INTERVIEW - Kazakhstan to direct $1 bn. to redemption of problem loans
12.09.08 19:10
/REUTERS, Almaty, Maria Gordeeva, September 12, 08/ - Kazakhstan
government, which examining the opportunity to create stress assets fund, is
ready to invest about $1 bn. in it, which plans to direct on redemption of
problem loans, Elena Bahmutova, the head of AFS told in interview to
Reuters.
Global liquidity crisis, which began in 2007, badly affected Kazakhstan
banks, which were actively borrowing abroad. By results of first half year of
2008, banks decreased income and assets.
According to Bahmutova, the idea of stress fund is examining in Kazakhstan
since 2007:
"Government's possible investment is - $1 bn.".
"It is about assets` quality, which is under stress of macroeconomic market
conditions changing. The government shouldn't take full responsibility for
these risks. It is rational to share them with banks and foreign participation
is desirable both in the form of money and experience with the purpose activity
is rightly taken by foreign investors and rating agencies" - the head of
Financial Supervision said.
Telling about conditions of redemption of problem loans, Bahmutova
explained that assets will be purchased "with discount": "while purchasing
assets under stress, banks should admit the part of their losses".
"But instead, banks will get money, which they may place in the form of
credits, securities, deposits and e. t. c. But it will be net assets, for which
they may get good yield. In mid-term prospect such mechanism will favorably
influence assets` quality (of the banking sector)".
CORRECTION
According to Bahmutova, assets` quality deterioration of banking sector will
continue till the end of the year: "As of August 1, the stake of nonworking
credits made 5.6 %(as of year beginning - 2.7 %), the stake of credits, on
which delay made more than 90 days, made 4.31 %".
"It is naturally, that till the end of the year we expect further credit
portfolio` quality deteriorationŠ But I'd rather say that reserve that banks
have, even in amount of the current earnings, allow to increase provision's
amount", - she added.
According to the head of Financial Supervision, today the volume of reserves
on incorrect credits makes 8 % of total credit portfolio.
"In case of problem credits writing-off, bank will compensate its losses at the
expense of created provisions. it is clear, that with such amount of provisions
in 8 %, indicators of capital's adequacy are on rather reasonable level,
notwithstanding falling indicators of the earning".
Financial Supervision plans to aggravate demands to banks` capital for the
purpose to increase sector's reliability.
"In future we...plan to increase significantly normative requirements to the
amount of shareholders equity (from KZT1 bn. to KZT5 bn.) since July 1,
2009".
"Till that time, shareholders should decide - either to increase capital,
if they have such resources, or find investors and join. They also have another
option - they may wind up" - she added, explaining that it is about "last ten"
form 35 operating in the country.
According to the head of AFS, ample quantity of banks in the country badly
affects "health of the system".
CONSTRUCTION SECTOR
Deficit of funding, liquidity problems and growing credit rates also puzzled
activity of construction sector, which mostly counted on loan assets. In
particular, businesses centre Almaty after crisis stopped activity of major
objects.
At the end of 2007 the president Nursultan Nazarbaev instructed to allocate
$4 bn. of budget assets for support of banking and construction sectors.
The part of this sum was allocated by the State fund of sustainable
development Kazyna and directed to the banks, including BTA, which in their
turn, direct money to constructors.
But earlier this week BTA announced that one of major participants of
construction sector Kuat doesn't abide conditions of agreement and the bank
intends to be at law.
"I think it is a natural process of bank activity with its loaner, with problem
loaner, nobody suppresses it. Of course the bank tried to limit it risk and it
had the object in security, which has value, price and may be realized on the
market", - Bahmutova said.
According to her, Kuat was crediting by many banks, which also granted
loans to physical entities, which have demand to Kuat.
"Kuat - is the corporation, that's why it is possible that every legal entity
has rather comprehensible objects. Nobody announced on Kuat`s bankruptcy for
today and I hope that won't announce".
NEW PLAYERS
According to Bahmutova, notwithstanding continuing stresses, the market is
interesting for investors:
"Shinhan (Korean Bank) has already got permission for opening the bank
and should appeal for license. It hasn't entered the market yet. VTB has
already got the license for activity. Raiffeisen are discussing this question
and announced officially on their plans, but hasn't provided documents yet".
"Those investors, which know Kazakhstan not by hearsay, continue working
with banks" - she concluded.
[2008-09-12]