Market reviews and recommendations of BCC Invest JSC (Kazakhstan) analysts for March 1, 2011
01.03.11 17:07
/IRBIS. March 1, 2011/ - BCC Invest JSC has provided IRBIS with a
survey of main events, market reviews and investment ideas for March 1,
2011.
Analysts of JSC "BCC Invest" again today expect mixed and multi-
directional opening of trading on an inconsistent external background.
Further, during the day, perhaps, share prices in the index KASE, will
depend on investor sentiment in the western trading floors.
JSC "BCC Invest" also notes the following important events in the
Kazakh market:
- JSC Sokolov-Sarbai Mining Production Association (SSGPO in the
holding ENRC, in Kostanai region of Kazakhstan to the north) is
planning to introduce a new production line at the factory wet magnetic
separation in April 2011, the press office of government Kostanay
region. According akimat, currently at the plant are the installation
works. "At the 17 th section of wet magnetic separation plant is actively
under way installation works on an assembly of equipment and
machinery for the production of additional neoflusovated pellets, iron
ore, - the message akimat. With the launch of a new section of the
factory production capacity will increase by 1 million tons per year.
Currently, the power plant is 14.9 million tons of concentrate per year.
The cost of this project is approximately $ 50 million analysts JSC
"BCC Invest" does not expect the strong influence of the news on
share prices ENRC PLC. Expansion of capacity at SSGPO to 16
million of iron ore per year corresponds to the company's investment
program, announced earlier. JSC "BCC Invest" leaves the current
recommendation to "buy" with target price of 11.67 pounds per share
for the LSE and 2767 - at KASE.
- "Daughter" OJSC MMC Norilsk Nickel (RTS: GMKN) (GMKN) (GMKN)
(GMKN), Corbiere Holdings Limited, estimates the maximum amount of
requests of shareholders, which may be satisfied during the buyback,
in more than $ 1 billion, says Corbiere reported on the results of a court
of the island Nevis, cancelled security measures imposed at the suit of
Rusal. On Monday, subsidiary of Norilsk Nickel paid to shareholders in
the buyback $ 600 million (out of a total of $ 1 billion - IF), reported in
Norilsk Nickel. Norilsk Nickel, as reported, has already managed to buy
out all charges against the redemption of the shares and ADR. Under
repurchase the company intends to acquire for $ 252 (7538.5 rubles)
per share of about 7,2% of the share capital, 55% of them acquired in
the form of ADR, 45% - in the form of shares. To buy back was
supposed to spend $ 3.466 billion, "Norilsk Nickel" did not report how
many shares were purchased by the de facto, however, according to
Interfax ", buyback at the time of imposition of provisional measures
was completed by 90%. Corbiere on Monday resumed the process of
acquiring the shares from shareholders of MMC, in accordance with
the decision of the court on the island of Nevis withdrawal of security
measures imposed on claims United Company Rusal Plc and "UC
RUSAL Investment Management." The court's decision island Nevis,
but the completion of buyback, enables the Corbiere and other
"daughter" of MMC, Raleigh Investments Inc., To vote the ordinary
shares purchased and the ADR at an extraordinary shareholders
meeting on March 11. Aluminum Company, in turn, claimed that the
court did not prohibit "daughter" MMC complete the share buyback, but
the "daughter" Norilsk Nickel "has no right to vote their shares, as it
reinforces" the illegal de facto control of a group of persons in the
management of Norilsk Nickel and Interros to the detriment of the
interests of all shareholders. "Analysts of JSC "BCC Invest" does not
expect the strong influence of the news on quotes of equity securities
of MMC Norilsk Nickel. Withdrawal of interim measures an effect
positively, however, remains to be seen what will happen with the right
to vote these shares, all cleared up at an extraordinary board of
directors appointed on March 11 this year. JSC "BCC Invest" leaves
the current recommendation to "hold" with a target price of $ 25.08 per
depositary receipt.
Analysts of JSC "BCC Invest" and expect the following
developments in international markets today:
- in Russia 11:00 (AST) published data on the manufacturing index PMI,
below, during the day, is expected to publish data on the Reserve Fund
and National Welfare Fund.
- The UK 13:00 (AST) published data on house prices, in 15:30 (AST) -
on the production index of PMI, on consumer and mortgage loans, and
monetary aggregate M4. At 14:55 (AST) in Germany published the
data on unemployment and manufacturing index PMI. At 16:00 (AST)
published data on the forecast Euro zone CPI and unemployment rate.
- U.S. at 21:00 (AST) will be published data on the volume of
expenditure in the construction sector, as well, ISM will publish data on
business activity in the manufacturing sector and the index of gradual
acceleration of inflation.
- Today report Vinci SA, Vivendi SA, Sina Corp, and others.
Analysts of BCC Invest JSC are giving the following advice for
investors in securities of issuers in internal market:
----------------------------------------------------------------------
Issuer Last price Target Predicted price.
code price % Recom-
mendation
----------------- ------- ---------- ------ ---------------- ---------
Kazkommertsbank KKGB 540 479 -11.30 Neutral
KKGBp 230 335 +45.65 Buy
Halyk Bank HSBK 379.75 432 +13.76 Hold
Bank CenterCredit CCBN 625 646 +3.36 Hold
Tsesnabank TSBN 870 1,030 +19.08 Neutral
KazMunaiGaz RDGZ 20,200 20,400 +0.99 Hold
Kazakhmys PLC GB_KZMS 3,450 4,120 +19.42 Buy
ENRC PLC GB_ENRC 2,400.01 2,767 +15.29 Buy
Kazakhtelekom KZTK 19,500 19,200 -1.54 Hold
KZTKp 9,500 9,300 -2.11 Hold
MREK MREK 1,100 1,130 +2.73 Hold
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The given material has exclusively information character and is not the offer
or recommendation to make any transactions with the stocks. Agency Irbis doesn't
take responsibility for the opinions which are in given material.
[2011-03-01]