at 0.4%, while
China's Hang-Seng and Shanghai Composite are rising by
1.1 and 0.6% respectively. Futures on U.S. indices today
added within 1%. Today, U.S. statistics on the index of
consumer confidence may show the growth of sentiment for
the third consecutive month, according to forecasts of
economists surveyed.
- Commodity markets today show general upward trend.
Quotes of WTI oil and Brent are rising within 0.5%. Copper
in electronic trading in New York adds nearly 1%, gold is
growing at 0.5%.
- The euro / dollar today is growing at a moderate pace,
trading at around 1.362.
- The news background now moderately positive for shares of
mining companies in Kazakhstan, quotes of Kazakhmys,
ENRC and KMG EP may show a marked increase.
- Today, analysts of ASYL INVEST again recommend that
investors pay attention to any idea, do not depend on
external markets, in particular, the preferred shares of
Kazakhtelecom. As noted earlier, the preferred shares of
Kazakhtelecom have high potential for growth after the
company announced the sale of its 49% stake in mobile
operator LLC "GSM Kazakhstan". Selling shares at a much
higher price (of mobile communications sector, even in the
current situation is estimated at more than 9 annual profits)
than it is recorded on the balance sheet, positive impact on
its net profit in 2012 and is likely to give big dividends to
shareholders up to 2012.
- Analysts of "ASYL INVEST" also recommend to buy
common shares of Halyk Bank, receiving good support at
around 200 tenge. At current price levels of 212 tenge per
share, they look extremely attractive. In fact, stocks are
estimated at a book value that is not reasonable for the
Bank, which has high growth prospects of net income and
return on equity (ROE) due to higher net interest margins,
reduce costs to the formation of provisions, effective control
of operating expenses, the presence of significant levels of
liquidity and low debt burden.
This material has only informative character and is not the offer
or recommendation to make any transactions with the stocks. Irbis Agency doesn't
take responsibility for the opinions which are given in this material.
[2011-11-11]