Market reviews and recommendations of BCC Invest JSC (Kazakhstan) analysts for May 10, 2011
10.05.11 15:13
/IRBIS. May 10, 2011/ - BCC Invest JSC has provided IRBIS with a
survey of main events, market reviews and investment ideas for May
10, 2011.
The analysts are expecting a mixed and multidimensional opening
on KASE on the ambiguous external background. During the day,
the KASE index stock quotations dynamics will be changeable and
the index will probably end up within the neutral point.
Analysts of JSC "BCC Invest" expect the following
developments in international markets today:
- Shareholders of ENRC PLC require re-electing for the
Board of Directors - Financial Times. News agency reported
that the decision of the owners of 43% stake in ENRC came in
after the disputes have arisen regarding the purchase of the
disputed asset in the Democratic Republic of Congo last year.
Financial Times did not identify the source. According to
analysts of JSC "BCC Invest", the news would have a negative
impact on the quotation of securities of ENRC PLC. JSC "BCC
Invest" believes that the conflict of the tangent of the asset
purchase of copper in the DRC is a major cause of the
discount with low-cost of the company at the moment. Earlier
this year the media has made public the news of the lawsuit of
First Quantum Management (the last owner of the copper
asset Kolwezi) for $ 2 billion, which has considered exclusion
of an asset, which was already invested $ 700 million over 6
years, unfair. It is not known whether the Board of Directors
would be re-elected at the AGM on June 8, and how would it
affect the company's strategy. Analysts of JSC "BCC Invest"
keep their current recommendation to "hold" with a target price
of ?10.80 per share.
- U.S. Plant of Severstal Columbus resumed its work after
the hurricane. The plant is now not working at full capacity
due to restrictions in the supply of electricity and will increase
the volume of production in the nearest future, was said in a
statement released today through the Regulatory News
Service. Analysts of JSC "BCC Invest" expect a moderately
positive effect of this news on quotes of equity securities of
Severstal OJCS. As a result, the plant stood for about 10 days,
which would certainly lead to a decrease in production
volumes, but not at the critical level.
- Norilsk Nickel and Nusantara Smelting plan to develop
deposits in Indonesia, to build smelters. On Friday a
meeting of the general director of MMC Vladimir Strzhalkovsky
with Industry Minister Suleiman Mohamed Hidayat of
Indonesia and chairman of the National Coordinating
Committee on Investment Gita Giryavan was held. Following
the meeting, a memorandum was signed. At the meeting
issues concerning the development of business projects in
Norilsk Nickel in Indonesia and the development of promising
fields in the country were discussed. Earlier, Norilsk Nickel
reported attention to a number of projects in Indonesia, without
specifying the object of attention. Nusantara Smelting in
August 2008 announced the building plans for Bontange (the
island of Borneo, East Kalimantan Province) of smelter with
annual capacity of 200 tons of copper. Investments in the
project were estimated at $ 850 million. It was planned that the
plant will provide feedstock for local unit of American Freeport-
McMoRan Copper & Gold Inc (PT Freeport Indonesia) and
Newmont Mining Corp. Part of the copper concentrate
Nusantara Smelting wanted to import. Construction of the plant
was scheduled to begin in 2009 and run - in the second half of
2011. Such a plant would claim for the second place on the
scale in Indonesia after the Gresik plant in East Java. Analysts
of JSC "BCC Invest" believe that this news will have a
moderately positive effect on stock prices and depositary
receipts of MMC Norilsk Nickel. The company has major
projects to expand production in the next 4-5 years, which
imposes certain adjustments to the value of the company. On
the one hand - a good growth potential, on the other - growing
risks associated with the projects.
"BCC Invest" analysts are expecting the following events on
international markets today:
- No important economic statistics will be published today in
Russia.
- The data on industrial producing will be published today at
12:45 (AST) in France and at 14:00 (AST) in Italy.
- Today in USA at 17:30 (ASR) the data on small business
optimism from NFIB will be published, at 18:30 (AST) - on
import prices index, at 20:00 (AST) - the data on wholesale
stock and economic optimism index from IBD/TIPP. Today the
reports of Walt Disney Co, BG Group PLC, Enterprise
Products Partners LP, Imperial Tobacco Group PLC, Deutsche
Post AG will be presented.
Analysts of BCC Invest JSC are giving the following advice for
investors in securities of issuers in internal market:
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Closing Target Potential,
Issuerт Code price price % Recommen-
dation
----------------- ------- -------- ------ ---------- ---------
Kazkommertsbank KKGB 486 583 +19.96 Neutral
KKGBp 210 196 -6.67 Neutral
Halyk Bank HSBK 345 415 +20.29 Hold
Bank CenterCredit CCBN 495 646 +30.51 Hold
Tsesnabank TSBN 865 1,030 +19.08 Neutral
KazMunaiGaz RDGZ 19,000 20,500 +7.89 Hold
Kazakhmys PLC GB_KZMS 3,156.05 3,870 +22.62 Buy
ENRC PLC GB_ENRC 2,100 2,550 +21.43 Hold
Kazakhtelekom KZTK 19,200 Review
KZTKp 9,350 9,300 -0.53 Hold
MREK MREK 1,100 1,130 +2.73 Hold
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The given material has exclusively information character and is not the offer
or recommendation to make any transactions with the stocks. Agency Irbis
doesn't take responsibility for the opinions which are in given material.
[2011-05-10]