Fitch is expecting slower increase of demand on steel and production of steel in the second half of 2011
14.07.11 16:16
/IRBIS, July 14, 2011/ - Fitch Ratings expects slower growth in steel
demand and steel production in the second half of 2011, as
emerging markets will fight inflation, and the advanced economies to
deal with fiscal instability, was indicated in the report released July
13 by Fitch.
As indicated, the positive effect of expected slower growth is slowing
of capacity increase with average global capacity utilization ratio of
81%.
Fitch believes that the deficit of supply low-cost iron ore and coking
coal will continue through 2013, inclusive, resulting in raw material
prices in the reporting period to exceed 2010 levels. Attractive yields
on iron ore and coking coal, as well as the benefits of vertical
integration for steel companies will continue to support activity in
mergers and acquisitions.
Number of steel companies, which are expected to have sustainable
benefits include: 1) companies with the integration of raw materials
depends on the cost of captive power, 2) producers with relatively
high share of high value added steel products based pricing at a
premium, and 3) companies with large scale operations that can
afford to temporarily reduce production in periods of calm in the
market to reduce costs while continuing to meet customer demand.
Fitch expects the companies of mining and metals sector will
maintain discipline in the recovery period and will not expand their
investment plans or capital structure to mitigate the systemic and
geopolitical risk.
"The rating outlook for the global steel industry and raw materials for
this sector of industry is stable, and it is expected that the recovery
will continue through 2013. In addition, the agency expects a smooth
slowdown in China and a slow economic recovery in developed
markets", - was stated in message.
[2011-07-14]