Overview of key developments from analysts of Asyl Invest JSC (Kazakhstan) on January 6, 2011
06.01.11 18:28
/IRBIS, January 6, 2011/ - JSC ASYL INVEST (Almaty) provided
IRBIS overview of major events and of their investment ideas and
forecasts on January 6, 2011.
Analysts of ASYL INVEST note that trading on the Kazakhstan
stock market on Wednesday ended in negative territory due to
decrease in stock prices KKB NSBK and KMG. External
background while formed negative. Trading activity on the first
trading day in 2011 was relatively high. On the London Stock
Exchange trading of shares and depositary receipts of Kazakhstan
issuers were negative. Lower prices for industrial metals have
weakened the position of mining shares. As a consequence,
Kazakhmys shares fell 1.52%, ENRC shares were down 0.19%.
GDR KMG on trading results at the LSE fell by 0.25%. Depositary
receipts of banks also finished the day in negative territory: DDR
KKB (-4.58%), NSBK (-0.29%).
Today, the external background for the Kazakhstan stock market
develops positive. Trading in Europe could end growing major stock
market indices by a positive close of trading in the U.S. KASE index
today probably will show a positive trend, noted analysts ASYL
Invest.
In addition, the analysts of JSC ASYL INVEST note the
following events in world markets:
- major U.S. stock indices rose on the results of trading on Wednesday
thanks to the good macroeconomic data and a separate corporate
news. Trades on U.S. exchanges began with the fall of the major stock
indices on a negative external background, but good data on the number of
people employed in the private sector by ADP have helped major U.S.
stock indices will soon go into positive territory. Before the opening of
trading, it became known that the number of people employed in the
private sector in December, seasonally adjusted increased by 297
thousand Moreover, according to ADP, the number of people employed in
the services sector in December increased by 270 thousand, while the
number employed in the manufacturing of goods - by 27 thousand for this
sharp increase in the number of people employed in the private sector by
ADP was not the history that began in 2001. Change from the previous
period was revised from 92 thousand to 93 thousand index shows an
increase in the rate of growth since October 2010, which is undoubtedly a
positive factor pointing to an improvement in the labor market. The sharp
rise in the number of employees in the private sector of the U.S. in
December laid the positive expectations of market participants regarding
the data on the number of people employed in non-farm sector in the
country and data on the unemployment rate for December, which
publication is expected on Friday. Economists predict that the number of
people employed in non-farm sector in the country in December increased
by 150 thousand and the unemployment rate in December fell from 9,8% to
9,7%. Also, economists have been better than expected data on the
composite index for the ISM non-manufacturing sector. In December, the
figure rose from 55 to 57.1 points. Economists had expected growth rate to
55.7 points. Market participants ignored the publication of this indicator,
because the service sector less cyclical than the manufacturing sector. In
general, the best dynamics in the auction was led by financial sector is not
without the help of the news that the insurance company AIG (AIG)
received an offer to buy Taiwanese company's assets for $ 3 billion.
Following the auction on Wednesday, KBW bank index rose by 1.35%. The
U.S. dollar has appreciated by 1.05% relative to its major competitors.
- Today the U.S. is expected to yield data on the number of initial
claims for unemployment benefit for the week ending January 1,
2011. Economists forecast the growth rate up to 408 thousand Analysts
ASYL INVEST think that could be exceeded projected data on the actual
data, since applying for unemployment benefits during the holidays can be
less than a week earlier. Today in the U.S. may continue to grow major
stock indexes. Even if the actual data on the level of benefits would be at
or above the expectations of economists, market sentiment will remain
positive, since yesterday released a report on the number of people
employed in the private sector from the ADP, laid the positive expectations
about the employment report, which will be published in Friday. In general,
the risk appetite of investors is sufficiently high.
- the main stock indexes in Western Europe on the basis of trading on
Wednesday showed multidirectional dynamics. According to trade in
the British FTSE 100 index rose, the French CAC40 and the German DAX
declined slightly. The worst dynamics at the auctions showed shares in
companies mining sector. Economic statistics, published in Europe
yesterday, as a whole was better than economists' forecasts. In particular,
economists came out better than expected data on the composite index of
Euro zone PMI for December, data on an index of business activity in the
service sector PMI for the Euro zone in December, data on new orders in
industry Euro zone in December. In Germany, economists came out better
than expected data on business activity index in service sector PMI for
December.
- Today in the euro zone will be published a series of macroeconomic
statistics. Expected to yield data on the business climate index for
December, data on consumer, economic and industrial confidence in
December, and data on retail sales for December. In Germany today, to be
published data on industrial orders for November, and in the UK - the data
on an index of business activity in the services sector in December, data
from the real estate market. Today, analysts of JSC ASYL INVEST
expected growth of the main stock indexes in Western Europe on optimism
about U.S. economic recovery after data on the number of people
employed in the private sector from the ADP.
- major Asian stock indexes are now showing mixed dynamics. Today
increase in the values of Nikkei 225 and Hang Seng. Shanghai Composite
index drops slightly. In general, a positive impact on the dynamics of Asian
stock indexes had a positive close of trading in the U.S.
This material is for informational purposes and is not an offer or recommendation
to perform any transaction in securities. Agency IRBIS is not responsible for the
opinions expressed in this material.
[2011-01-06]