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18.09.2009 18:44 #Issuer news

REVIEW: KASE share market in August 2009

/IRBIS, Dinara Mukasheva, September 18, 09/ - In August 2009 Kazakhstan Stock Exchange (KASE) registered 1,127 deals for the total of KZT26.8 bn. or USD177.5 m. according to the current rate as on the date of conclusion of deals in shares in all market sectors including deals concluded on the special trading floor of the regional financial center of Almaty (STF RFCA). The indicated sum totals to 66.0 % of monthly turnover of KASE corporate securities market (in July 2009 - 12.0 %) and 1.2 % of the total exchange monthly turnover (0.2 %).

The trading volumes increased significantly through one major "internal" transactions on the secondary market of KASE with common shares KZ1C51440010 (LNPT) Lancaster Petroleum JSC (92,3% of the total deals concluded in the sector).

By results of August 2009 weighted average day prices of 41 % shares denominations increased (in July 2009 - 41 %), 28 % denominations (36 %) - decreased, prices of 28 % of shares didn't change (23 %), traded by first time 3 %. Maximum trend showed the following instruments: aHSBK increased by 56,3 %, ASBN fell by 33,3 %. In previous month ASBN increased by 112.8 %, KMSO fell by 50.0 %.

In London Stock Exchange (LSE) quotes of Kazakh issuers' equity securities increased by a total growth of investment optimism about the speedy recovery of world economy.: global receipts of Kazkommertsbank JSC grew by 22,0 % (in July it rose by 2.5 %), Halyk Savings Bank of Kazakhstan JSC - by 15.4 % (+25.3 %), GDR of Exploration Production KazMunaiGaz JSC - by 2.1 % (+13.4 %), KAZAKHMYS PLC - by 15.4 % (+36.0 %), EURASIAN NATURAL RESOURCES CORPORATION PLC - by 0.2 % (+27.6 %).

Below are the tables providing details on KASE share market in August 2009.

Tab. 1. Statistical characteristics of KASE share market in August 2009

----------------------------------------------------------------------
                                                              Trend to
                                                 ---------------------
Indicator                              Aug. 2009 Jul. 2009   Aug. 2008
-------------------------------------- --------- --------- -----------
Trade volume, th. USD                  177,516.1 4.4 times     -71.9 %
Trade volume, m. KZT                    26,764.3 4.4 times     -64.7 %
  including, on offerings, th. USD             -         -           -
  including, on offerings, m. KZT              -         -           -
  including on STF RFCA, th. USD            77.4 2.2 times 0.001 times
  including on STF RFCA, m. KZT             11.7 2.2 times  0.01 times
Deals                                      1,127   +20.5 %     +22.9 %
Instruments in deals                          32   -17.9 %     -20.0 %
Daily average of deals                        56   +32.6 %     +29.0 %
Daily average volume of deals, th. USD   8,875.8 4.8 times     -70.5 %
Daily average volume of deals, m. KZT    1,338.2 4.8 times     -62.9 %
Stake of nego deals (number), %              0.2   -1.1 pp     -1.8 pp
Stake of nego deals (volume), %             0.03   -4.0 pp     -0.4 pp
Pension assets, % gross                        -         -           -
Individuals, % gross                         3.9  -24.0 pp    -11.2 pp
Non-residents, % gross                      93.9  +85.5 pp    +90.5 pp
KASE members, concluded deals                 38    -5.0 %     -20.8 %
Market concentration, %                     94.1  +34.3 pp     +7.9 pp
----------------------------------------------------------------------
* percent of total share turnover, which falls on most tradable
  securities (their number makes  5 % of the total of stocks, involved
  in deals).

Tab. 2. Industrial characteristics of KASE share market*

-----------------------------------------------------------
                                                      Stake
                             of total volume of market (%):
                             ---------- --------- ---------
Industry                      Aug. 2009 Jul. 2009 Aug. 2008
---------------------------- ---------- --------- ---------
Power engineering                  94.5      18.7       1.2
Finance                             3.9      55.6      96.4
Raw material sector                 0.8      15.8       0.4
Telecommunications services         0.5       1.2       1.1
Discretional consumer sector        0.3       1.1    0.0003
Main consumer sector               0.01       7.5      0.01
Public services                   0.004       0.0       0.9
Industry                              -      0.01         -
Public health                         -         -         -
Information technologies              -         -         -
-----------------------------------------------------------
* Industrial classification of turnover structure has been
  compiled in accordance with industry Classification
  Standard (GICS) Standard and Poor's

Tab. 3. KASE index dynamics in various periods at the moment of trade close as on August 28, 2009 (basis actual/365)

------------------------------------------
                                 Trend in:
                            --------------
Period                           %   % APR
--------------------------- ------ -------
For preceding 30 days       + 24.1 + 293.5
Since the beginning of 2008 - 47.1  - 28.3
For last 365 days (year)    - 29.5  - 29.5
In 2007                     + 12.2  + 12.2
Form the beginning of 2007  - 40.7  - 15.3
------------------------------------------

Tab. 4. Main indicators of exchange purchase and sale share market in August 2009

