Investment ideas by ASYL INVEST JSC (Kazakhstan) analysts' on October 13, 2009
13.10.09 22:12
/IRBIS, October 13, 09/ - ASYL INVEST JSC (Almaty) provided an overview
of major events and their investment ideas and forecast to IRBIS on October
13, 2009.
According to the massage the analysts of ASYL INVEST expected at
international stock markets:
- sentiment on the markets before today's trading develops is positive;
- Asian indices show growth within 0.5-1.5%, it is in response to a positive
closure of European and American stock exchanges;
- futures on U.S. indexes vary different direction and insignificant, indicating
that investors' indecision on the eve of the publication of new quarterly
reports;
- now expected to be published financial statements of companies Johnson &
Johnson, CSX Corporation and Intel Corporation;
- In addition to corporate reporting, the impact on the course of trading today
may have some macroeconomic data. In the UK will existed data on
consumer price index for September. Expected growth rate. In the U.S. figures
come out of the federal budget for September. Expected deficit of $ 77.3
billion;
- in the course of trading today, analysts of ASYL INVEST does not exclude the
probability of profit-taking in the event of disappointing corporate data. In
the opposite case, the sentiment will remain positive.
Analyst ASYL INVEST giving the following advice for investors:
- on shares of Bank Center Credit (KASE: CCBN): the bank's shares during
yesterday's trades increased in price by 0.56% to KTZ 542 per share.
According to calculations of ASYL INVEST, the bank's shares are
undervalued in relation to shares of Halyk Bank and Kazkommertsbank.
Analysts of ASYL INVEST believe that the securities of Center Credit still
traded below account value, while competitors' shares are traded a much
higher. According to the latest news of FSA, as of September 1, 2009 the
share of non-performing loans of the bank is 11.27% of loan portfolio (Kazka
- 19.36%, Halyk - 14.76%). Analysts of ASYL INVEST now give the
following advice on trading securities of companies with their trend: it is
recommended to buy about at KTZ 500 per share and to sell it KTZ 600 per
share. Analysts of ASYL INVEST also commended the bank's equity capital
structure, 30.5% of which accounted for Korean Kookmin Bank and 10%
from the IFC.
- the GDR of NovaTek JSC (LSE: NVTK): during yesterday's trading the oil
quotes have demonstrated growth around 2% against a background of
optimism on stock markets in anticipation of a positive 'reporting season.
Growth of petroleum quotations was the main idea of the growth of Russia's
stock market and thus significantly increased quotes of Russian oil and gas
companies, but after the close of trading depositary receipts of companies in
London, oil quotes slightly adjusted to lower level. Taking into account this
information, analysts of ASYL INVEST also expect a correction in the course
of trading and depositary receipts on Russian oil and gas companies,
moreover, a negative background for the entire oil and gas sector created
expectations of growth of commercial oil reserves in the United States.
Depositary receipts NovaTek during trading on Monday showed growth of
more than 5%, against the backdrop of weakening U.S. dollar and the growth
of quotations of oil above $ 73 a barrel. Closing price fixed at $ 58,60.
Currently, analysts ASYL INVEST changed their trade recommendations for
securities of companies with their trend: it is recommended to buy at $ 50,
sell - at $ 60. In the near future, analysts of ASYL INVEST do not
recommend purchase the securities of the company. After significant growth
it is recommended to wait for consolidation at current levels and further
confirm the movement, or correction.
Analysts of ASYL INVEST for more conservative investors recommend fixed-
income instruments in the bond market. Analysts of ASYL INVEST, look at the
bonds KZ2CKY08A774 Nurbank (NRBNb2, indexed coupon subordinated bonds
to the devaluation of the tenge, yield - 17% (last), coupon rate - 9%, maturity
date - 12/06/2011) basis of an attractive level of profitability and good
financial condition of the issuer.
The given material has exclusively information character and is not the offer or
the recommendation to make any transactions with the stocks. Agency "Irbis"
doesn't take responsibility for the opinions which are in given material.
[2009-10-13]