Market reveiws and recommendations of Financial Company REAL INVEST.KZ (Kazakhstan) analysts on November 18, 2010
19.11.10 18:40
/IRBIS, November 19, 2010/ - JSC Finance Company REAL Invest.kz
(Almaty, REAL Invest.kz) provided to IRBIS overview of major developments
in Kazakhstan and the world markets on November 19, 2010.
JSC Financial Company REAL Invest.kz notes the following significant
developments on the world stock, commodity and currency market:
- trades on American and European markets on Thursday ended
steady growth of quotations. The last session for the western areas
was held under the undeniable influence of "bulls" on the background
of several upbeat events. Thus, the head of the Central Bank of
Ireland, Patrick Honohan said that in the very near future his country
would receive "a very substantial loan to the size of the" tens of
billions "of euros from the EU and the IMF, noting that the last word in
this matter rests with the Government. Reluctance to Ireland to fund
budget deficits through not cheap loans neighboring countries in the
euro area, triggering a sharp negative reaction in financial markets,
and so yesterday's statement by the head of the Central Bank of the
country, has managed to somewhat ease the tension of recent days.
Following a positive factor on Thursday was the publication of data
from the U.S. labor market, according to which the number of visits for
primary unemployment benefits last week increased by only 2
thousand units, while analysts had expected growth rate of at least 5
thousand units. It has also been published value of the indicator
Philadelphia Fed., Which in November rose to 22.5 points, or more
than 4 times surpassed forecasts of experts. As a result of the day,
major indexes of sites in Europe grew by 1.3% -2%, U.S. Dow Jones
and S & P 500 finished the day increase by 1.57% and 1.54%
respectively.
- Site emerging markets finished the day positive. The past session
was a rare exception to the rule, when all four sites were marked
BRIC unanimity amicably closing the day a significant increase in
quotes. Boasts the fastest growing Russian RTS index, the volatility
which in the past sessions fold increased In general, the overall
positive background, to provide such dynamic areas of emerging
economies was driven by news from the eurozone, whose members
desperately tried to soothe a feverish markets. An additional
supportive factor for the emerging markets became correction of raw
assets. Today's premarket to regional areas is positive, Asian area
started the day with the raising of quotations.
- Oil prices, on the session on Thursday, grew at 1.23%, slightly
adapted, after a significant decline in recent sessions, fighting off
Wednesday from the support level, which is located at around $ 80 a
barrel. Following the recent isolation of some of the stock exchanges
and other assets of the raw areas, which was observed during growth
in the first half of November, quotes the "black gold" back under the
impact of general background that led to yesterday's correction in oil
prices. In connection with all this, analysts of "REAL Invest.kz" are
believe that the further dynamics of quotations of "black gold" will be
subordinated to general market sentiment, which in turn predict at this
time seems impossible. At the same time it is obvious that the mark at
$ 80 still acts as a support level, to overcome that probably will not be
easy.
- troy ounce of gold after the last two sessions corrected for 2%,
fighting off competition from the mark at $ 1,330 and closed Thursday
above $ 1,350. In this case, according to the "REAL Invest.kz", there
is just different from the dynamics of oil prices picture. Gold prices on
a variety of reasons in the short term will be changed to a greater
degree of general market factors, and on factors of technical analysis,
particularly closer to the point of $ 1,500 per ounce. Investing in gold
is likely to be in any case - against the background of positive growth
and stock markets, and after developing market participants'
pessimism - to secure the rights of the asset. Analysts of "REAL
Invest.kz" still waiting for consolidation quotes "precious metal" to the
end of this year, with the border consolidation may increase
substantially as we approach the psychological level.
- currency pair EUR/USD after a small correction quotations on
Wednesday, during the last session did not change significantly in
value, despite the seemingly positive prevailing ambient background
for the European currency. This suggests continued downward
quotes the EUR / USD immediately after changing the general
sentiment. Volatile British pound, in turn, on the session grew by
0,6%, to consolidate above the mark of 1.60.
Analysts of "REAL Invest.kz" noted that the most attractive stories
among the shares of Kazakh companies are RD Kazmunaigas,
Kazakhtelecom and Halyk Bank. Especially attractive look and EP
Kazakhtelecom, as both companies are very strong balance sheet with
low debt burden, the EP's net debt at all negative, i.e. cash flows of the
company exceed liabilities. Besides their business generates more free
cash flow, which allows them to pay a very solid dividends. Dividend
income on preferred shares of KMG and Kazakhtelecom is 6-8% and 3-
4% of ordinary shares. Shares of these companies are traded much
cheaper than the shares of similar companies in other emerging markets.
This material is for informational purposes and is not an offer or recommendation
to perform any transaction in securities. Agency IRBIS is not responsible for the
opinions expressed in this material.
[2010-11-19]