Overview of key developments from analysts of Asyl Invest JSC (Kazakhstan) on March 14, 2011
14.03.11 19:57
/IRBIS, March 14, 2011/ - JSC ASYL INVEST (Almaty) provided
IRBIS overview of major events and of their investment ideas and
forecasts on March 14, 2011.
Trading on the Kazakhstan stock market on Friday finished lower
KASE index by 1.3% with a slight increase in trading volumes.
Shares of mining companies continued to show negative dynamics,
following the price movements at the LSE. ENRC shares were down
4.2%, shares of Kazakhmys - 1.5%. The same negative effect on
the index had a decrease in the shares of KMG EP at 1.9%.
Trading in shares and depositary receipts of Kazakhstan issuers on
the London Stock Exchange on Friday resulted in multidirectional
price dynamics. Best demonstrated the dynamics of the GDR NSBK
(+2%) and shares ENRC (+1.1%). KMG GDR went up by 2.6%
amid falling oil prices.
Today, the external background for the Kazakhstan stock market
develops negative. Asian markets fall due to a series of earthquakes
in Japan. Shares of mining companies are likely to continue to move
downward. Shares of KMG EP are likely to decline in value against
the backdrop of falling oil prices.
In addition, the analysts of JSC ASYL INVEST note the
following events in world markets:
- Major U.S. stock indexes during the session on Friday morning they played
the losses incurred on the background of the news of the massive
earthquake in Japan, and came out in the plus-up to the auction. The
strongest earthquake in Japan triggered a powerful tsunami waves that
struck the coast. The news of the catastrophe had a negative impact on
the dynamics of foreign markets, but the major U.S. stock indices were in
no hurry to fall, trading within a few hours after the start of trading near the
neutral line. The earthquake in Japan shut down oil refineries of the
country, some of them exploded. Against this background, oil prices began
to steadily decline. In electronic trading price of the April futures contract
for WTI crude oil fell to $ 99 per barrel. Shares of oil and gas sector in the
stock trading in the U.S. showed the best dynamic, adding to 1.66%.
Economic statistics, published in the U.S., a strong reaction in the markets
did not cause. U.S. retail sales in February rose by 1%, due to increased
engine sales by 2.3% and sales at petrol stations on 1.4%. Last modified
indicator was revised upward from 0.3% to 0.7%. The basic indicator of
retail sales in February rose by 0.6% - on the level of the previous month.
Revisions in January, now gives reason to expect upward revision of
consumer spending in the U.S. in January, and this - a positive
development for the markets. On Friday, also came out data on consumer
confidence index from the University of Michigan. The index for March fell
to 77.5 points to 68.2 points. Social and political tensions in the Middle
East and North Africa, and rising gas prices have a negative impact on
consumer confidence. Inflationary expectations have risen from 3.4% to
4.6%.
- Today, the dynamics of the major U.S. stock indexes will depend largely on
the external background, in particular on the situation in Japan. On the
stock markets will influence oil prices, as well as the situation in the Middle
East and North Africa (MENA).
- Major stock indexes in Western Europe ended with the fall session on
Friday against the background of the news of the massive earthquake in
Japan. Additional negative effect on the index had heard about the growth
of consumer prices in China in February to 4.9% y/y, as well as the
situation in the MENA. In addition, it became known that the consumer
price index in Germany in February rose by 0.5%, while in annual terms -
by 2.1%.
- Today, trading in Europe will depend largely on the situation in Japan and
the MENA, the dynamics of oil prices. Economic statistics, to be published
today in the countries of Western Europe, probably influence the bidding
will not. Today in the euro area, there are data on changes in the volume of
industrial production for January. In general, the background for the
European markets is negative and does not exclude decline in stock
market indices trades.
- Major Asian stock indexes fall in the region today due to a series of
earthquakes in Japan. According to Japanese media announced a new
tsunami warning after the northern part of the country today, an earthquake
of magnitude 6.2 points. Today in Japan there was an explosion of
hydrogen under the roof of the reactor building ¦ 3 nuclear power plant,
Fukushima-1, but the reactor was not damaged. The Japanese index
Nikkei225 now collapsed. The fall of the index now exceeds 6%. On the
background of the news about the earthquake today, falling oil prices.
This material is for informational purposes and is not an offer or
recommendation to perform any transaction in securities. Agency IRBIS is not
responsible for the opinions expressed in this material.
[2011-03-14]