Investment ideas by ASYL INVEST JSC (Kazakhstan) analysts' on December 11, 2009
11.12.09 20:37
/IRBIS, December 11, 09/ - ASYL INVEST JSC (Almaty) provided an overview
of major events and their investment ideas and forecast to IRBIS on December
11, 2009.
According to the massage the analysts of ASYL INVEST expected at
international stock markets:
- the overall sentiment in the markets before today's trading develops
moderately positive. Investors are beginning to build positions in equity
instruments, realizing favorable price levels.
- today, the leading Asian indices show growth, helped by positive economic
data out of China: data on industrial production in China for the year and
beginning of the year surpassed expectations of analysts.
- futures on commodities markets show overall positive dynamics quotes,
futures for the American indexes show growth. Currency pair EUR / USD
today varies slightly.
- Today should pay close attention to the output data to change the volume of
retail sales in the U.S. in November, this figure shows the level of consumer
activity in the U.S.. Also, there are data on changes in inventories in Oct.
In Europe, the release of important macroeconomic data is not expected.
- Analysts of ASYL INVEST expect that at the opening of tenders in Europe
will have a slight positive trend. Positive for European equity markets will
have a positive economic data from China, but growth may be limited by the
lack of background in economic statistics in Europe, moreover, remains
negative on the part of the problems with financial systems of Greece and
Spain.
- Today, analysts of ASYL INVEST expect a slight increase in stock quotations
of KASE index under the influence of external positive background with the
world's stock markets. Also not ruled out price cuts Securities Halyk Bank as
a result of reducing the issuer of depositary receipts on the LSE.
- Today, analysts of ASYL INVEST expect lower prices US Treasuries under
the influence of the expected positive statistics on retail sales excluding
automobiles (Retail Sales Less Autos), as well as in the case of continued
positive momentum in stock markets of the United States. In European
trading is expected to continue to be held trend.
Analysts of ASYL INVEST give the following advice to investors. Quotations
of futures for petroleum of mark WTI during yesterday's trading session on
NYMEX demonstrated reduced to $ 70.54, but the pace of decline has slowed
since the fall of 10% during the last seven sessions. Analysts of ASYL INVEST
believe that quotes oil futures will receive strong support at $ 70 per barrel.
The result is that, to overcome this barrier, if it happens, may be a temporary
phenomenon. Against this background, stock quotes, Russian oil and gas
companies are demonstrating a significant reduction. Nevertheless, analysts of
ASYL INVEST expect that the decline in Russia's stock market will end anytime
soon, but a positive external background from China will only support quotes on
Russia's stock market. Currently, analysts of ASYL INVEST recommend open
positions in shares of the following Russian companies' oil and gas sector.
Gazprom JSC (LSE: OGZD): now analysts of ASYL INVEST slightly reduced
short-term trading recommendations on the securities of the company: the
company is recommended to buy ADRs at $ 21.55, sell it - at $ 25.
Lukoil JSC (LSE: LKOD): analysts of ASYL INVEST also lowered its short-term
trading recommendations on the Securities and Lukoil: buy ADRs of the
company at $ 52.50, sell - at $ 61.
Rosneft Oil Co (LSE: ROSN): analysts of ASYL INVEST slightly reduced short-
term trading recommendations on the securities of the company: buy GDRs of
the company at $ 7.80, to sell - at $ 8.80.
On the debt market analysts of ASYL INVEST recommend that investors
pay attention to the coupon indexed to the devaluation of the tenge
subordinated bonds KZ2CKY08A774 Nurbank JSC (NRBNb2, PEFC.
Profitability - 15% and after Net price - 91.6076% of face value, the current
coupon rate - 9.0% per annum, maturity date - 12.06.11). The level of bond
analysts believe an attractive level and expect the resumption of growth
of prices these securities.
The given material has exclusively information character and is not offer or
the recommendation to make any transactions with the stocks. Agency "Irbis"
doesn't take responsibility for the opinions which are in given material.
[2009-12-11]