Market reveiws and recommendations of Financial Company REAL INVEST.KZ (Kazakhstan) analysts on November 12, 2010
12.11.10 16:09
/IRBIS, November 12, 2010/ - JSC Finance Company REAL Invest.kz
(Almaty, REAL Invest.kz) provided to IRBIS overview of major developments
in Kazakhstan and the world markets on November 12, 2010.
JSC Financial Company REAL Invest.kz notes the following significant
developments on the world stock, commodity and currency market:
- the main area the U.S. and Europe finished the day in negative
territory. The main factors for the sales on the sites "developed West"
on Thursday were fears of market participants regarding the situation
with the budget deficit in Ireland, the problems which, according to
some experts, no less than Greek, and soon began to Summit "Big
20" in Seoul . Thus, Professor of Economics University of Dublin Mr.
Morgan Kelly, on Thursday announced a rather gloomy forecast of
the future prospects of Ireland. According to the forecast professor,
Ireland inevitably awaits bankruptcy and the repetition of the fate of
Greece. Loss of its banks are too high, and Dublin will be looking for
means to plug a huge hole in the financial system, and the head of
the European Union countries will agree to lend a helping hand just
for a high price. According to Mr. Kelly, they want to use the example
of Ireland and to wean others do not to use it. At the same time, the
success of the upcoming G20 summit now believe very few, since
according to most experts, consensus decisions will not be accepted
for the reason that each of the major countries will defend self-interest
in each of the issues, in particular, this applies to foreign currency
U.S. policy, and China. Up to the day the main European sites have
gone down on 0.1% -0.5%, U.S. indices closed lower by 0.4% -
0.65%. Today in the euro area will be published preliminary data on
changes in GDP in the third quarter, so according to the expectations
of analysts, the index showed an increase of 1.9% in annual terms. In
the United States today will be published preliminary consumer
sentiment index value of the University of Michigan.
- Site emerging markets on the basis of Thursday's significantly
decreased. Heated again fears the western market participants
around the debt problems of the peripheral countries the euro area,
spread to regional sites, which for several consecutive sessions are
under significant pressure. Turned out to be negative and published in
China macro statistics, according to which the level of industrial
production in the country increased by 0.3% less than analysts'
expectations, while consumer price index in China rose by contrast
0.4% more than forecast staff. Today's premarket site for emerging
economies is characterized as a negative, playgrounds Asia has once
again started the day with sales.
- the price per barrel of WTI crude oil up to the last trading session to
adjust on a 2.3% almost reached the lower limit and a half weeks
price range, located at around $ 86 per barrel. The main driver for
sales made by the general negative attitude of market participants,
spread on Thursday to absolutely every kind of asset, including a
contract for the supply of a barrel of oil. However, long-term prospects
of "black gold" on Thursday were supported by forecasts of OPEC,
according to which oil demand in the coming year, revised upwards
by 120 thousand barrels to 1.2 million barrels. With regard to short-
term prospects of quotations of "black gold", in the case of
penetration of a specified level of $ 86 per barrel, according to the
"REAL Invest.kz", it is likely to continue the correction at least at
today's session.
- quotes troy ounce of gold also dropped by the end of trading session
Thursday, with prices "precious metal" has also been made to support
a local level, located just above $ 1,380 an ounce. Most likely, during
today's session, traders once again try to avoid significant volume of
investments in any of the assets, but in the medium term, at the
moment growth of quotations "precious metal" according to "REAL
Invest.kz" not in danger.
- two majors of the Forex market on the basis of the last session
substantially corrected, with the quotation of EUR/USD even dropped
below the psychological mark of 1.37. The British pound finished the
day as a decrease in quotations, but the value of a currency pair
GBP/USD continues to remain above the mark to 1.60.
Analysts of "REAL Invest.kz" noted that the most attractive stories
among the shares of Kazakh companies are RD Kazmunaigas,
Kazakhtelecom and Halyk Bank. Especially attractive look and EP
Kazakhtelecom, as both companies are very strong balance sheet with
low debt burden, the EP's net debt at all negative, i.e. cash flows of the
company exceed liabilities. Besides their business generates more free
cash flow, which allows them to pay a very solid dividends. Dividend
income on preferred shares of KMG and Kazakhtelecom is 6-8% and 3-
4% of ordinary shares. Shares of these companies are traded much
cheaper than the shares of similar companies in other emerging markets.
This material is for informational purposes and is not an offer or recommendation
to perform any transaction in securities. Agency IRBIS is not responsible for the
opinions expressed in this material.
[2010-11-12]