Commodity Economy of Central Asia and Eastern Europe will grow more slowly than the "limited resources" of the regional economy - EBRD
02.11.09 22:37
/IRBIS, November 2, 09/ - Economy of commodity-rich countries with economies
in transition (Eastern Europe and Central Asia) will grow more slowly than the
limited resources of the region's economy, reflected in the report of European
Bank for Reconstruction and Development on the impact of the crisis and
transition countries in the region Central Europe to Central Asia.
"In the long run, rich in raw materials countries with economies in transition -
such as Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Russia and Turkmenistan, as a rule, grow more
slowly than resource-constrained countries in the region because they have a
higher macroeconomic instability and, therefore, that commodity" rent "undermine
incentives to improve economic institutions", - stated in the report.
To avoid this trap of resources, resource-rich countries could make efforts: the
diversification of (mainly by improving the business environment); construction
buffers stabilization and deepening the financial sector to reduce the impact of
fluctuations in the prices of goods and reduce inequalities in the distribution as
a way to benefit from sale of raw materials.
Resource-rich countries with economies in transition embraced these strategies
to varying degrees. In some respects - particularly in the financial development
and the creation and management of stabilization funds - they were quite
successful. Partly for this reason, the impact of the crisis on these countries
was not worse than in other places.
However, increasing the proportion of non-oil tradable sectors in GDP and exports
has not been realized yet, perhaps because the success of diversification, as
shown by empirical analysis itself depends on institutional quality. One approach
to address is to deepen reforms in areas such as macroeconomics, financial
sector and promoting competition.
[2009-11-02]