The review of key events and forecasts from "ASYL INVEST" JCS (Kazakhstan) analysts for August 19, 2011
19.08.11 16:37
/IRBIS, August 19, 2011/ - "ASYL INVEST" JCS (Almaty) has
provided IRBIS with the review of key events and its investment
ideas and forecasts for August 19, 2011
Analysts of "Asyl Invest" indicate that the news background for the
domestic market today is negative. Global economic fears, which led
to the decline in prices for oil and metals, as well as the stock price
decline of the banking sector in the U.S. and Europe, today will exert
strong pressure on the shares of Kazakh companies.
Besides, ASYL INVEST analysts note the following events on
world markets:
- Yesterday optimism of investors has dried up completely
after number of initial claims for unemployment benefits in
the U.S. rose to 405 thousand, exceeding the forecast of the
market for five thousand, thus reflecting the complex
situation on the labor market. Even more frightening was the
fall-ing business activity in the district of Philadelphia.
Philadelphia Fed index fell to -30.7 from a positive level of
3.2 points a month earlier. Economists do not expect such a
decline, predicted decrease to 2.3 points this month.
Consolidated the negative sentiment in the markets falling
sales in July on the secondary market at 3.5% vs. the market
in favor of growth of 2.7%
- Today, the Asian market wins back negative on the U.S.
economy. The extreme poor statistics in the United States,
released this week, fueled fears of investors about the
possibility of a recession. The major indexes today are losing
1 to 2%.
- Yesterday yield of U.S. Treasury bonds fell, reflecting
investor demand for safe haven. Today, the euro/dollar has
stabilized, but is trading below yesterday's close at 0.12%.
The pressure on the euro has a worrying economic situation
in the U.S, as well as the absence of some individual
measures to stabilize the situation in the euro area, that the
events of the week. Today, significant macro-statistics for
the United States will not, investors in choosing the direction
will be guided by the opinion of the current situation in the
economy. Analysts of "Asyl INVEST" believe that the market
is not in favor of the euro.
- Yesterday industrial metals also fell in price after the fall of
business activity in the district of Philadelphia, according to
data for August. Copper for delivery in three months fell by
2.2%, Aluminum - 2.4%, Nickel - 2.9%. Gold as a result of
growing economic concerns rose in price by 1.8%, putting a
new price record. Today: raw materials market is once again
reduced under the pressure of economic concerns. Brent
crude oil drops in price by 0.5%, while the WTI - 1.3%.
Copper for delivery in three months today, falling in price by
1% in Shanghai. Gold is trading today at 0.9% above
yesterday's close, reflecting continuing economic concerns.
The present material is exclusively informative and isn't an offer or
recommendation to conclude any deals with stock. "IRBIS" Agency doesn't take
responsibility for the opinions, given in the present material.
[2011-08-19]