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19.10.2010 17:55 #Issuer news

REVIEW: KASE debt capital market in September 2010

/IRBIS, October 19, 2010/ - In September 2010, on the Kazakhstan Stock Exchange (KASE) on corporate bonds in all market sectors recorded 359 transactions totaling KZT83,603.7 million, or 566,892.1 million U.S. dollars at the current rate at the date of the transaction. This represents 89.3% of the monthly trading volume on the corporate securities market (in August 2010 - 66.9%) and 3.7% of the total trading volume in all sectors of the market (0.4%).

Ticket background of the stock market of corporate bonds in September 2010 was as follows: of the 59 items of the bonds involved in the transactions on the secondary market at a discount traded debt instruments of 41 items, with a premium - 18 names. The most overbought look CSBNb9, the weighted average net price of which amounted to 117.93%, resold - VITAb5 (8.70%). Recall that in August 2010 of the 49 items of bonds involved in the transaction on the secondary market at a discount traded debt instruments 39 items, with a premium - 10 items. The most overbought look HSBKe4, the weighted average net price of which amounted to 113.55%, resold - VITAb5 (12.51%).

The average net price of corporate bonds on the secondary market in September rose to 89.4% compared with 86.2% in August 2010. A month on deals yield to maturity rose to the buyer for 21 instruments (in August 2010 - at 16), decreased in 35 instruments (31), and a bargaining tool for the first time(1).

Below are the tables, characterizing this segment of exchange market in September 2010.

Tab. 1. Statistic characteristic of corporate bonds market on KASE in September of 2010 (indicators are given taking into account direct deals)

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                     Trend to
                                                      -----------------------
Indicator                                   September      August   September
                                                 2010        2009        2009
------------------------------------------- --------- ----------- -----------
Trades volume, th., USD                     566,892.1   8.0 times   4.9 times
Trades volume, m., KZT                       83,610.7   8.0 times   4.8 times
including placement, thousand in USD        415,946.2           -           -
including placement, mln in KZT              61,368.7           -           -
Number of deals                                   359      +42.5%      -47.5%
Day average number of deals                        16      +36.0%      -47.5%
Day average volume of deals, th. USD         25,767.8   7.6 times   4.9 times
Day average volume of deals, m. KZT           3,800.5   7.6 times   4.8 times
Number of instruments,                             59      +20.4%      -45.4%
involved in deals
Stake of nego deals (number), %                     0           0  -0.1 times
Stake of nego deals (volume), %                     0           0  -0.4 times
Participation of pension assets, % gross          5.4 -12.9 times -25.5 times
Participation of physical entities, % gross      32.5 +15.8 times  +7.3 times
Participation of non residents, % gross           7.9  +2.7 times  +6.3 times
Number of exchange's members,                      38       -5.0%      -22.4%
who made deals
Market concentration, %*                         45.2  +7.9 times  -1.4 times
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
* Indicates the percentage of the total corporate bond trading,
  which accounts for most traded securities (their number is 5%
  the total number of items of corporate bonds, involved in the transaction).

Tab. 2. Sector structure of the trading volume in September 2010 corporate bonds on KASE *

--------------------------------------------------------------------
                            Stake from total volume of trades(%) in:
                           -------------- ----------- --------------
Branch                     September 2010 August 2010 September 2009
-------------------------- -------------- ----------- --------------
Finance                              95.0        92.1           67.5
Main
consumer sector                       3.7         0.8            1.4
Telecommunication services
                                      0.9         0.2            4.9
Primary sector                        0.2         5.5           0.03
Industry
                                      0.1         1.1           16.4
Discretionary                        0.02         0.2            1.7
consumer sector
Utilities sector                     0.01         0.1            0.9
Public health                       0.003       0.004              -
Energy                                  -           -            0.1
Information technologies
                                        -           -            7.2
--------------------------------------------------------------------
* branch classification of turnover structure was made in compliance with list of
  classification headings of Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS)
  Standard and Poor's

