Market reviews and recommendations of BCC Invest JSC (Kazakhstan) analysts for April 23, 2010
23.04.10 21:29
/IRBIS, April 23, 2010/ - BCC Invest JSC has provided IRBIS with a survey
of main events, market reviews and investment ideas for April 23, 2010.
Today Analysts of JSC "BCC Invest" expected on the Kazakhstan stock
market multidirectional movement of quotations. According to the JSC "BCC
Invest" projection resultant change of KASE index will be negligible.
JSC "BCC Invest" also notes the following important events in the
Kazakhstan market:
- Standar & Poors has assigned the oil company Zhaikmunai the "long-
term credit rating at 'B-' rating placed on CreditWatch with positive
implications, said on Thursday rating agency. In addition, the report
indicates, the planned release of long-term priority of bonds with fixed
income, which will be implemented special juridical person -
Zhaikmunai Finance BV, have assigned a preliminary long-term rating
"B". S&P also have assigned a bond rating of the expected recovery of
debt after a default on the level "3", which reflects the expectations of
the agency "a substantial (50-70%) recovery of debt holders of bonds
in the event of default"
- Moody's Investors Service has assigned oil and gas company
Zhaikmunai "the first corporate family rating (CFR) at the level of" B3 "/
In addition, the company rated the probability of default at" B2 ", as
well as a preliminary rating of" B3 "Upcoming Eurobond, indicated the
message by Moody's. Score rating scale losses under default (LGD) is
LGD4 (65%). The outlook on the ratings - "positive".
Analysts JSC "BCC Invest" also expect the following developments in
international markets:
- at the Russian market is expected to publish data on the monetary
base in rubles at the beginning of the week, which is unlikely to have a
significant impact on the market. As of important events among first-
tier companies are not expected, investors will be watching at
developments from abroad and to smaller corporate events. At the
opening of trading on Friday, analysts of JSC "BCC Invest" offer
neutral negative dynamics of the market, despite yesterday's small
increase in the U.S. market. Pressure on the Russian paper has a
negative external background from Asia and the current negative
dynamics of futures for U.S.A. indices. Nevertheless, does not
preclude the predominance of optimism on the background of technical
rebound after several days of decline.
- on the European markets of the major macroeconomic developments
worth noting output indexes of business sentiment, the current
economic situation and economic expectations in April in Germany. In
addition, in UK there will be data on GDP growth in the first quarter of
2010, which are expected the same growth as in the previous period
(0.4%).
- on the U.S. markets is expected to yield data on the volume of orders
for durable goods in March, and sales in the primary market for March.
In addition, continuing publication of financial statements of companies
of different capitalization.
Analysts of BCC Invest JSC are giving the following advice for
investors in securities of issuers in internal market:
----------------------------------------------------------------------
Issuer Last price Target Predicted price,
code price % Recom-
mendation
----------------- ------- ---------- ------ ---------------- ---------
Kazkommertsbank KKGB 621 695 +11.84 Hold
KKGBp 259.99 347 +33.58 Hold
Halyk Bank HSBK 355 330 -7.04 Sell
Bank CenterCredit CCBN 710 777 +9.44 Hold
Tsesnabank TSBN 940 737 -21.60 Cut
KazMunaiGaz RDGZ 22,100 20,300 -8.14 Sell
Kazakhmys PLC GB_KZMS 3,330 3,559 +6.88 Neutral
ENRC PLC GB_ENRC 2,750 2,642 -3.93 Hold
Kazakhtelekom KZTK 16,500 17,800 +7.88 Hold
KZTKp 7,710 10,300 +33.59 Buy
MREK MREK 910 800 -12.09 Cut
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The given material has exclusively information character and is not the offer
or recommendation to make any transactions with the stocks. Agency Irbis doesn't
take responsibility for the opinions which are in given material.
[2010-04-23]