----------------------------------------------------------------
                  Market            Volume of Volume of
         capitalization,               deals,    deals,   Number
Date              m. USD KASE index   th. USD    m. KZT of deals
-------- --------------- ---------- --------- --------- --------
31.07.09        45,619.4   1,191.74     665.3     100.3       60
03.08.09        46,738.8   1,266.75     854.2     128.8      104
04.08.09        47,785.0   1,280.55   1,870.9     282.1      130
05.08.09        48,466.3   1,296.83     502.4      75.8       41
06.08.09        49,479.9   1,296.99     811.6     122.4       67
07.08.09        47,781.4   1,288.27   1,634.3     246.3      105
10.08.09        48,797.8   1,320.87     459.7      69.3       47
11.08.09        48,374.6   1,315.99     518.6      78.2       39
12.08.09        46,009.2   1,269.23     271.2      40.9       44
13.08.09        47,153.8   1,294.94     584.9      88.2       67
14.08.09        47,258.4   1,303.89     202.6      30.6       28
17.08.09        45,148.3   1,237.98     263.2      39.7       46
18.08.09        45,654.2   1,265.80     890.8     134.4       60
19.08.09        46,257.9   1,281.65     362.8      54.7       38
20.08.09        46,908.3   1,315.65     456.6      68.9       25
21.08.09        47,053.5   1,337.09     926.2     139.7       47
24.08.09        49,426.4   1,381.59   1,116.2     168.3       61
25.08.09        49,170.3   1,381.68     601.1      90.6       27
26.08.09        49,902.6   1,383.37     589.0      88.8       58
27.08.09        48,408.4   1,360.10 164,114.9  24,743.6       43
28.08.09        49,510.6   1,394.47     484.9      73.1       50
-------- --------------- ---------- --------- --------- --------
Trend            5,732.7      122.0         .         .        .
%                  +14.4      +11.4         .         .        .
----------------------------------------------------------------

Tab. 5. Changes in shares tradable on KASE in August 2009

--------------------------------------------------------
                        Shares: Instruments:    Issuers:
Admission           ----------- ------------ -----------
category            Numb. trend  Numb. trend Numb. trend
------------------- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- -----
First                  22    -6     30    -7    16    -4
  Incl. MTF KASE       22    -5     22    -5    16    -3
  Incl. STF RFCA        8    -2      8    -2     4    -2
------------------- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- -----
Second                 41    +1     47    +1    28     0
  Incl. MTF KASE       34    +1     34    +1    24     0
  Incl. STF RFCA       13     0     13     0     8     0
------------------- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- -----
Third                  50    +1     56    +5    43    -1
  Incl. MTF KASE       43    +3     43    +3    37     0
  Incl. STF RFCA       13    +2     13    +2    11    +2
------------------- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- -----
Investment funds`
securities              2     0      2     0     2     0
  Incl. MTF KASE        1     0      1     0     1     0
  Incl. STF RFCA        1     0      1     0     1     0
------------------- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- -----
Unlisted securities     5    -2      5    -2     5    -1
------------------- ----- ----- ------ ----- ----- -----
Total                 117    -3    140    -3    88    -3
--------------------------------------------------------
Notes: MTF KASE - main trade floor of KASE; STF RFCA -
Special Trade Floor of Regional Financial Centre of
Almaty; due to STF RFCA launching securities (bonds) of
one denomination the re could be two exchange
instruments, different in trading code, and trading and
settlements terms.

Tab. 6. Results of trades in shares on KASE in August 2009 (according to data on deals, concluded on the secondary market by open trade method)

