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13.05.2011 18:19 #Issuer news

REVIEW: KASE debt capital market in April 2011

/IRBIS, May 13, 2011/ - In April 2011, on the Kazakhstan Stock Exchange (KASE) on corporate bonds in all market sectors recorded 366 transactions totaling KZT42,674.4 million, or 293,500.8million U.S. dollars at the current rate at the date of the transaction. This represents 80.0%of the monthly trading volume on the corporate securities market (in March 2011 - 28.1%) and 2.7% of the total trading volume in all sectors of the market (1.1%).

On April 5, 2011 in the trade system of KASE special offerings were held for KZP01Y07D853 (SKKZb22) of Fund Samruk-Kazyna (Astana). The issuer had planned to place 75.0 billion of bonds KZP01Y07D853 (whole volume of registered bonds of this issue). The subject of bargaining is the value of the coupon rate bonds, expressed as a percentage per annum up to two decimal places, which is also considered by the issuer as to the yield to maturity for a buyer. The auction was attended by 30 members of KASE, who submitted 85 bids, including 77 limited market and 8. At the end of the application period in 1977 had left active warrants to purchase 128 147.0 million of bonds, including 69 limited (for the purchase of 120 bonds of 536.0 million) and 8 of the market (to buy 7,611.0 million of bonds). Thus, the volume of demand at the auction amounted to 170.9% of the volume of proposals. Coupon rate (yield to maturity) in the active limit orders ranged from 4.50% pa to 8.00% per annum, amounting to average terms, 5.98% per annum. The volume of active orders, the proportion of pension market had 52.3%, the share of Kazakhstan's second-tier banks (STB) - 36.6%, broker-dealers - 2.0%, their customers - 9.1%. As a result of trade, the issuer has established cut-off price at the level of 99.9974%, which corresponds to the coupon rate (the yield to maturity for a buyer) 5.89% per annum, and granted on the price of 27 applications, thereby placing 19 447.0 million of bonds. The amount of involvement in this case amounted to 19,484,675 321.31 tenge. According to data of Central Securities Depository JSC (Almaty), all transactions at the time of publication of this information were fulfilled. 20.6% of the total outstanding bonds were redeemed by the subjects of the pension market, 32.6% - BWI, 0.7% - broker-dealer companies, 46.1% - by customers of broker-dealers.

Ticket background of stock market of corporate bonds in April 2011 was as follows: from 74 denominations of bonds involved in the transaction on the secondary market at a discount traded debt instruments 48 items, with a premium - 26 names. Most overbought was TXBNb5, the weighted average net price of which amounted to 124.70% oversold - TEBNb16 (62.29%). Recall that in March 2011 from 73 denominations of bonds involved in the transaction on the secondary market at a discount traded debt instruments 48 items, with a premium - 25 names. Most overbought was TXBNb5, the weighted average net price of which amounted to 122.07% oversold - KKAGb2 (1.25%).

The weighted average net price of corporate bonds on the secondary market in April rose to 97.3% compared with 93.5% in March 2011. Per month on deals yield to maturity for a buyer increased 29 instruments (in March 2011 - 22), decreased - 39 instruments (37), 5 instruments were traded for the first time (9)

Below are the tables, characterizing this segment of exchange market in April 2011.

Tab. 1. Statistic characteristic of corporate bonds market on KASE in April of 2011 (indicators are given taking into account direct deals)

-------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                 Trend to
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
Indicator                                         Apr       Mar       Apr
                                                 2011      2011      2010
------------------------------------------- --------- --------- ---------
Trades volume, th., USD                     427,480.5 2.0 times 5.0 times
Trades volume, m., KZT                       62,159.1 2.0 times 5.0 times
Number of deals                             133,979.8         -         -
Day average number of deals                  19,484.7         -         -
Day average volume of deals, th. USD              366    +10.9%     -11.2
Day average volume of deals, m. KZT                17     +0.3%      -6.9
Number of instruments,                       20,356.2 1.8 times 5.3 times
involved in deals
Stake of nego deals (number), %               2,960.0 1.8 times 5.2 times
Stake of nego deals (volume), %                    74     +1.4%    -15.9%
Participation of pension assets, % gross            0         0   -0.2,pp
Participation of physical entities, % gross         0         0  -0.01 pp
Participation of non residents, % gross          12.3  -25.0 pp  -11.8 pp
Number of exchange's members,                     7.0   -4.6 pp   -8.4 pp
who made deals
Market concentration, %*                         10.4   -3.4 pp   +9.4 pp
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
* Indicates the percentage of the total corporate bond trading,
which accounts for most traded securities (their number is 5%
the total number of items of corporate bonds, involved in the transaction).

