Stock exchange book of FRS: Recession weakling in the USA
30.07.09 18:17
/IRBIS, 30.07.09/ - the Federal Reserve System published, so-called " Stock
Exchange Market Book" - the digest of 12 Federal reserve banks' reports. The
review which is publishing 8 times a year, characterizes sectors of industrial
production, services, agriculture, financial institutions, a labor market, the
real estate market, from July 29, 2009.
According to the current report:
- in the majority of districts, a level of consumer expenses in the
beginning of summer was less than previous year. Sales for the
accounting period in Boston, Kansas City, San Francisco is increased. Small
growth of car sales were fixed in Chicago, Minneapolis and Kansas City
while in New York, Philadelphia, Clevelend, Atlanta sales have decreased.
An exception demand in sale is for second-hand cars. Tourism decreased in
the majority of districts.
- in sector of nonfinancial services there were basically negative
tendencies: demand for professional services, such as business support,
architecture and legal services are continuing reduces. However, demand for
medical services increased. IT the companies also were characterized by
hyperactivity.
- the data characterizing industrial sector, remain low, but a bit more
positive than in the previous reports. Many districts are characterized
from low industrial activity, but with separate signs of minor improvement.
The situation with Chrysler and GM has strengthened trust of investors and
hope that motor-car manufacturers will increase a level of production in July.
Steel manufacture remains low, but the situation is stabilized. Oil refining
factories have increased use of capacities for last six weeks; however as a
whole the sectors remain weaknesses because of low demand for fuel.
Various districts have noted cancellations of orders for commercial planes
and weak demand for the majority of car kinds and the equipment. Among
positive events growth of sales of military production and medical products is
marked.
- in agricultural sector in the USA the prices have fallen, in view of
favorable weather in June and the beginning of July and improvement of a
condition of a crop. The prices and incomes and in short-term prospect,
predictably, will go downwards. Wheat and barley manufacture, predictably,
will fall below level of 2008 in Saint Louis and Minneapolis. In district
Dallas where the drought precedes, the most part of corn, a clap has been
characterized as "not to collect".
- the oil recovery fluctuated in June and the beginning of July. Quantity
of chisel installations in Gulf of Mexico has decreased twice within a year in
Dallas, and quantity of working installations has increased slightly. The
prices for natural gas continue to fall, that interferes with new workings out
in areas Kansas City's, Dallas and San Francisco. As a reply to weak demand
from utilities of the price for coal in Cleveland have fallen to 50 % from the
beginning of 2009.
- in sphere of bank and financial services the general level of crediting
was stable. In Philadelphia the insignificant increase in crediting of
business, consumers, and also real estate is fixed. Demand for commercial
and industrial credits Kansas City's, Dallas and San Francisco continue to
decrease or remain weak in New York, Richmond, Saint Louis. Demand for
consumer credits has decreased in New York, Saint Louis, Kansas City and
San Francisco, was stabilized on a low level in Chicago, Dallas. The real
estate of crediting have decreased in New York, Richmond, and Saint Louis.
In Dallas it is observed steady, but the low volume of mortgage crediting, in
Kansas City growth of mortgage crediting was slowed down. Refinancing
has sharply fallen in Richmond, decrease also has occurred in New York and
Cleveland. Banks continue toughening of credit rules in New York,
Philadelphia, Richmond, Chicago, Kansas City, and Dallas.
- the labour market remains languid, the majority of sectors is reduced
by workplaces. In New York some signs of stabilization on a labour market
were noted. In Atlanta inform about further deterioration of conditions and
additional reductions of workplaces which are planned the next months.
Weakness of a labour market practically liquidated possibility of increase of
wages. The majority of districts have informed that pressure towards
increase of the prices was minimum.
[2009-07-30]