Review of key events and forecasts from ASYL INVEST JCS (Kazakhstan) analysts for November 4, 2011
04.11.11 16:08
/IRBIS, November 4, 2011/ - ASYL INVEST JCS (Almaty)
provided IRBIS with the review of main events and its investment
ideas and forecasts for November 4, 2011.
Analysts of ASYL INVEST JCS note the following tendencies
on Kazakhstani and world markets:
- Asian indices are growing today after Prime Minister
Papandreou of Greece questioned the plans for a
referendum on the issue of financial assistance to avoid a
split in his party before today's vote of no-confidence.
Recently, Prime Minister of Greece was under pressure after
European leaders said that the referendum can determine
membership in the euro area and jeopardize agreed at last
week's financial assistance to Greece. Japan's Nikkei today
is growing at 1.3%, while China's Hang-Seng and Shanghai
Composite added 3.3 and 0.8% respectively. Futures on
U.S. indices today corrected weak rate of growth after two
days before the release of the October statistics, the U.S.
labor market. According to cautious forecasts of economists,
employment in non-farm sector in the country increased by
95 thousand against 103 thousand in September, and in the
private sector - to 125 thousand versus 137 thousand a
month earlier.
- Commodity markets today show a weak trend. Quotes of
WTI oil and Brent falling within 0.3%. Copper in electronic
trading in New York, rising to 0.7%, gold is adjusted to 0.2%.
- The euro/dollar today is in moderately negative territory.
Rate becomes lower by 0.2% after a significant increase in
the previous day.
- The news today is tempered positive background for the
shares of mining companies in Kazakhstan, quotes of
Kazakhmys, ENRC and KMG EP may show poor growth in
anticipation of the release of data on the U.S. labor market.
- Today, analysts of "Asyl INVEST" again recommend that
investors pay attention to any ideas do not depend on
external markets, in particular, the preferred shares of
Kazakhtelecom. As previously mentioned, preferred shares
of Kazakhtelecom have a high potential for growth after the
company announced the sale of its 49% stake in mobile
operator LLP "GSM Kazakhstan". Selling shares at a much
higher price (of mobile communications sector, even in the
current situation is estimated at more than 9 annual profits)
than it is recorded on the balance sheet, positive impact on
its net profit in 2012 and is likely to give big dividends to
shareholders up to 2012.
- Analysts of "ASYL INVEST" also recommended to buy
common shares of National Bank, received good support at
around 200 tenge. At current price levels, 212 tenge per
share, they look extremely attractive. In fact, stocks are
estimated at a book value that is not reasonable for the
Bank, which has high growth prospects of net income and
return on equity (ROE) due to higher net interest margins,
reduce costs to the formation of provisions, effective control
of operating expenses, the presence of significant levels of
liquidity and low debt burden.
This material has only informative character and is not the offer
or recommendation to make any transactions with the stocks. Irbis
Agency doesn't take responsibility for the opinions which are given
in this material.
[2011-11-04]