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14.09.2010 18:33 #Issuer news

REVIEW: KASE debt capital market in August 2010

/IRBIS, September 14, 2010/ - In August 2010, on the Kazakhstan Stock Exchange (KASE) on corporate bonds in all market sectors recorded 252 transactions totaling KZT10,467.7 million, or 71,017.5 million U.S. dollars at the current rate at the date of the transaction. This represents 66.9% of the monthly trading volume on the corporate securities market (in July 2010 - 45.4%) and 0.4% of the total trading volume in all sectors of the market (0.2%).

Ticket background of the stock market of corporate bonds in August 2010 was as follows: of the 49 items of the bonds involved in the transactions on the secondary market at a discount traded debt instruments of 39 items, with a premium - 10 names. The most overbought look EUBNb5, the weighted average net price of which amounted to 113.55%, resold - VITAb5 (12.51%). Recall that in July 2010 of the 58 items of bonds involved in the transaction on the secondary market at a discount traded debt instruments 50 items, with a premium - 8 items. The most overbought look HSBKe4, the weighted average net price of which amounted to 105.65%, resold - VITAb5 (13.49%).

The average net price of corporate bonds on the secondary market in August rose to 86.2% compared with 84.8% in July 2010. A month on deals yield to maturity rose to the buyer for 16 instruments (in July 2010 - at 33), decreased in 31 instruments (25), and a bargaining tool for the first time.

Below are the tables, characterizing this segment of exchange market in August 2010.

Tab. 1. Statistic characteristic of corporate bonds market on KASE in August of 2010 (indicators are given taking into account direct deals)

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                                     Trend to
                                                        ---------------------
Indicator                                   August 2010 July 2009 August 2009
------------------------------------------- ----------- --------- -----------
Trades volume, th., USD                        71,017.5    +78.4%      -22.5%
Trades volume, m., KZT                         10,467.7    +78.2%      -24.2%
Number of deals                                     252    -18.7%   2.0 times
Day average number of deals                          12    -18.7%   2.1 times
Day average volume of deals, th. USD            3,381.8    +78.4%      -26.2%
Day average volume of deals, m. KZT               498.5    +78.2%      -27.8%
Number of instruments,                               49    -15.5%      -44.3%
involved in deals
Stake of nego deals (number), %                       0   -0.3 pp     -0.6 pp
Stake of nego deals (volume), %                       0 -0.001 pp  -0.0001 pp
Participation of pension assets, % gross           18.3   -0.6 pp     -3.1 pp
Participation of physical entities, % gross        16.7  -12.7 pp     -6.8 pp
Participation of non residents, % gross             5.2   +4.7 pp     +5.2 pp
Number of exchange's members,                        40    +11.1%       -2.4%
who made deals
Market concentration, %*                           37.3  -10.8 pp    -11.2 pp
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------
* Indicates the percentage of the total corporate bond trading,
  which accounts for most traded securities (their number is 5%
  the total number of items of corporate bonds, involved in the transaction).

Tab. 2. Sector structure of the trading volume in August 2010 corporate bonds on KASE *

-------------------------------------------------------------------
                           Stake from total volume of trades(%) in:
                           -------------- ----------- -------------
Branch                        August 2010   July 2010   August 2009
-------------------------- -------------- ----------- -------------
Finance                              92.1        71.9          78.3
Main                                  5.5         7.1           0.1
consumer sector
Telecommunication services
                                      1.1        17.4           8.0
Primary sector
                                      0.8         1.4           0.5
Industry
                                      0.2         0.3           9.3
Discretionary                         0.2         0.9           1.0
consumer sector
Utilities sector                      0.1         1.0           0.1
Public health                       0.004        0.02           2.6
Energy                                  -           -             -
Information technologies
                                        -           -           0.1
-------------------------------------------------------------------
*branch classification of turnover structure was made in compliance with list of
 classification headings of Global Industry Classification Standard (GICS)
 Standard and Poor's

