Market reveiws and recommendations of Financial Company REAL INVEST.KZ (Kazakhstan) analysts on October 15, 2010
15.10.10 16:38
/IRBIS, October 15, 2010/ - JSC Finance Company REAL Invest.kz
(Almaty, REAL Invest.kz) provided to IRBIS overview of major developments
in Kazakhstan and the world markets on October 15, 2010.
JSC Financial Company REAL Invest.kz notes the following significant
developments on the world stock, commodity and currency market:
- trading on major U.S. and European markets culminated in a
decrease in quotations. Pressure on the markets has mainly
publication of weak macroeconomic data in the U.S.. Thus, the trade
deficit in the United States rose in August in monthly terms by 8.8% to
$ 46.3 billion in addition, the number of initial applications for
unemployment benefits in the U.S. last week, ending on October 9,
grew by 13 thousand - to 462 thousand applications, while analysts
forecast a decline to a level of 444 thousand applications. Negative
and were released inflation data showing that the index of producer
prices in the past has not changed, remaining at the level of 0.4%,
while market participants are expected to decline 0.2%. This,
according to analysts, may to some extent, thwart monetary
authorities to continue the policy of quantitative easing. Up to the day
the indices in Europe fell within 0.4%, U.S. indices by the end of the
trading session managed to play most of the losses and the Dow
Jones closed decreasing by only 0.1%, S & P 500 has lost on the
session the order of 0.36%. Today in the U.S. are published data on
retail sales, will be certain changes in the consumer price index, and,
finally, there are data on consumer confidence index Mich. Sentiment.
- Four sites BRIC, which determines the mood of sites emerging
economies, on Thursday, have closed down differently. Major indexes
in Brazil and China finished the day an increase of 0.02% and 0.6%
respectively, while the Russian and Indian sites were closed was
down 0.12% and 0.9% respectively. As the supporting factors for
regional areas made the publication quite positive corporate reports in
the U.S. on Wednesday, as a factor to exert pressure, should first be
noted weak macroeconomic data. External background before
opening the sites emerging markets considered "REAL Invest.kz"
moderately negative, which to some extent confirms the course of
trading in Asia, areas which to date are predominantly under
pressure.
- The cost of a barrel of oil mark WTI, on the basis of the last session
dropped by 1.3% to level of $ 82.69. The factors that negatively
impacted the quotes of "black gold" should note the publication is not
too optimistic macroeconomic data in the U.S., as well as the data
output of the weekly changes in stocks of petroleum and petroleum
products in the United States, according to which the reduction of
crude oil and Diz. fuel in the country for the past week has reached
only half the predicted value of analysts.
- regular price record set troy ounce of gold, which reached at the
session level of $ 1,389. As the main reasons for the growth of
quotations "precious metal" "REAL Invest.kz" notes the weakness of
U.S. currency which is under pressure from the U.S. monetary
authorities' plans.
- uncertain position of the U.S. dollar were the main factor which has
allowed the currency pair EUR/USD and GBP/USD, in the course of
the last trading day to overcome the important psychological
resistance levels are located at elevations of 1.40 and 1.60,
respectively. Moreover, if the euro after a trigger mark of 1.41 by the
end of the day be refined, the British pound, after the long-awaited
breakout level was able to achieve an eight-month high, and closed at
around 1.6021. Analysts of "REAL Invest.kz" believe that today's
session for both currency pairs will be held on a wave of optimism
and progress on the eve of success can be fixed.
Analysts of "REAL Invest.kz" noted that the most attractive stories
among the shares of Kazakh companies are RD Kazmunaigas,
Kazakhtelecom and Halyk Bank. Especially attractive look and EP
Kazakhtelecom, as both companies are very strong balance sheet with
low debt burden, the EP's net debt at all negative, i.e. cash flows of the
company exceed liabilities. Besides their business generates more free
cash flow, which allows them to pay a very solid dividends. Dividend
income on preferred shares of KMG and Kazakhtelecom is 6-8% and 3-
4% of ordinary shares. Shares of these companies are traded much
cheaper than the shares of similar companies in other emerging markets.
This material is for informational purposes and is not an offer or recommendation
to perform any transaction in securities. Agency IRBIS is not responsible for the
opinions expressed in this material.
[2010-10-15]