Market reviews and recommendations of BCC Invest JSC (Kazakhstan) analysts for November 23, 2010
23.11.10 17:50
/IRBIS. November 23, 2010/ - BCC Invest JSC has provided IRBIS with
a survey of main events, market reviews and investment ideas for
November 23, 2010.
Analysts of JSC "BCC Invest" now expect a negative opening of
trading on the shares included in the index KASE, on the negative
external background. According to the JSC "BCC Invest", the dynamics
of KASE index later in the day would be volatile, and KASE index end the
day in negative territory.
JSC "BCC Invest" also notes the following important events in the Kazakh
market:
- The Republican Budget of Kazakhstan in January-October, with a deficit
17.5% of spending. The national budget deficit for November 1, 2010
amounted to KZT 598 billion 472.8 million, told Interfax-Kazakhstan in the
Ministry of Finance. Income from the national budget in January-October
amounted to KZT 2 trln 817 billion 841.6 million, the cost - KZT3 trillion 416
billion 314.4 million. Thus, the state budget in January-October, with a deficit
17.5% of spending. In the revenue side, the actual revenue of KZT2 trillion.
800 billion 955.7 million, the income from repayment of budget loans - KZT
16 billion 793.1 million from the sale of state assets - KZT 92.8 million. In
the expenditure side, the costs amounted to KZT3 trillion 100 billion 145
million, low cost loans - KZT 106 billion 734.2 million, the cost of acquisition
of financial assets - KZT 209 billion 435.2 million. It was reported that the
budget deficit for 2010 was approved in the amount of KZT 803.6 billion
(4.1% of GDP). Income from the national budget this year, approved at KZT3
trillion 378.4 billion costs - KZT 4 trillion 182 billion. In September this
year, revenues and expenditures of the republican budget of Kazakhstan for 2010
were increased by KZT 139.4 billion. Refined parameters of the national
budget as follows: revenue - KZT3 trillion 517.8 billion, expenditures - KZT4
trillion 321.4 bln deficit - 803.6 bln.
Analysts of JSC "BCC Invest" and expect the following
developments in international markets today:
- In Russia the publication of important macroeconomic statistics is
expected. Today the Board of Directors of OJSC "Gazprom" will
consider investment program on 2011.
- in Germany 13:00 (AST) in Germany will be published index prices
of imports for October and the final data for GDP of Germany for the
third quarter, and 14:30 (AST) - data on the PMI index in the
manufacturing sector and the service sector in November. At 14:00
(AST) in France will be published data on the PMI index in the
manufacturing and service sectors in November. At 14:30 (AST) will
be published index value of the euro area consumer confidence for
October, and 15:00 (AST) - data on the PMI index in the
manufacturing and service sectors euro area in November.
- U.S. at 19:30 (AST) will be published the revised GDP data for the
third quarter. At 21:00 (AST) will be published data on sales of
existing homes in October, as well as the index of manufacturing
activity Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond in October. At 01:00
(AST) will be published by the U.S. Federal Reserve meeting
minutes from November 3.
- Today reports GeoPharma Inc., Guess and others.
Analysts of BCC Invest JSC are giving the following advice for
investors in securities of issuers in internal market:
----------------------------------------------------------------------
Issuer Last price Target Predicted price.
code price % Recom-
mendation
----------------- ------- ---------- ------ ---------------- ---------
Kazkommertsbank KKGB 450 479 +6.44 Neutral
KKGBp 215 335 +55.81 Buy
Halyk Bank HSBK 367 386 +5.18 Buy
Bank CenterCredit CCBN 590 646 +9.49 Hold
Tsesnabank TSBN 870 1,030 +9.57 Neutral
KazMunaiGaz RDGZ 17,875 22,300 +24.76 Buy
Kazakhmys PLC GB_KZMS 3,400 3,392 -0.24 Neutral
ENRC PLC GB_ENRC 2,150 2,858 +32.93 Buy
Kazakhtelekom KZTK 17,200 19,200 +11.63 Buy
KZTKp 7,601.01 9,300 +22.35 Buy
MREK MREK 1,100 1,130 +2.73 Hold
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The given material has exclusively information character and is not the offer
or recommendation to make any transactions with the stocks. Agency Irbis doesn't
take responsibility for the opinions which are in given material.
[2010-11-23]