Tab. 3. Main indicators of KASE corporate bond market in August 2010

--------------------------------------------------------------
          Market.
         value of    Index                 Volume of Volume of
            debt, KASE_BY,   Index   Index    trade,    deals,
Date       USD m.    % APR KASE_BP KASE_BC   th. USD    m. KZT
-------- -------- -------- ------- ------- --------- ---------
30.07.10 25,657.1    14.26  363.41  299.52     175.3      25.9
02.08.10 25,664.3    14.26  364.06  299.26      29.4       4.3
03.08.10 25,644.4    14.24  362.65  298.66  21,922.9   3,237.1
04.08.10 25,702.0    14.25  362.16  297.92     530.2      78.2
05.08.10 25,703.8    14.14  363.77  299.53   4,731.7     697.5
06.08.10 25,718.0    14.14  363.31  298.97     990.5     145.9
09.08.10 25,710.2    14.14  364.08  298.84   2,317.6     341.2
10.08.10 25,702.5    14.11  363.74  299.06   5,203.9     766.9
11.08.10 25,703.4    14.11  364.17  298.81     496.5      73.1
12.08.10 25,644.2    14.11  364.77  299.31     248.4      36.7
13.08.10 25,668.4    14.29  365.48  300.52     317.7      46.8
16.08.10 25,635.0    14.29  365.87  300.61   8,743.4   1,288.7
17.08.10 25,645.7    14.25  365.53  300.89   4,723.5     695.6
18.08.10 25,663.1    14.25  365.86  301.06   1,716.6     252.6
19.08.10 25,662.0    14.26  366.14  301.32   6,394.7     941.1
20.08.10 25,660.9    14.27  367.09  301.36   2,403.8     353.6
23.08.10 25,644.0    14.27  367.16  301.20   3,309.9     487.2
24.08.10 25,646.6    14.27  366.75  301.32     981.8     144.5
25.08.10 25,607.9    14.27  366.96  300.88   2,106.8     310.3
26.08.10 21,246.2    14.27  366.63  300.98   2,617.8     385.2
27.08.10 21,247.6    14.26  367.15  301.42   1,036.7     152.5
31.08.10 21,230.0    14.26  367.69  301.13     193.8      28.5
-------- -------- -------- ------- ------- --------- ---------
Trend     -4427.1   +0.004    +4.3    +1.6
%           -17.3    +0.02    +1.2    +0.5
--------------------------------------------------------------

Tab.4 Change of corporate bonds lists, traded on KASE, in August 2010

--------------------------------------------
                         Bonds:     Issuers:
Category of        ------ ----- ------ -----
admission          number trend number trend
------------------ ------ ----- ------ -----
Rated                  60     0     20    +1
------------------ ------ ----- ------ -----
Non-rated
first subcategory     112    -1     32     0
Non-rated
second subcategory     34    -2     24    -2
Buffered               47   -19     11    +1
------------------ ------ ----- ------ -----
Total                 253   -22     81    -1
--------------------------------------------

Tab. 5. Summary data on deals with corporate bonds on KASE in August 2010 (purchase and sale without consideration of nego deals)