Tab. 2. Sector structure of the trading volume in April 2011 corporate bonds on KASE *

-------------------------------------------------------------------
                           Stake from total volume of trades(%) in:
---------------------------------------------------- --------------
Branch                          April 2011     March     April 2010
                                                2011
-------------------------- --------------- --------- --------------
Finance                               90.1      85.1           68.0
Main
consumer sector                        7.5       7.0            9.0
Telecommunication services
                                       0.8       0.8            8.8
Primary sector                        0.74       0.4            9.6
Industry                              0.73       5.8            0.1
Discretionary
consumer sector                        0.2       0.8            4.4
Utilities sector                         -      0.04           0.02
Public health                            -         -              -
Energy                                   -         -          0.002
Information technologies
                                         -         -            0.1
-------------------------------------------------------------------
*branch classification of turDecer structure was made in compliance with list of
 classification headings of Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS)
 Standard and Poor's

Tab. 3. Main indicators of KASE corporate bond market in April 2011

--------------------------------------------------------------
          Market.
         value of    Index                 Volume of Volume of
            debt, KASE_BY,   Index   Index    trade,    deals,
Date       USD m.    % APR KASE_BP KASE_BC   th. USD    m. KZT
-------- -------- -------- ------- ------- --------- ---------
31.03.11 39,761.1    14.75  476.34  322.22   9,864.2   1,437.2
01.04.11 39,746.1    14.76  479.91  325.09  14,957.0   2,178.9
04.04.11 39,727.1    14.74  480.02  323.96  13,422.9   1,957.2
05.04.11 39,752.0    14.72  481.07  324.40   6,978.1   1,016.2
06.04.11 39,769.1    14.73  482.55  324.41 136,521.1  19,854.3
07.04.11 39,949.7    14.74  484.98  325.27   6,852.2     996.6
08.04.11 39,955.2    14.80  483.34  323.85   1,513.5     220.1
11.04.11 39,939.9    14.66  486.58  324.45   6,239.1     907.2
12.04.11 39,945.7    14.73  483.88  323.12   5,920.2     860.6
13.04.11 40,002.8    14.73  482.61  322.37     158.6      23.1
14.04.11 40,157.7    14.84  480.54  321.57   1,550.5     225.3
15.04.11 40,158.7    14.87  481.30  321.83  28,939.5   4,204.3
18.04.11 40,156.0    14.87  481.80  321.79 131,428.9  19,096.6
19.04.11 40,128.8    14.97  478.90  320.27  24,488.8   3,562.9
20.04.11 40,120.9    14.41  483.58  324.22   2,935.6     427.2
21.04.11 40,164.3    14.41  482.86  323.93   4,867.7     707.3
22.04.11 40,211.7    14.42  481.79  323.48   7,466.2   1,084.8
25.04.11 40,196.9    14.42  482.63  323.60   6,145.8     893.5
26.04.11 40,191.4    14.42  480.42  323.22   4,306.0     626.3
27.04.11 40,201.1    14.37  480.48  323.06   2,532.8     368.2
28.04.11 40,186.1    14.35  478.98  322.35  17,584.4   2,559.8
29.04.11 40,206.3    14.35  479.26  322.70   2,671.6     388.8
-------- -------- -------- ------- ------- --------- ---------
Trend      +445.1     -0.4    +2.9    +0.5
%            +1.1     -2.7    +0.6    +0.1
--------------------------------------------------------------

Tab.4 Change of corporate bonds lists, traded on KASE, in April 2011

--------------------------------------------
                         Bonds:     Issuers:
Category of        ------ ----- ------ -----
admission          number trend number trend
------------------ ------ ----- ------ -----
Rated                 109    -1     32     0
------------------ ------ ----- ------ -----
Non-rated
first subcategory      95    -1     25     0
Non-rated
second subcategory     32    +3     22    +1
Buffered                6    -4      5    -2
------------------ ------ ----- ------ -----
Total                 242    -3     72    -2
--------------------------------------------

Tab. 5. Summary data on deals with corporate bonds on KASE in April 2011 (purchase and sale without consideration of nego deals)

