Market reveiws and recommendations of Financial Company REAL INVEST.KZ (Kazakhstan) analysts on December 7, 2010
07.12.10 18:45
/IRBIS, December 7, 2010/ - JSC Finance Company REAL Invest.kz
(Almaty, REAL Invest.kz) provided to IRBIS overview of major developments
in Kazakhstan and the world markets on December 7, 2010.
JSC Financial Company REAL Invest.kz notes the following significant
developments on the world stock, commodity and currency market:
- major indexes finished the Western past trading day multidirectional
change quotations. In the absence of publication of any significant
news, traders were influenced by the reduction of Hungary's
sovereign ratings by rating agency Moody `s two steps with one hand
and the statements of Minister Mr. Bernanke about possible increases
in aid the U.S. economy, in particular through a new program of
buying bonds. The dynamics of trading in Europe, with the opening up
to the end of the trading day wore mixed, however, besides the
French CAC 40, which quotes only slightly decreased, European
indices finished the session on moderate growth of quotations.
Yesterday's trading in the United States was characterized by a sharp
decrease in volatility - Intraday Range was limited to 0.2% of
movement. Following the session, Dow Jones and S&P 500 were
noted a moderate decrease in quotations - the first at 0.17%, the
second at 0.13%. From the macroeconomic data, publication of which
is scheduled for today, celebrate the release of data on industrial
production in the UK - analysts predict the growth rate at 0.25%, and
data on manufacturing orders in Germany - experts believe that up to
October index showed an increase of 2%.
- Site emerging markets on the basis of trading on Monday closed
down in different directions. The uncertainty of the Western a player
passes to traders from the sites of emerging economies, and
identifies the four BRIC was noted by opposite changes of the
indices. For example, if a majority of the indices on the basis of four
days have shown reductions, the Russian RTS Index managed to add
about 1.5% to overcome the psychologically important resistance
level at around 1,700 points. Today's premarket sites for emerging
markets is considered "REAL Invest.kz" moderately negative, the
Asian indices started the day in different directions change
quotations.
- Oil prices, after 8 days of growth, which resulted in the price of a
barrel of oil brand "WTI" has grown more than 11%, setting a new
two-year high at around $ 90, in the course of the past trading "took a
pause," consolidated throughout session in a very narrow range.
Given the optimism of market participants, due more to the end of the
year, we can assume continued growth in oil prices, with a fairly high
probability, provided confident breakout level of $ 90 per barrel. At the
same time, namely the level of resistance is located at around $ 90 a
barrel could cause a correction of quotations of "black gold".
- The cost of ounce of gold, meanwhile, set a new world record, adding
during the last session of the order of 0.8% and reaching a level of $
1,423. The main driver for growth of quotations of precious metal "for
the past few weeks, in our opinion are a factor in the depreciation of
the dollar. At the same time, analysts of "REAL Invest.kz" are still
believed that the psychological level of $ 1,500 per ounce by the end
of the year will not be taken.
- reduction of Hungary's sovereign ratings agency Moody `s became
the cause for the reduced currency pairs are EUR/USD and
GBP/USD at the opening, but closer to the second half of the day
quotes euro and the pound has stabilized, which enables us to
complete the day with minimal losses. Given that the future prospects
for both currency pairs are currently quite vague, "REAL Invest.kz"
refrains from making any predictions until at least some certainty.
Noted only that the next support and resistance levels are located at
elevations 1.35 -1.30 for the pair EUR/USD and at elevations 1.55 -
1.60 for the currency pair GBP/USD.
Analysts of "REAL Invest.kz" noted that the most attractive stories
among the shares of Kazakh companies are RD Kazmunaigas,
Kazakhtelecom and Halyk Bank. Especially attractive EP KMG and
Kazakhtelecom, as both companies are very strong balance sheet with
low debt burden, the EP's net debt at all negative, i.e. cash flows of the
company exceed liabilities. Besides their business generates more free
cash flow, which allows them to pay a very solid dividends. Dividend
income on preferred shares of KMG and Kazakhtelecom is 6-8% and 3-
4% of ordinary shares. Shares of these companies are traded much
cheaper than the shares of similar companies in other emerging markets.
This material is for informational purposes and is not an offer or recommendation
to perform any transaction in securities. Agency IRBIS is not responsible for the
opinions expressed in this material.
[2010-12-07]