Investment ideas by ASYL INVEST JSC (Kazakhstan) analysts' on December 3, 2009
03.12.09 20:28
/IRBIS, December 3, 09/ - ASYL INVEST JSC (Almaty) provided an overview of
major events and their investment ideas and forecast to IRBIS on December 3,
2009.
According to the massage the analysts of ASYL INVEST expected at
international stock markets:
- the overall sentiment in the markets before today's trading develops
moderately negative. Key Asian indices demonstrate the dynamics of
differently directed quotes, futures on the base and precious metals
demonstrate growth quotes, futures on U.S. indexes and futures on oil is also
rising. However, analysts ASYL INVEST inclined to believe that, in
anticipation of Friday's release of data on unemployment in the U.S.,
investors will cut positions in shares that would put pressure on world stock
markets;
- today, expected to more intense background in economic statistics: the U.S.
will come with revised data on productivity in the non-agricultural sector in
the third quarter of 2009, is expected to decline to 8,5% from an initial 9.5%
today, there are data on the composite index for the ISM non-productive
sphere , is expected to increase to a value of 51.5 points, recall that the
index value above 50 points indicates expansion of non-industrial sector of
the economy, and come out weekly data on the number of initial applications
for unemployment benefits, expected value of 480 thousand new
applications, slightly higher than the previous values. In Europe, decision
will be made public the ECB (European Central Bank) on becoming the main
interest, expected that it will remain unchanged, respectively, influence
the course of trading in Europe, this should not have. Today, there are data
on retail sales in the euro area in October, is expected to increase sales by
0.2% after falling the previous month. Also in Europe will come the revised
GDP data for the euro area, changes in rate is not expected;
- Today, we should pay attention to reports Siemens AG, Toll Brothers Inc,
Marvell Technology Group;
- In general, at the opening of trading in Europe today, analysts of ASYL
INVEST expect the dynamics of mixed quotation, European equity markets
will show the lateral dynamics of quotations until the head of the ECB's
performance in terms of the main euro zone interest rates, further movement
of quotations would depend on the tone of this speech.
- Today, analysts of ASYL INVEST expect the total lateral movement of stock
prices KASE index under the influence of moderately negative external
background.
Analysts of ASYL INVEST give the following advice for investors in the
GDR Gazprom (LSE: OGZD): Yesterday it was announced that the Norwegian
oil giant Statoil and a subsidiary of Gazprom, Gazprom Marketing and Trading
USA, signed a preliminary agreement on the annual supply 2 billion cubic meters
of gas, according to which, Statoil will buy in 20 years to 2 bn. cubic meters
of liquefied natural gas(LNG)from Gazprom to further its regasification terminal
at Cove Point (Maryland, USA) and sales in the U.S. market. The agreement is
designed for a period of 18 to 20 years. In turn, Gazprom Marketing and Trading
USA receives a long-term access to regasification capacity of the terminal to
process LNG Cove Point in the amount of 2 billion cubic meters. meters of gas
annually. In addition, Statoil agrees to sell Gazprom Marketing and Trading USA
and 1 billion cubic meters. meters of gas per year in the United States for more
than 5 years. It is expected that final agreement will be signed after approval
of all the details in the first quarter of 2010. Despite the fact that this
agreement will allow Gazprom to enter the American market, ASYL INVEST
believe that the impact of this news on trading course securities will be
neutral. This is due to fact that the natural gas market is still pretty shaky
ground, and the expansion of markets is difficult due to decreased demand for
natural gas in the world. Reducing the demand for natural gas in Europe has
already led to the introduction of Gazprom's policy of pre-defined volumes of
natural gas prepayment, regardless of the actual required amount of gas. During
the auctions on Wednesday quotes oil futures lost nearly 2.3%, having fallen to
$76,60 per barrel mark WTI, which has lowered the prices of shares and
depository receipts of oil and gas companies. In particular ADR Gazprom, posted
on the London Stock Exchange, have fallen in price by 1,55% to $ 22.81 per
ADR. Current quotes Gazprom's securities are below the recommended ASYL
INVEST-level purchases, set at $ 22.85 per ADR. In general, analysts ASYL
INVEST recommend buying the paper company in the short-term speculative
purposes, the resistance level of securities of the company is seen at $ 27 per
ADR.
The given material has exclusively information character and is not the offer or
the recommendation to make any transactions with the stocks. Agency "Irbis"
doesn't take responsibility for the opinions which are in given material.
[2009-12-03]