--------------------------------------------------------------------
          Yield to maturity for purchaser, % APR:
Code of ----- ----- ---------------- ------------ Volume of
                     At a last deal:     For last
                     At a last deal:    365 days:
                    ---------------- ------------
bond                ----- ---------- ----- ------    deals,   Number
on KASE  min.  max. yield   Trend, %  min.   max.   th. USD of deals
------- ----- ----- ----- ---------- ----- ------ --------- --------
ABDIb1  27.00 27.00 27.00       -2.0 27.00  36.00      39.5        3
------- ----- ----- ----- ---------- ----- ------ --------- --------
AESOb1  12.98 13.00 13.00     +0.001 11.80  13.00     196.0        3
------- ----- ----- ----- ---------- ----- ------ --------- --------
APKIb1  10.00 10.00 10.00       -2.0 10.00  12.00       2.1        1
------- ----- ----- ----- ---------- ----- ------ --------- --------
APKIb2  10.00 10.00 10.00       -2.0 10.00  12.00       2.1        1
------- ----- ----- ----- ---------- ----- ------ --------- --------
APKIb3  10.00 12.71 12.71            10.00  12.71     833.4        3
------- ----- ----- ----- ---------- ----- ------ --------- --------
ASBNe8  11.09 11.52 11.09       -0.5 11.09  11.60      43.8        2
------- ----- ----- ----- ---------- ----- ------ --------- --------
ATFBb4   8.00  8.00  8.00             8.00   9.32      67.5        4
------- ----- ----- ----- ---------- ----- ------ --------- --------
ATFBb5   4.70  8.00  8.00             4.70  10.90   1,129.1        3
------- ----- ----- ----- ---------- ----- ------ --------- --------
ATFBe3   4.64  4.64  4.64       -0.5  4.64   5.40     333.9        1
------- ----- ----- ----- ---------- ----- ------ --------- --------
ATFBe5   7.35  7.43  7.43       +0.1  7.35   9.00   6,079.8        3
------- ----- ----- ----- ---------- ----- ------ --------- --------
ATFBe6   6.43  6.75  6.75       +0.3  6.10   8.76   6,072.9        3
------- ----- ----- ----- ---------- ----- ------ --------- --------
BKKRb1  11.00 11.00 11.00            11.00  11.00   5,066.7        2
------- ----- ----- ----- ---------- ----- ------ --------- --------
BRKLb1   6.30  6.30  6.30       -0.2  6.00   7.50     685.3        1
------- ----- ----- ----- ---------- ----- ------ --------- --------
BRKZe3   6.50  8.00  8.00             6.36   8.00   1,492.2        2
------- ----- ----- ----- ---------- ----- ------ --------- --------
BRKZe4   7.10  7.10  7.10             6.85   7.50   4,520.8        1
------- ----- ----- ----- ---------- ----- ------ --------- --------
BTAIb11 11.00 11.00 11.00            11.00  39.73      50.0        1
------- ----- ----- ----- ---------- ----- ------ --------- --------
BTAIb2  11.00 12.00 11.00             8.99  50.90      63.6        3
------- ----- ----- ----- ---------- ----- ------ --------- --------
BTAIb3   9.00  9.79  9.00             9.00  92.34      11.4        2
------- ----- ----- ----- ---------- ----- ------ --------- --------
BTAIb5  11.00 11.00 11.00             9.35  46.71      34.3        1
------- ----- ----- ----- ---------- ----- ------ --------- --------
BTAIb7  10.00 10.00 10.00            10.00  67.91      46.6        1
------- ----- ----- ----- ---------- ----- ------ --------- --------
BTAIb8  10.00 14.03 10.00       -5.0  9.40  61.41      88.5        5
BTAIb9  11.00 13.66 13.00       -8.9  6.80  30.00   7,529.7       17
BTASe11 11.24 11.24 11.24       -0.7 11.24  11.91      96.0        2
BTTRb1   9.52  9.52  9.52             8.64   9.52     620.3        1
BVTBb1   4.60  5.00  4.60       -0.3  4.60   5.25   7,554.2        4
CBH_b1  22.38 22.38 22.38      -0.02 20.00  24.11       4.2        1
