Review of key events and forecasts from ASYL INVEST JCS (Kazakhstan) analysts for November 7, 2011
07.11.11 16:11
/IRBIS, November 7, 2011/ - ASYL INVEST JCS (Almaty)
provided IRBIS with the review of main events and its investment
ideas and forecasts for November 7, 2011.
Analysts of ASYL INVEST JCS note the following tendencies
on Kazakhstani and world markets:
- Asian indexes are modestly decreasing today after debt
problems led to a government crisis in Italy and Greece.
Silvio Berlusconi's government runs the risk of a crisis, if not
to achieve approval in Parliament of a report on the budget
for 2010. Berlusconi demands by the opposition to resign.
Premier George Papandreou of Greece agreed to resign to
allow to form a government of national unity. Japan's Nikkei
today is reduced by 0.4%, while China's Hang-Seng and
Shanghai Composite lost weight within 0.3%. Futures on
U.S. indices today remain without any changes. Today, no
meaningful statistics will be published in the U.S., the euro
area will leave the relevant data on retail sales. Corporate
reporting season continues.
- Commodity markets today show moderately positive trend.
Quotes of WTI oil and Brent are rising within 1%, but the
American Oil sees strong resistance at $ 95 per barrel,
therefore more significant progress is unlikely. Copper in
electronic trading in New York dropped by 0.3%, gold is
adjusted above previous day's close of 0.9%.
- The euro/dollar today is in moderately negative territory. The
course is losing 0.15% of the pressure of news from Greece
and Italy.
- The news background is neutral for the stock quotes of
mining companies in Kazakhstan, quotes of Kazakhmys,
ENRC and KMG EP can show the dynamics of low-key, but
not the current levels and uncertainty in foreign markets are
to reduce the risks.
- Today, analysts of "ASYL INVEST" again recommend that
investors pay attention to any ideas do not depend on
external markets, in particular, the preferred shares of
Kazakhtelecom. As previously mentioned, preferred shares
of Kazakhtelecom have a high potential for growth after the
company announced the sale of its 49% stake in mobile
operator LLP "GSM Kazakhstan". Selling shares at a much
higher price (of mobile communications sector, even in the
current situation is estimated at more than 9 annual profits)
than it is recorded on the balance sheet, positive impact on
its net profit in 2012 and is likely to give big dividends to
shareholders up to 2012.
- Analysts of "ASYL INVEST" also recommend to buy
common shares of National Bank, receiving good support at
around 200 tenge. At current price levels, 212 tenge per
share, they look extremely attractive. In fact, stocks are
estimated at a book value that is not reasonable for the
Bank, which has high growth prospects of net income and
return on equity (ROE) due to higher net interest margins,
reduce costs to the formation of provisions, effective control
of operating expenses, the presence of significant levels of
liquidity and low debt burden.
This material has only informative character and is not the offer
or recommendation to make any transactions with the stocks. Irbis
Agency doesn't take responsibility for the opinions which are given
in this material.
[2011-11-07]