----------------------------------------------------------------------
            Yield to maturity for purchaser, % APR:
Code of ------ ------ ---------------- ------------ Volume of
                       At a last deal:     For last
                       At a last deal:    365 days:
bond                  ------ --------- ----- ------    deals,   Number
on KASE   min.   max.  yield  Trend, %  min.   max.   th. USD of deals
------- ------ ------ ------ --------- ----- ------ --------- --------
AGKKb1    8.50   9.64   8.50      -0.8  7.70  13.00   1,962.0       10
------- ------ ------ ------ --------- ----- ------ --------- --------
ATFBb6    7.20  10.12   7.20            7.00  19.00   9,532.8       10
------- ------ ------ ------ --------- ----- ------ --------- --------
BRKZe2    4.60   5.00   4.60            4.60   5.73   8,763.8        6
------- ------ ------ ------ --------- ----- ------ --------- --------
BTAIb11  32.45  39.73  32.45           24.89  39.73   1,817.7        6
------- ------ ------ ------ --------- ----- ------ --------- --------
BTAIb14  35.21  37.89  35.21           15.00  45.84      78.1        2
------- ------ ------ ------ --------- ----- ------ --------- --------
BTAIb2   19.22  24.16  21.22     -16.0 19.22  53.00   1,095.7        7
------- ------ ------ ------ --------- ----- ------ --------- --------
BTAIb3   31.92  31.92  31.92     +0.02  9.40 104.84      33.5        1
------- ------ ------ ------ --------- ----- ------ --------- --------
BTAIb5   33.81  38.38  38.38     +10.9 27.40  51.00     326.0        5
------- ------ ------ ------ --------- ----- ------ --------- --------
BTAIb7   58.88  58.88  58.88      +0.3 29.00  67.91      19.1        1
------- ------ ------ ------ --------- ----- ------ --------- --------
BTAIb9    7.02   7.02   7.02      -0.4  7.00  40.00     102.0        5
------- ------ ------ ------ --------- ----- ------ --------- --------
CACMb1   18.00  24.00  18.00      -6.0 14.00  36.00      51.8        5
------- ------ ------ ------ --------- ----- ------ --------- --------
CCBNb20   8.00   8.00   8.00            8.00  12.00     286.4        2
------- ------ ------ ------ --------- ----- ------ --------- --------
CCBNb4    7.00   7.00   7.00      -2.0  7.00  14.00      12.9        1
------- ------ ------ ------ --------- ----- ------ --------- --------
CCBNb6   10.86  12.00  10.86      +0.9  9.50  18.00   1,126.0        3
------- ------ ------ ------ --------- ----- ------ --------- --------
CCBNb7   10.86  10.93  10.93      +1.9  8.40  18.01     640.1        2
------- ------ ------ ------ --------- ----- ------ --------- --------
CCBNe2    8.00   8.00   8.00            7.97  12.47      38.7        2
------- ------ ------ ------ --------- ----- ------ --------- --------
CCBNe4    7.50   9.00   7.50            7.10   9.00   1,892.4        4
------- ------ ------ ------ --------- ----- ------ --------- --------
CCBNe5    7.50  10.00   7.50      -2.5  7.50  10.00   2,198.4        7
------- ------ ------ ------ --------- ----- ------ --------- --------
CSBNb3    7.50   7.50   7.50      -1.5  7.50  16.94   6,249.7        4
------- ------ ------ ------ --------- ----- ------ --------- --------
CSBNb6   15.95  15.95  15.95           13.95  20.00      10.6        1
------- ------ ------ ------ --------- ----- ------ --------- --------
CTECb1   15.00  15.90  15.90      +1.9 12.50  16.00   1,400.2        2
DTJLb1   13.47  13.47  13.47           10.05  43.72     128.7        1
EKGSb1    8.00   8.50   8.00            8.00  11.60   3,875.2        3
EUBNb3   11.25  13.00  12.01     +0.01 10.00  22.00   4,126.6       13
EUBNb5    7.00   7.00   7.00            7.00  10.00      18.6        1
HSBKb8    8.50   8.50   8.50            8.50  14.00      10.8        1
HSBKb9    8.00   8.00   8.00            8.00  17.00      12.7        1
KIBNb3   10.25  10.25  10.25   +0.0003 10.00  13.99     272.1        4
KKGBb5   10.00  10.70  10.70      +1.0  7.50  10.70   1,174.3        5
KKGBb9    8.00   8.00   8.00            8.00   8.00  16,930.8        1
KKGBe4   10.08  10.08  10.08      -0.8  9.26  22.81      11.9        1
KKGBe5   10.02  10.02  10.02           10.02  16.13      13.2        1
KRZHb1   16.26  16.26  16.26     -52.8 16.26  98.42     166.1        1
KZIKb17  15.50  15.75  15.75      +1.3  7.50  15.90     154.9        2
KZIKb20  14.00  14.00  14.00      +2.0  7.00  14.00      17.3        1
KZIKb6   13.00  13.00  13.00   -0.0001 11.00  13.50      26.9        1
LOGCb1   26.00  28.00  28.00    -0.001  6.82  32.70       3.1        3
MREKb2    6.00   6.00   6.00            5.00  15.00       9.0        1
NFBNb1   32.90  34.90  34.90      +0.9 31.20  36.00     128.2       16
NRBNb2   13.00  16.00  13.00  -0.00002 13.00  19.00     166.1        3
ORDKb2   14.00  16.00  14.00      -2.0 14.00  16.00     445.5       17
PDENb1   10.00  10.00  10.00           10.00  16.40       0.6        1
PRKRb2    8.00   8.00   8.00   -0.0003  8.00  11.50     702.2        1
RESCb1    9.00  12.00   9.00      -1.0  8.00  14.39   1,176.2        3
SATCb1    9.95   9.95   9.95 -0.000004  4.05  10.00      32.7        1
TMLZb1   24.00  24.00  24.00      -2.0 24.00  49.99      13.7        1
TSBNb5   14.00  16.00  14.00      -2.0 14.00  43.00   3,114.0        9
VITAb5  120.00 152.00 131.00      +9.0 22.82 156.44      45.3       20
ZERDb1   31.50  75.00  44.00     -42.7 10.00 119.00     602.7       53
------- ------ ------ ------ --------- ----- ------ --------- --------
49                                                   71,017.5      252
----------------------------------------------------------------------

Comments: Securities were sorted in alphabetical order according to codes of bonds. Trends are given in percentage points (1pp = 100 basis points) relative to the last deal of previous month - July 2010.

[2010-09-14]