ANALYSIS: In April 2008 turnover of market of corporate bonds on KASE grew on the background of decreasing on share market

15.05.08 22:33
/IRBIS, Dinara Mukasheva, May 15, 08/ - In April 2008 on Kazakhstan Stock Exchange (KASE) 381 deals were made with corporate bonds in all sectors of the market, including deals, performed on the special trading floor of the Regional financial center of Almay (STF RFCA) for a total of KZT22.7 bn. or USD188.7 m. at the current rate effective on deals concluding dates. The stated amount is 61.5% of monthly turnover of corporate securities market (in March - 26.2%) and 0.8% of monthly exchange turnover (0.5%). Statistic characteristic of corporate bonds market on KASE in April of 2008 (indicators are given taking into account direct deals) -------------------------------------------------------------------------- Month: ------------------- Trend April To March To April Indicator 2008 2008 2008 ------------------------------------------- --------- -------- -------- Trades volume, th., USD 188,671.3 +98.2,% -23.9,% Trades volume, m., KZT 22,726.8 +98.0,% -24.7,% including, on offerings, th. USD 0 Х Х including, on offerings, m. KZT 0 Х Х including, on STF RFCA, th. USD 3,028.6 2.5,раз Х including, on STF RFCA, m. KZT 365.0 2.5,раз Х Number of deals 381 +21.7,% +22.1,% Number of instruments, 17 +5.1,% +16.6,% involved in deals Stake of nego deals (number), % 8,576.0 +71.2,% -27.3,% Stake of nego deals (volume), % 1,033.0 +71.0,% -28.1,% Participation of pension assets, % gross 82 -5.7,% -8.9,% Participation of physical entities, % gross 3.9 +3.0,pp -1.2,pp Number of exchange's members, 0.1 -6.6,pp -4.9,pp who made deals Market concentration, %* 10.2 -10.8,pp +2.7,pp -------------------------------------------------------------------------- *it is specified the percentage out of total turnover of corporate bonds, which are numbered by the most traded securities (their quantity is 5% out of the total quantity of titles of corporate bonds, included in trading list of KASE) In April the turnover of the market increased on the background of absence of trade activity on KASE market of shares. Assets surged back the segment of share securities in the whole and in particular from bank's shares, because of increased risks on bank sector of Kazakhstan (detailed information see ANALYSIS: Exchange turnover of KASE share market decreased sharply, notwithstanding favorable situation on foreign markets in April 2008) permanently shifted to investment in share securities. However the look at dynamic of turnover of corporate bonds market since year beginning showed that April reviving bears temporary character and indicated segment of the market is still unattractive for investors. The deals had market character; the stack of "inner" deals is small enough to influence the result of the month. At that, as in March it is difficult to determine obvious leader among debt instruments, traded on KASE in April. The price background of the corporate bonds market looked as follows: of 82 denominations of the bonds, involved in deals on the secondary market, debt instruments of 63 denominations were traded with discount, 17 - with premium, 2 - at face value. The bonds KZIKb8looked most re-purchased, their weighted average net price made 120.4 %. Bonds ASFIb11 looked the most re-sold (63.0%). We remind that in April, deals were conducted with bonds of 87 denominations, debt instruments of 76 denominations were traded with discount, 9 - with premium, 1 - at face value. The bonds CCBNb3looked the most re-purchased, their weighted average price made 111.6 %. Bonds ASBNb1 that were traded at 73.2%, looked the most re-sold In April the weighted average net price of corporate bonds at the secondary market decreased to 93.5% from 93.9% in March, 2008. During the month the yield to maturity on concluded deals increased for 45 corporate bonds (in March - 55 denominations), and decreased for 30 (19), corporate bonds. There was nothing to compare with the yield of four instruments. Tables, which additionally characterize the exchange market of corporate bonds in April, are given below. Change of lists of corporate bonds, traded