Investment ideas by ASYL INVEST JSC (Kazakhstan) analysts' on November 3, 2009
03.11.09 19:50
/IRBIS, November 3, 09/ - ASYL INVEST JSC (Almaty) provided an overview
of major events and their investment ideas and forecast to IRBIS on November
3, 2009.
According to the massage the analysts of ASYL INVEST expected at
international stock markets:
- sentiment on the markets before today's trading develops moderately
positive. Asian indices show differently directed dynamic futures for U.S.
indices show weak growth in response to good economic data;
- futures on oil, industrial and precious metals show positive dynamics,
continuing to rise, given yesterday's auction on world stock markets;
- now expected to be published financial statements of companies UBS,
MasterCard, Sun Microsystems, BMW;
- In addition to corporate reporting, the impact on the course of trading today
may have some macroeconomic data. In the U.S. there are data on industrial
orders for September, in the UK there are data index of business activity in
the construction sector PMI in October, the projected growth of both indices;
- also has become known today that the National Bank of Australia to raise
rates on loans by a quarter per cent to 3,5% per annum, which is designed to
slow inflation, and also spoke of a gradual economic recovery;
- the opening of trading in Europe today, analysts ASYL INVEST expect
moderate growth in equity markets, supported by higher quotations on
commodity markets and positive expectations for economic statistics.
- In anticipation of the Fed meeting, U.S. analysts ASYL INVEST do not
expect strong changes in the value of the shares. To date, the stock market
develops uncertain situation because of the content and tone of the report,
the U.S. Federal Reserve will substantially depend on further progress in
global stock markets. Information on the nearest possible tightening of
monetary policy could exert pressure on risky assets, leading to a reduction
in equity markets. In turn, the preservation of monetary policy at current
levels could mean for the markets that the real improvement in the U.S.
economy does not occur, and the recession is far from complete, which
again weaken the position of riskier assets and pull down markets.
- Against this background, analysts ASYL INVEST recommend investors
maintain current positions and not take any hasty action.
On the debt market analysts of ASYL INVEST recommend that investors pay
attention to the coupon bonds of Mangistau Electricity Distribution Company:
KZPC4Y05B661 (MREKb5, yield - 16% (last), coupon rate - 16%, the repayment
period: 12.02.2013 -- 25.02.2013, Fitch Ratings: BB + (05.06.09)) and
KZP05Y05B662 (MREKb6, yield - 16% (last), coupon rate - 16%, repayment
period: 30.03.2014 - 11.04.2014, Fitch Ratings: BB + ( 05.06.09)). Analysts
estimate the parameters of a positive bond. In particular, analysts of ASYL
INVEST considered sufficiently attractive levels of coupon rates and bond yields,
given the low risk of insolvency and a good financial condition of the issuer.
Company is financially independent from the loan funds, as the bulk of assets
of the company is financed by own funds, the rate Debt / Assets is 0.47. Level
profitability of the company are also sufficiently high level of profitability
sales demonstrates the dynamics of growth, having increased from 7% to 11%. Net
income for the first half of this year increased by 86%, it's compared with the
same period last year and amounted to KTZ 230 million. As a result of
yesterday's trading day of the levels of bond yields MREKb5 and MREKb6
increased by 4.5% and 6% respectively.
The given material has exclusively information character and is not the offer or
the recommendation to make any transactions with the stocks. Agency Irbis
doesn't take responsibility for the opinions which are in given material.
[2009-11-03]