Tab. 3. Main indicators of KASE corporate bond market in September 2010

--------------------------------------------------------------
          Market.
         value of    Index                 Volume of Volume of
            debt, KASE_BY,   Index   Index    trade,    deals,
Date       USD m.    % APR KASE_BP KASE_BC   th. USD    m. KZT
-------- -------- -------- ------- ------- --------- ---------
31.08.10 21,230.0    14.26  367.69  301.13     193.8      28.5
01.09.10 20,336.8    14.25  367.66  300.92   2,558.6     376.7
02.09.10 20,337.3    14.20  366.88  300.87     289.5      42.6
03.09.10 19,525.6    14.20  366.64  300.76   6,044.0     890.2
06.09.10 19,514.2    14.19  367.97  300.97  13,319.1   1,961.6
07.09.10 19,511.1    14.16  367.49  301.49   5,307.5     782.1
08.09.10 19,490.3    14.14  367.41  301.28   8,352.7   1,231.9
09.09.10 19,488.4    14.14  367.29  301.23   5,544.7     817.7
10.09.10 19,499.3    14.13  367.38  301.18   6,084.9     896.8
13.09.10 19,513.8    14.14  368.35  301.01  16,196.6   2,384.8
14.09.10 19,521.7    14.13  368.18  300.81   7,361.7   1,083.6
15.09.10 19,527.8    14.08  368.22  300.87   7,242.3   1,065.8
16.09.10 19,524.3    14.12  367.24  300.72  14,521.8   2,138.8
17.09.10 19,522.8    14.12  367.20  300.67  14,113.9   2,080.2
20.09.10 19,529.6    14.12  368.31  300.75   1,441.0     212.4
21.09.10 19,518.6    14.13  367.38  300.55     685.6     101.1
22.09.10 19,536.1    14.20  366.75  299.78   9,740.4   1,434.9
23.09.10 19,533.7    14.17  367.45  300.55  10,592.5   1,562.3
24.09.10 19,530.7    14.11  367.37  300.47   6,036.2     890.6
27.09.10 19,534.8    14.11  368.60  300.61 418,949.5  61,811.8
28.09.10 19,968.7    14.10  367.98  301.83   8,387.5   1,236.5
29.09.10 19,960.7    14.11  367.80  301.45     875.2     129.1
-------- -------- -------- ------- ------- --------- ---------
Trend     -1265.6     -0.1    +0.5    -0.1
%            -6.0     -1.0    +0.1   -0.02
--------------------------------------------------------------

Tab.4 Change of corporate bonds lists, traded on KASE, in September 2010

--------------------------------------------
                         Bonds:     Issuers:
Category of        ------ ----- ------ -----
admission          number trend number trend
------------------ ------ ----- ------ -----
Rated                  71   +11     25    +5
------------------ ------ ----- ------ -----
Non-rated
first subcategory     111    -1     32     0
Non-rated
second subcategory     33    -1     23    -1
Buffered               40    -7     11     0
------------------ ------ ----- ------ -----
Total                 255    +2     82    +1
--------------------------------------------

Tab. 5. Summary data on deals with corporate bonds on KASE in September 2010 (purchase and sale without consideration of nego deals)