----------------------------------------------------------------------------
                                    Price, tenge per share:
        ---------------------------------------------------
                             by last deal for last 365 days    Volume Number
Share                     --------------- ----------------- of deals,     of
symbol      min.     max.    price trend%      min      max   th. USD  deals
------- -------- -------- -------- ------ -------- -------- --------- ------
AZNO      1089.0   1089.0   1089.0      0   1089.0  10000.0     257.9     10
BTAS      2390.0   2805.0   2805.0  +18.6   1202.0  55000.0     308.0     63
CCBN       365.0    495.0    495.0  +37.5    200.0   1410.0   2,258.9    220
CSBN      4283.8   4283.8   4283.8          4283.8   4746.6      29.5      2
CSBNp     1676.0   1676.0   1676.0      0   1676.0   1954.8       0.6      1
EXBN       550.0    551.0    551.0      0    499.0   2270.6      86.3      4
EXBNp     1140.0   1140.0   1140.0 -0.001   1045.5   1387.7      25.8      1
GB_ENRC   1950.0   2350.0   2200.0   +4.3    395.0   2350.0     387.1     63
GB_KZMS   2100.0   2500.0   2400.0  +12.7    370.0   2850.0     908.4     89
HSBK       181.0    255.0    231.0  +34.3     61.5    330.0   3,228.1    313
HSBKp      123.2    123.2    123.2  +11.1     88.8    215.0       1.4      1
KIBN       190.0    190.0    190.0  -0.01    190.0    280.0      20.1      2
KKGB       325.0    380.0    378.0  +20.0    190.0   1100.0     656.9    133
KZTK     13300.0  15950.0  15700.0  +18.9   5000.0  32000.0     559.6     60
KZTKp     6200.0   7315.0   7315.0  +18.0   1880.5  13900.0     290.3     25
LNPT     18928.1  18928.1  18928.1         18928.1  18928.1 163,778.2      1
MMGZp     5000.0   5010.0   5000.0      0   2000.0  12000.0       3.8      4
MREK      2100.0   2100.0   2100.0          2100.0   2800.0       7.1      2
NRBN     18000.0  18000.0  18000.0         18000.0  21900.0      25.8      1
ORDB       550.0    550.0    550.0      0    250.0   2700.0     257.9     10
ORDBp      550.0    550.0    550.0      0    510.0   2100.0     257.9     10
RAHT      1200.0   1200.0   1200.0          1000.0   2300.0       9.5      1
RDGZ     18200.0  20000.0  19700.0   +3.1   6201.0  20000.0   3,120.2     86
TSBN      1000.0   1000.0   1000.0      0    600.0   1670.0       4.2      1
UTMKp     4500.0   4500.0   4500.0          3000.0   4998.0     168.8      2
VSTN    243000.0 267300.0 243000.0      0 243000.0 360310.8      66.9      4
ZERD         6.1      6.7      6.5      0      3.9      6.7     593.5      6
ZERDp        4.0      4.0      4.0      0      4.0      4.3      21.9      1
------- -------- -------- -------- ------ -------- -------- --------- ------
32                                                          177,465.0  1,125
----------------------------------------------------------------------------
Notes: The table provides data on the shares, in which the deals were
concluded by one of the open trade methods.  Trends (change in %) are
provided in relation to the last deal of the preceding month
(July 1 - 31, 2009). Trend  is not computed, if there were no deals in the
preceding month.

Tab. 7. Top 10 most liquid shares of KASE in August 2009, including STF RFCA

-------------------------------------------------------------------------
                               Liquidity indicator calculation base (Kl):
     Rank                      ------------------------------------------
---------                           volume              number     number
Aug. July Share      Liquidity   of deals,     number  of KASE  resultant
2009 2009 symbol  indicator Kl      m. KZT   of deals  members       days
---- ---- ------- ------------ ----------- ---------- -------- ----------
   1    2 HSBK            2.51       486.7        313       27         20
   2    5 CCBN            2.11       340.6        220       25         19
   3    4 RDGZ            1.66       470.5         86       25         18
   4    8 KKGB            1.61        99.1        133       19         19
   5    1 GB_KZMS         1.59       137.0         89       23         18
   6    7 KZTK            1.41        84.4         60       22         16
   7    6 GB_ENRC         1.29        58.4         63       18         17
   8    3 BTAS            1.27        46.4         63       20         13
   9   12 KZTKp           0.70        43.8         25       12          7
  10    - LNPT            0.57    24,692.8          1        1          1
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
Notes: For calculation of Kl only data on deals concluded in KASE secondary
market sector by one of the open trade  methods are accounted. The
methodology of calculation of this indicator is available in the
corresponding section of the document, released at
 see more in Russian and at
 see more in English.

Tab. 8. Top 10 most capitalized listing companies of KASE, shares of which were listed on the official list of securities of the Exchange (as on the moment of trades close on the indicated dates)

------------------------------------------------------------------------------
                        As on 28.08.09:        As on 31.06.09:          Trend:
                 ---------------------- ---------------------- ---------------
Short or              capitali- company      capitali- company capitali-
contraction name         zation   stake         zation   stake    zation stake
of company       rank    m. USD       % rank    m. USD       %    m. USD    pp
---------------- ---- --------- ------- ---- --------- ------- --------- -----
ENRC PLC            1  18,786.8   37.93    1  18,029.0   39.50    +757.8 -1.57
KazMunaiGaz EP      2   9,159.2   18.49    2   8,834.6   19.36    +324.6 -0.87
KAZAKHMYS PLС       3   8,518.4   17.20    3   7,495.4   16.42  +1,023.0 +0.78
Kazkommercebank     4   2,024.7    4.09    6   1,282.7    2.81    +742.0 +1.28
Halyk Bank          5   2,002.3    4.04    4   1,463.7    3.21    +538.5 +0.84
ATFBank             6   1,322.9    2.67    5   1,323.7    2.90      -0.8 -0.23
Kazakhtelecom       7   1,195.8    2.41    7   1,013.0    2.22    +182.8 +0.19
Astana-Finance      8     780.2    1.58    8     784.4    1.72      -4.2 -0.14
BTA Bank            9     610.2    1.23   10     520.4    1.14     +89.8 +0.09
Kaspi Bank         10     558.8    1.13    9     559.2    1.23      -0.3 -0.10
------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Notes: The company stake, % - an indicator, received by cutting off market
capitalization   of the company to total capitalization of exchange market
share of official list of securities of KASE and expressed in  percent. As on
the market close August 28, 2009 this indicator made USD49,510.6 m. 99 shares
of 71 issuers were listed on the official list of KASE.

[2009-09-18]