Overview of key developments from analysts of Asyl Invest JSC (Kazakhstan) on March 5, 2011
05.03.11 16:09
/IRBIS, March 5, 2011/ - JSC ASYL INVEST (Almaty) provided IRBIS
overview of major events and of their investment ideas and forecasts
on March 5, 2011.
Analysts of JSC ASYL INVEST note that trading on the Kazakhstan
stock market on Friday ended the growth due to higher stock prices
virtually across the spectrum of types of shares. The best dynamics
in the auction was led by ENRC (+4.2%). In the minus day
completed only shares BCC (-1.4%). Growth stocks KASE index
was accompanied by an increase in trade turnover. The trading
volume for shares of KASE index on Friday rose to 2.8 times
compare to the previous day.
Trading in shares and depositary receipts of Kazakhstan issuers on
the London Stock Exchange on Friday resulted in multidirectional
price dynamics. Following the auction of strong changes in prices
has not occurred. The exception was the rise in prices GDR NSBK
(2.15%). After closing the main session of the GDR NSBK rose
another 5.78% to $ 11.075 per GDR. Overall growth in the GDR
NSBK and including an expanded session is 8%.
Today, trading on the Kazakhstan stock market will be held in the
absence of an external reference. External background before
opening the bidding has developed a moderately negative. Probably
before long weekend market participants prefer to fix the profit or
loss. Falling prices can be observed today in the papers of the
mining sector. On the other hand, banks may end the day in positive
territory.
In addition, the analysts of JSC ASYL INVEST note the
following events in world markets:
- Growth in major U.S. stock indices in the last half hour of trading partially
offset the losses incurred during the Friday session. With the opening of
the indices streamed down because of rising oil prices to new two-year
highs. The April futures for WTI crude oil in the course of yesterday
reached the level of $ 104.6 per barrel amid fears of market participants
about social and political tensions in the Middle East and North Africa.
Against this backdrop, market participants are dumped stocks and
bought contracts for precious metals. Silver prices fixed 30-year-old
maximum, reaching $ 35.4 per ounce. Highly anticipated Friday's
employment report was finally a positive and pointed to the growing
number of people employed in non-farm payrolls in February at 192
thousand (196 thousand forecast), increasing the number of employees
in the private sector at 222 thousand (200 thousand forecast) increase in
the number of people employed in the industrial sector by 33 thousand
(25 thousand forecast). Score for the previous month was revised
upwards. U.S. unemployment rate fell in February from 9% to 8.9% - the
minimum value over the past 22 months. Decline in unemployment was
due to the fact that in February the work received 250 thousand people.
Unfortunately, however, employment growth in February will cause only
a slight increase in consumption as the average hourly earnings and
average workweek remained unchanged in February compared with the
previous month. In general, the judge in the labor market in the U.S. on
the basis of one month would be premature. To ensure that economic
growth in the U.S. accelerated, it is necessary that the number of
employees in the private sector in the country every month added to the
200-250 thousand At this rate of growth, the U.S. economy will soon
recover the number of jobs that are a result of the recession was 8.7
million
- During the first half of next week's U.S. stock market will lose support in
the form of economic statistics. Throughout the week the U.S. stock
market maintained essentially two factors: expectations of job growth
and weakening oil prices. Further growth in oil prices could severely
weaken the stock markets. So far the U.S. stock market, major
disruptions not occurred. The overall situation in the U.S. stock market
next week will largely depend on the situation in the Middle East and
North Africa.
- Major stock indexes in Western Europe most of the session on Friday
showed growth on expectations of positive data on U.S. employment
report, but the opening of trading in the U.S. and rising oil prices afield
stock indexes in negative territory towards the close of trading. On
Friday, the April futures for Brent crude rose 1% to $ 115.97 a barrel.
- The situation on stock markets in Western Europe next week will largely
depend on the situation in the Middle East and North Africa.
This material is for informational purposes and is not an offer or recommendation
to perform any transaction in securities. Agency IRBIS is not responsible for the
opinions expressed in this material.
[2011-03-05]