Review of key events and forecasts from ASYL INVEST JCS (Kazakhstan) analysts for November 3, 2011
03.11.11 15:53
/IRBIS, November 3, 2011/ - ASYL INVEST JCS (Almaty)
provided IRBIS with the review of main events and its investment
ideas and forecasts for November 3, 2011.
Analysts of ASYL INVEST JCS note the following tendencies
on Kazakhstani and world markets:
- In the Asian session today overall negative trend is observed
again, despite the significant rise of the American market a
day earlier. Japanese Nikkei drops 2.2%, Chinese Hang-
Seng - 1%, while the Shanghai Composite is steadily gaining
1.0%. Today, the market resumed concerns about Greece
after the leaders of France and Germany have decided to
discontinue funding of Greece before the referendum for the
adoption of the second tranche of financial assistance from
the EU and warned that the negative outcome of the
referendum will put to package of assistance on which they
have agreed last week. In addition, investors are now
perceived in a negative way yesterday's speech Bernanke,
where the regulator has lowered the forecast for economic
growth and reduce unemployment in the next year. It is also
not encouraged by the declaration of China that is currently
too early to discuss the purchase of bonds of the
stabilization fund in Europe. In China, growth in the stock
market was due to speculation that monetary policy there
may be mitigated, and the Fed may take action to stimulate
the economy if necessary.
- Significant event of the day today will be the U.S. statistics
on initial applications for unemployment benefits, an index of
business activity in the services sector, as well as industrial
orders. Economists expect the weak lower bids last week,
business growth and a reduction in orders in the
manufacturing sector.
- Commodity markets today show a weak trend. Quotes of
WTI oil and Brent are falling within 1%. Copper in electronic
trading in New York is also reduced by nearly 1%, while gold
- 0.7%.
- The euro/dollar now is in negative zone. Rate loses 0.4%
after the release of negative news on Greece.
- The news background today is negative for shares of mining
companies in Kazakhstan, quotes of Kazakhmys, ENRC and
KMG EP may drop due to declining prices for oil and metals.
- Today, analysts of "Asyl INVEST" recommend investors to
pay attention or ideas are not dependent on external
markets, in particular, the preferred shares of
Kazakhtelecom. As noted earlier, the preferred shares of
Kazakhtelecom have high potential for growth after the
company announced the sale of its 49% stake in mobile
operator LLC "GSM Kazakhstan". Selling shares at a much
higher price (of mobile communications sector, even in the
current situation is estimated at more than 9 annual profits)
than it is recorded on the balance sheet, positive impact on
its net profit in 2012 and is likely to give big dividends to
shareholders up to 2012.
This material has only informative character and is not the offer
or recommendation to make any transactions with the stocks. Irbis Agency doesn't
take responsibility for the opinions which are given in this material.
[2011-11-03]