----------------------------------------------------------------------
            Yield to maturity for purchaser, % APR:
Code of ------ ------ ---------------- ------------ Volume of
                       At a last deal:     For last
                       At a last deal:    365 days:
bond                  ------ --------- ----- ------    deals,   Number
on KASE   min.   max.  yield  Trend, %  min.   max.   th. USD of deals
------- ------ ------ ------ --------- ----- ------ --------- --------
ABDIb1   36.00  36.00  36.00           32.00  36.00     748.6        1
------- ------ ------ ------ --------- ----- ------ --------- --------
AESOb1   12.00  12.00  12.00           11.80  13.00     749.7        5
------- ------ ------ ------ --------- ----- ------ --------- --------
ALBNb2    6.00   6.00   6.00            6.00  10.50      16.8        1
------- ------ ------ ------ --------- ----- ------ --------- --------
ATFBb4    8.00   8.00   8.00            8.00  14.00      16.6        1
------- ------ ------ ------ --------- ----- ------ --------- --------
ATFBb6    7.00   7.00   7.00      -0.2  7.00  17.00     684.0        2
------- ------ ------ ------ --------- ----- ------ --------- --------
ATFBe6    6.27   7.20   6.27            6.27   8.76   6,975.1        4
------- ------ ------ ------ --------- ----- ------ --------- --------
BTAIb11  24.89  32.51  24.89      -7.6 24.89  39.73     758.3        3
------- ------ ------ ------ --------- ----- ------ --------- --------
BTAIb2   19.40  30.68  28.69      +7.5 19.22  53.00     730.6        4
------- ------ ------ ------ --------- ----- ------ --------- --------
BTAIb3   35.06  36.25  36.25      +4.3  9.40 104.84     192.7        7
------- ------ ------ ------ --------- ----- ------ --------- --------
BTAIb9    6.80   7.02   6.80      -0.2  6.80  33.00     866.0       15
------- ------ ------ ------ --------- ----- ------ --------- --------
BTTRb1    8.64   8.64   8.64            8.64  10.22      55.0        4
------- ------ ------ ------ --------- ----- ------ --------- --------
CBH_b1   22.38  22.38  22.38           22.38  24.11      11.7        1
------- ------ ------ ------ --------- ----- ------ --------- --------
CCBNb10  11.40  11.40  11.40            9.00  13.10      24.1        1
------- ------ ------ ------ --------- ----- ------ --------- --------
CCBNb11   9.45   9.45   9.45            9.45  12.50      14.7        1
------- ------ ------ ------ --------- ----- ------ --------- --------
CCBNb12   3.50   4.50   4.00            3.50  10.00      40.8        5
------- ------ ------ ------ --------- ----- ------ --------- --------
CCBNb20   8.00   8.00   8.00  +0.00001  8.00  10.00       7.2        1
------- ------ ------ ------ --------- ----- ------ --------- --------
CCBNb4    6.50   8.00   6.50      -0.5  6.50  11.00     667.6        6
------- ------ ------ ------ --------- ----- ------ --------- --------
CCBNb6   10.00  10.00  10.00      -0.9  9.50  14.00     350.7        2
------- ------ ------ ------ --------- ----- ------ --------- --------
CCBNb7   11.40  11.40  11.40      +0.5  8.40  13.00      20.2        1
------- ------ ------ ------ --------- ----- ------ --------- --------
CCBNb8    9.00  11.40   9.00            9.00  11.70   3,768.2        6
------- ------ ------ ------ --------- ----- ------ --------- --------
CCBNb9    9.45   9.45   9.45            9.00  11.50      20.3        1
CCBNe2    7.00   7.00   7.00      -1.0  7.00  12.47   1,574.8        1
CCBNe3                                                5,882.0        9
CCBNe4    7.10   7.44   7.10      -0.4  7.10   9.00  10,311.6        5
CSBNb4   13.00  15.00  13.00           13.00  19.00   8,922.6        6
CSBNb5   15.00  15.00  15.00           15.00  20.00      12.6        1
CSBNb9    8.00   9.00   9.00            8.00   9.00  24,526.7        5
CTECb1   15.50  15.50  15.50      -0.4 12.50  16.00     231.0        1
EUBNb3    8.00  12.00  10.00      -2.0  8.00  21.00  26,914.2       40
EUBNb4    9.00  12.00   9.70            9.00  13.01   6,179.7        4
HSBKb10   9.00   9.00   9.00            9.00  14.50      66.9        1
HSBKe3    6.94   7.14   6.94            6.94   7.50  16,785.7       10
HSBKe4    5.31   5.82   5.31            5.11   7.57  11,161.5        8
KASSb1    8.99   9.00   8.99            7.00  17.00     320.3        7
KIBNb1   12.00  12.00  12.00           11.25  12.00     529.2        1
KKAGb3   22.93  22.93  22.93           22.93  22.93      18.9        1
KKGBb5   11.00  11.50  11.50      +0.8  7.50  11.50     161.7        3
KKGBe4    9.26   9.30   9.26      -0.8  9.26  17.22     221.5        3
KONDb1  166.23 166.23 166.23           55.84 259.62       1.5        1
KRZHb1   54.48  72.32  72.32     +56.1 16.26  85.31      27.4        5
KZAPe1    4.47   4.47   4.47            4.47   4.47     547.7        1
KZIKb17  15.75  15.75  15.75 +0.000002  7.50  15.90     185.6        1
KZIKb20  13.00  17.00  17.00      +3.0  7.00  17.00      40.5        3
KZIKb4   14.45  14.45  14.45           11.01  14.45     176.0        1
LOGCb1   26.01  26.01  26.01      -2.0  6.82  32.70       5.0        1
MREKb3    9.00   9.00   9.00            7.00  17.00      14.6        2
MREKb5   10.00  10.00  10.00            9.03  16.00       0.8        1
NFBNb1   32.90  32.90  32.90      -2.0 32.90  36.00       6.7        1
ORDKb2   12.00  16.00  14.50      +0.5 12.00  16.00     553.2       19
REALb1    9.99  10.50  10.50            9.99  50.00   1,015.3        4
RESCb1    8.01  12.00   8.01      -1.0  8.00  14.39  11,786.2        3
RGBRb6   16.00  16.00  16.00           13.97  16.34       7.1        1
TSBNb2   13.00  15.50  13.00           13.00  23.00     837.3        6
TSBNb5   14.00  14.00  14.00  +0.00002 14.00  37.00       6.3        2
TSBNb6   14.00  14.00  14.00           12.00  14.00     120.4        1
TXBNb3    9.00   9.00   9.00            7.00  17.27      60.6        3
VITAb5  131.00 277.13 277.13    +146.1 22.82 277.13      94.0       52
VMZVb1   15.00  15.00  15.00           13.90  15.00      35.8        2
ZERDb1   42.00  45.86  44.00  +0.00004 10.00 119.00   4,884.1       55
------- ------ ------ ------ --------- ----- ------ --------- --------
59                                                  150,946.0      343
----------------------------------------------------------------------

Comments: Securities were sorted in alphabetical order according to codes of bonds. Trends are given in percentage points (1pp = 100 basis points) relative to the last deal of previous month - August 2010.

[2010-10-19]