Review of key events from analysts of ASYL INVEST (Kazakhstan) on March 3, 2010
03.03.10 18:12
/IRBIS, March 3, 2010/ - ASYL INVEST JSC (Almaty) provided IRBIS overview
of major events and their investment ideas and projections on March 3, 2010.
Analysts of ASYL INVEST distinguish the following important events in the
markets:
- National Bank of Kazakhstan for four months, bought at the market of
foreign exchange at $ 7.5 billion According to Interfax-Kazakhstan,
National Bank of Kazakhstan for the past four months, spent more than $ 7.5
billion to buy foreign currency. "By the end of February the total international
reserves amounted to $ 52.7 billion, i.e. the National Fund and National Bank
reserves, including gold and foreign assets of the National Bank - $ 27.5
billion, up 44% more than in February 2009, -- the report indicates. Currently
tenge has a tendency to strengthen, and analysts of ASYL INVEST does not
preclude the building of the national currency to KZT145 per U.S. dollar in
the short term and believe that fundamentally must tenge worth even more.
- The APC government funding provides an additional KZT30 billion. This
news analysts of ASYL INVEST perceive positively. As is known in
Kazakhstan scheduled for long-term program of forced industrial-innovative
development, a priority is the development of agribusiness, in whose
development is planned significant investments. Earlier in support of APC
was planned allocation of KZT80 billion, holding "KazAgro" planned to
introduce 27 projects totaling KZT40 billion. In the past year from the
National Fund has been allocated $ 1 billion on the development of animal
husbandry, crop production. To support agricultural producers of products
have developed mechanisms for subsidies, including to develop the
technology. In 2009, according to official figures, the gross output of
agriculture increased by 13.8% compared with 2008, which became the
biggest growth over the past 8 years. It was promoted and a rich harvest of
grain. Against this background, analysts ASYL INVEST see a high potential
for agricultural development and believe that the long-term portfolio
investors, it would be profitable to invest in this sector. On the domestic
stock exchange has listed only 5 of issuers of financial instruments which are
essentially bonds. This is LLP Corporation AIC-Invest, JSC Holding
KAZEXPORTASTYK", JSC "Atameken-Agro LLP, Concern Tsesna-Astyk"
and JSC "National company" Food contract corporation ". Good credit
qualities according to the AO ASYL INVEST have JSC National Company
"Food Contract Corporation", JSC "Holding KAZEXPORTASTYK LLP and
Corporation AIC-Invest.
- Iron ore and ferroalloys: for ENRC positive background. Yesterday there
was information that the import of iron ore by China may increase in March
and reach a record 60 million tons. This assumption is based on the fact that
up to 01 апреля current contracts expire, and the next will be at a higher
price. In January, China imported 46.6 million tons of ore. The market rumors
that the current negotiations on the supply of ore to China on 70-80% more
expensive. The biggest producers of iron ore in the world previously
announced a price increase of 40%. Along with this, Merafe Resources
expects production growth of steel production by 18% in 2010, and therefore
the expected growth in prices for ferrochrome. Previously, analysts ASYL
INVEST wrote that also is expected to rise in prices for the supply of
ferrochrome from Africa, due to increased costs for African producers.
Current trends in the steel industry to create a positive market conditions for
producers of iron ore and ferroalloys. Analysts of ASYL INVEST believe that
the general background for the stock price ENRC develops positive.
The given material has exclusively information character and is not the offer or
the recommendation to make any transactions with the stocks. Agency "Irbis"
doesn't take responsibility for the opinions which are in given material.
[2010-03-03]