Market reveiws and recommendations of Financial Company REAL INVEST.KZ (Kazakhstan) analysts on January 26, 2011
26.01.11 16:55
/IRBIS, January 26, 2011/ - JSC Finance Company REAL Invest.kz
(Almaty, REAL Invest.kz) provided to IRBIS overview of major developments
in Kazakhstan and the world markets on January 26, 2011.
JSC Financial Company REAL Invest.kz notes the following significant
developments on the world stock, commodity and currency market:
- for most of the Tuesday session major U.S. stock indices showed
fluctuations in negative territory with an uncertain external
background, but by the end of the session were able to rectify the
situation, ending the session near the previous close. Financial
results for last quarter of American companies in general were better
than analysts' expectations, but the impact on the trades have not
had, since market participants are counting on strong results.
Economic statistics, published in the U.S. has supported major stock
indexes. For example, U.S. consumer confidence index for January
rose to 60.3 points from the revised values for December to 53.3
points, well above the forecasts of economists who had expected
growth to 54 points. The growth index of consumer confidence was
well over the past 20 months and was caused by the rising
expectations of 72.3 points to 80.3 points and increasing the index of
current conditions from 24.9 points to 31 points. In this case,
positively, that the estimate of the semi-annual outlook for the labor
market has improved, as evidenced by the improvement in the labor
force index to minus 38.2 points. Overall, the growth of consumer
confidence has a positive effect on consumer spending, which will
support economic growth. The rest of economic statistics in the
United States had no effect on the trading session.
- Today the U.S. is expected to publish quarterly reports of 137
companies, including reports of companies Automatic Data
Processing (ADP), Xerox (XRX), Boeing (BA), Occidental Petroleum
(OXY), ConocoPhillips (COP), Netflix (NFLX), and Symantec (SYMC).
Today is expected to be published macroeconomic statistics: sales in
the primary housing market in December and an application for a
mortgage on the MBA in December. Also today, the FOMC will take a
decision on interest rates. Analysts of JSC ASYL INVEST believe that
corporate reports and economic statistics will not play a key role in
trading today. Session, according to ASYL INVEST, may terminate
the growth of the major U.S. stock indices.
- trading on stock exchanges in Western Europe ended lower on
Tuesday, major stock indexes on the background of volatility in
trading in Asia and the negative dynamics of the major U.S. stock
indexes at the opening. Influence of the session also had a message
on the reduction of UK GDP in the IV quarter at 0.5%. Economists
had forecast that the growth of UK GDP was 0.5%. Negative impact
on the dynamics of the main stock indexes in Western Europe has
also had negative changes in the commodity markets.
- Today in Germany there are data on the import price index for
December, in the UK - data on the volume of mortgage loans from the
BBA in December. Also today, will publish minutes from the last
meeting of the Bank of England. Analysts of JSC ASYL INVEST
expect growth in the major stock markets of Western Europe on the
basis of today's trading.
- major Asian stock indexes are now showing multidirectional
dynamics. Nikkei 225 drops after its growth on Monday against the
backdrop of increasing the GDP estimates of the Bank of Japan from
2.1% to 3.3%. The remaining major stock indexes in the Asian region,
in contrast, show a positive change in values.
Analysts of "REAL Invest.kz" noted that the most attractive stories
among the shares of Kazakh companies are RD Kazmunaigas,
Kazakhtelecom and Halyk Bank. Especially attractive EP KMG and
Kazakhtelecom, as both companies are very strong balance sheet with low
debt burden, the EP's net debt at all negative, i.e. cash flows of the
company exceed liabilities. Besides their business generates more free
cash flow, which allows them to pay a very solid dividends. Dividend income
on preferred shares of KMG and Kazakhtelecom is 6-8% and 3-4% of
ordinary shares. Shares of these companies are traded much cheaper than
the shares of similar companies in other emerging markets.
This material is for informational purposes and is not an offer or recommendation
to perform any transaction in securities. Agency IRBIS is not responsible for the
opinions expressed in this material.
[2011-01-26]