Review of key events and forecasts from ASYL INVEST JCS (Kazakhstan) analysts for October 27, 2011
27.10.11 16:28
/IRBIS, October 27, 2011/ - ASYL INVEST JCS (Almaty)
provided IRBIS with the review of main events and its investment
ideas and forecasts for October 27, 2011.
Analysts of ASYL INVEST JCS note the following tendencies
on Kazakhstani and world markets:
- The external news background for the domestic market
today is positive. The U.S. market was closed yesterday with
a significant increase in the major indexes after reports that
China could support Europe in its measures to overcome the
crisis and is ready to consider any option help. Asian
indexes are currently increasing after the main results of
yesterday's meeting of the EU summit in Brussels. Following
the meeting, agreement was reached with the banks in
Europe to write off 50% of Greek debt, the recapitalization of
the banking sector in the region, as well as increasing the
stabilization fund, the euro zone, whose size, according to
President Sarkozy of France may reach 1.0 trillion. Euro. In
addition, the signals from the leaders of the EU, the ECB
may continue to buy government bonds of countries of
concern. Japan's Nikkei is growing by 1.6%, Hang-Seng -
1.7% and Shanghai Composite - 0.4%. In support of the
Chinese market also now appears speculation that the
slowdown in inflation in the country will help to reduce the
pace of monetary tightening. In addition, today reported
successful Chinese banks. Futures on major U.S. indices
today added 0.9%. To report at this time, U.S. companies in
the vast majority have done better than forecasts.
- Tonight, the U.S. will be published the U.S. data on GDP for
the third quarter. Economists expect faster growth in
comparison with the previous quarter, which is also a driver
for growth in the market today.
- Commodity markets are currently increasing. Quotes of WTI
oil and Brent added more than 1.5%. Copper, one of the
main indicators of economic optimism is growing in
electronic trading in New York at 1.55% on positive news
from the U.S., Europe and China. Gold today is adjusted by
0.3% after four days of growth. The euro/dollar today soared
by 1.1% on the positive to the EU summit.
- The news background today is positive for stocks of mining
companies in Kazakhstan, quotes of Kazakhmys, ENRC and
KMG EP today continue to rise, it is possible the opening of
trading on them with a gap up. Shares of the banking sector
on the positive in Europe should grow in value.
- Analysts of "ASYL INVEST" continue to recommend to "buy"
on Halyk Bank common shares, as they believe that at
current price levels, 210 tenge per share, they look
extremely attractive. In fact, stocks are estimated at a book
value that is not reasonable for the Bank, which has high
growth prospects of net income and return on equity (ROE)
due to higher net interest margins, reduce costs to the
formation of provisions, effective control of operating
expenses, the presence of significant levels of liquidity and
low debt burden.
- Simple and preferred shares of Kazakhtelecom have high
potential for growth after the company announced the sale of
its 49% stake in mobile operator LLP "GSMKazakhstan".
Selling shares at a far higher price than it is recorded on the
balance sheet, positive impact on the company's net profit in
2012 and is likely to give shareholders greater dividends in
2012 and significant increase book value of common shares.
This material has only informative character and is not the offer
or recommendation to make any transactions with the stocks. Irbis Agency doesn't
take responsibility for the opinions which are given in this material.
[2011-10-27]