Overview of key developments from analysts of Asyl Invest JSC (Kazakhstan) on February 15, 2011
15.02.11 16:05
/IRBIS, February 15, 2011/ - JSC ASYL INVEST (Almaty) provided
IRBIS overview of major events and of their investment ideas and
forecasts on February 15, 2011.
Analysts of JSC ASYL INVEST note that trading on the Kazakhstan
stock market on Monday ended the growth of KASE index on a
positive external background. The best dynamics in the auction was
led by mining companies, following their evolution on the London
Stock Exchange. ENRC shares in the domestic market grew by 3%,
Kazakhmys shares - by 2.1%.
Trading in shares and depositary receipts of Kazakhstan issuers on
the London Stock Exchange on Monday ended with multidirectional
price dynamics. Positive momentum was led by mining companies,
reacting to the data on increased imports of China. Kazakhmys
shares were up 1.4%, shares of ENRC - by 0.5%. KKB GDR fell by
4.1%, continuing the correctional movement down, which was
begun three trading sessions earlier. GDR NSBK out of the zone
correction went up by 1.2%.
Positive statistics on consumer price index, published yesterday in
China, today adds a moderately positive external background for the
shares and depository receipts of Kazakh issuers. The growth index
was weaker than economists' expectations, suggesting that the
effectiveness of measures taken by China to cool its own economy.
As a result of today's trading analytics of JSC ASYL INVEST expect
growth index KASE.
In addition, the analysts of JSC ASYL INVEST note the
following events in world markets:
- Major U.S. stock indexes on Monday were trading in a narrow range in the
absence of driver movement. On Monday the yield important economic
statistics and significant internal corporate news was not. External
background formed ambiguous and did not give presentation to investors
about the direction of the markets. Against this backdrop, trading in stocks
on Monday was "flat." Total on the NYSE on Monday, has been bought
and sold 817.23 million shares. The best dynamics in the auction was led
by oil companies, despite a decline in the value of the March futures price
of U.S. crude oil "Light Sweet".
- Today the U.S. is expected to yield important economic statistics that can
affect the dynamics of highly capitalized stocks that are sensitive to
economic news and as a consequence, the dynamics of major stock
indices. Of the important economic data are now expected to publish data
on retail sales for January and Treasury data on international capital flows
for December. Retail sales in the United States regained their pre-crisis
growth rates, indicating that the economic recovery. Basic retail sales in
U.S. rise for seven months. Total retail sales in January may grow more
rapidly than in previous times, since the growth of this index for December,
probably constrained by poor weather conditions. It is therefore likely that
the output data on retail sales would have a positive impact on stock
trading in the U.S. today. Also in the U.S. today, will be published data on
the manufacturing index Empire Manufacturing for February, data on the
import price index for January, data on inventory in December, data on the
housing market index from the NAHB, data on consumer confidence from
ABC. Positive effect on trading may also have economic statistics from the
Asian region.
- Trading on the stock exchanges in Western Europe on Friday ended with
multidirectional dynamics of the major stock indexes. Impact on the auction
provided the resignation of President Hosni Mubarak. Economic statistics
released in China, has caused the rise in prices of shares of commodity
companies. On the background of the news about the growth of China's
imports by 51% MHC. Prices for industrial metals, which led to an increase
in stock prices of metallurgical companies.
- Today on the stock trading in Europe, the effect will be to provide internal
and external factors. The internal include domestic economic statistics.
Today in the euro zone will be published GDP data for the IV quarter, data
on trade balance for December and data sentiment index in the business
environment for February. In the UK, will be published data on the
consumer price index for January, data on the retail price index for
January, data on producer price index for January and the data on house
price index from the DCLG in December. The external factors may include
economic statistics from China and the dynamics of the major U.S. stock
indices. In general, analysts of JSC ASYL INVEST expected growth of the
main stock indexes in Western European countries on the basis of todays
trading.
- Major stock indexes in the Asian region are now showing multidirectional
dynamics. Today, China has published an important market for economic
statistics, which today has a positive impact on stock trading in Asia. The
consumer price index in China in January rose by 4.9%, while economists
forecast growth at 5.4%. National Bureau of Statistics of China changed
the weight of the components of the index, noting that this action will affect
inflation upwards. Overall inflation in China for the fourth time exceeded the
target level of government in 2011. Also a positive impact on trading in
Asia Bank of Japan has a rating of the Japanese economy. Central Bank
left its key interest rate unchanged at 0.1%.
This material is for informational purposes and is not an offer or recommendation
to perform any transaction in securities. Agency IRBIS is not responsible for the
opinions expressed in this material.
[2011-02-15]