CCBNb14 10.00 10.00 10.00 -0.0000003 10.00  11.50      13.7        1
CCBNb9   9.50  9.50  9.50             8.00   9.50      13.1        1
CSBNb4   6.00  7.00  6.00       -2.0  6.00  15.00      25.5        2
CSBNb5  10.00 12.00 10.00       -2.0 10.00  17.00      89.8        7
CSBNb6  13.00 13.00 13.00            12.00  19.95       5.6        1
EUBNb3   8.20 10.00  8.50       -0.2  8.00  13.00  15,521.2        9
EUBNb4  10.00 10.00 10.00             9.00  13.00       3.9        1
EUBNb7   8.00 10.00 10.00       +1.0  8.00  10.00   1,505.7        4
EUBNb9   8.70  8.80  8.70       -1.1  8.00  11.00   3,649.5        2
EXBNb2  17.50 18.50 18.50       +2.5 10.71  18.50   6,970.2        9
HSBKb10  9.76 11.60 11.60       +1.8  9.00  11.60     555.1        6
HSBKb13 10.00 10.00 10.00     +0.001  8.50  10.50      20.0        1
HSBKb9   8.50  8.50  8.50             8.00   8.50      25.8        1
HSBKe4   4.53  4.53  4.53       -2.0  4.32   7.57     688.8        1
KDTSb1  13.00 13.37 13.09       +1.1 12.00  21.38   1,334.9       10
KKGBb4  10.40 11.50 11.39       -0.8 10.00  12.21  13,404.3        5
KKGBb5  10.70 10.70 10.70       +0.4  8.30  11.60   1,000.5        2
KKGBb8  12.00 12.00 12.00            11.00  12.00      18.4        1
KKGBe19 10.80 10.80 10.80       +1.3  9.42  10.80      64.5        1
KKGBe4   8.90  8.90  8.90       -1.2  8.75  11.92       9.5        1
KMGZe1   3.20  3.27  3.27       -0.5  3.20   3.84   1,925.9        2
KMGZe4   5.79  5.79  5.79             5.79   5.79     216.6        2
KZAPe1   4.41  4.41  4.41             4.36   4.53   1,420.7        2
KZIKb16 11.50 11.50 11.50       +1.5  9.00  11.50   1,762.2        1
KZIKb17 10.00 11.50 10.00       -1.7 10.00  15.75  16,504.8        6
KZIKb18  8.25  8.25  8.25             8.25  12.00  16,250.7        2
KZIKb21  8.00  8.00  8.00             8.00   8.00  10,581.1        3
KZIKb4  10.00 10.00 10.00   -0.00002  9.90  14.45      33.4        2
KZIKb8   8.50  8.50  8.50             8.50  16.75   1,575.0        1
NRBNb2   8.00 10.00 10.00       -1.8  8.00  16.00      18.7        2
NRBNb7  11.40 11.40 11.40             9.00  12.00      78.8        1
ORDKb2  12.00 14.00 12.00       -2.0 12.00  16.02     657.1       25
PRKRb2   7.30  7.30  7.30             7.30   9.00  10,518.6        1
REALb1  10.00 10.00 10.00       -7.5  9.98  17.50     601.3        2
RESCb1  12.00 12.00 12.00       +4.0  8.00  12.00     107.1        1
RGBRb4   6.00 10.00  6.00       -4.0  6.00  16.00      15.7        2
RGBRb5  10.00 10.00 10.00             9.00  10.00     312.3        1
RGBRb6  10.00 14.00 12.50            10.00  16.00     665.4        8
SKKZb22  5.70  5.89  5.70             5.70   5.89 124,396.9       10
SKKZb23  4.50  6.00  4.50       -0.8  4.50   6.50   1,872.7       13
TEBNb16 13.94 13.94 13.94       -0.1 11.91  14.00   4,077.4       46
TEBNb18 13.94 13.94 13.94       -0.1 12.00  31.59   3,169.1       29
TSASb1  25.00 25.00 25.00            25.00  28.64   1,699.4        2
TSBNb4   5.00  5.00  5.00       -6.1  5.00  11.08      21.4        4
TSBNb5  10.02 10.02 10.02       -4.0 10.01  16.00      33.7        1
TXBNb3   5.00  7.00  5.00       -1.0  5.00   9.00      97.0        4
TXBNb5   3.80  6.62  6.50       -0.1  3.20   7.06   3,079.0        5
ZERDb1  10.00 16.00 16.00       +6.0  5.00 119.00     579.4       23
------- ----- ----- ----- ---------- ----- ------ --------- --------
74                                                289,855.2      338
--------------------------------------------------------------------
Comments: Securities were sorted in alphabetical order according to codes of
bonds. Trends are given in percentage points (1pp = 100 basis points) relative
to the last deal of previous month - March 2011.

[2011-05-13]