on KASE, in April 2008 --------------------------------------------------------- Bonds: Issuers: Category of ------------- Instruments ------------- admission number trend number trend number trend ------------ ------ ----- ------ ----- ------ ----- A 206 0 206 0 65 +1 B 30 0 30 0 30 0 ------------ ------ ----- ------ ----- ------ ----- A+B 236 0 236 0 95 +1 ------------ ------ ----- ------ ----- ------ ----- C (STF RFCA) 59 +4 59 +4 24 +3 A+B+C 236 0 295 +4 99 +3 --------------------------------------------------------- Notes: "A", "B" - categories of the official list of KASE; "C" - category of the official list of STF RFCA in connection with launch of STF RFCA for the security (bond) of one denomination, two exchange instruments, differing with the code, with conditions of trades holding and payment making, can go with. Main indicators of KASE's corporate bond market in April 2008 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Market. value of Index Volume of Volume of debt, KASE_BY, Index Index deals, deals, Date USD m. % APR KASE_BP KASE_BC th. USD m. KZT -------- -------- -------- ------- ------- --------- --------- 31.03.08 11,978.6 9.74 236.31 141.49 18,739.4 2,261.7 01.04.08 11,982.9 9.79 235.96 141.32 3,267.1 394.0 02.04.08 11,991.9 9.81 237.05 142.11 5,021.6 605.6 03.04.08 11,998.1 9.82 239.75 144.06 5,064.2 610.1 04.04.08 12,012.1 9.83 240.00 144.19 7,210.0 869.6 07.04.08 12,014.5 9.83 241.65 145.26 5,811.0 700.6 08.04.08 12,015.3 9.70 241.54 145.09 15,495.0 1,867.9 09.04.08 12,015.0 9.68 243.04 146.08 524.0 63.2 10.04.08 12,091.6 9.85 242.24 145.29 500.1 60.3 11.04.08 12,092.1 9.85 242.28 145.25 24,159.8 2,911.7 14.04.08 12,096.0 9.93 242.44 145.27 9,274.3 1,117.0 15.04.08 12,186.7 9.99 244.92 147.11 3,925.7 472.3 16.04.08 12,189.7 10.01 244.05 146.39 2,880.0 346.4 17.04.08 12,217.8 9.92 244.16 146.43 6,079.2 732.2 18.04.08 12,211.9 9.92 246.12 147.86 1,947.2 234.8 21.04.08 12,198.6 9.87 245.87 147.53 10,479.4 1,263.2 22.04.08 12,203.1 10.31 244.75 146.71 1,871.1 225.4 23.04.08 12,166.0 10.33 245.25 147.07 49,900.4 6,006.0 24.04.08 12,162.1 10.13 246.39 147.79 22,126.8 2,665.0 25.04.08 12,159.6 10.12 246.38 147.79 323.2 38.9 28.04.08 12,187.2 10.13 246.12 147.51 2,671.8 322.0 29.04.08 12,193.6 10.13 247.87 148.69 6,967.3 838.8 30.04.08 12,194.1 10.14 247.08 148.16 3,172.1 381.9 -------- -------- -------- ------- ------- --------- --------- Trend +215.5 +0.4 +10.8 +6.7 % +1.8 +4.0 +4.6 +4.7 -------------------------------------------------------------------- Summary data on the results of bond trades on KASE in April 2008 (purchase and sale, including offerings, without consideration of nego deals) ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Yield to maturity for purchaser, % APR: ------------------------------------------------ For Code of At a last deal: last 365 days: Volume of bond ---------------- -------------- deals, Number on KASE min. max. yield Trend, % min. max. th. USD Of deals -------- ------ ------ ------ -------- ------ ------ --------- -------- aBTTRb1 18.39 18.39 18.39 +0.7 9.08 18.39 2 601.2 1 -------- ------ ------ ------ -------- ------ ------ --------- -------- aCCBNb14 16.00 16.00 16.00 +3.0 11.00 16.00 12.1 1 -------- ------ ------ ------ -------- ------ ------ --------- -------- AGKKb1 9.00 9.00 9.00 -5.0 8.98 14.00 741.7 3 -------- ------ ------ ------ -------- ------ ------ --------- -------- ALBNb2 12.00 12.00 12.00 12.00 12.00 579.9 1 -------- ------ ------ ------ -------- ------ ------ --------- -------- aMAG_b1 12.00 12.00 12.00 -0.1 11.85 12.26 415.3 1 -------- ------ ------ ------ -------- ------ ------ --------- -------- ASAVb1 15.00 15.00 15.00 15.00 15.00 249.9 2 -------- ------ ------ ------ -------- ------ ------ --------- -------- ASAVb2 12.00 15.00 12.00 9.00 15.00 399.3 3 -------- ------ ------ ------ -------- ------ ------ --------- -------- ASBNb1 27.90 31.75 27.90 -2.3 10.01 111.04 1 310.4 5 -------- ------ ------ ------ -------- ------ ------ --------- -------- ASBNb4 469.74 469.74 469.74 8.50 469.74 1 126.3 1 -------- ------ ------ ------ -------- ------ ------ --------- -------- ASBNb5 13.20 15.00 15.00 +3.5 8.50 15.00 35.7 2 -------- ------ ------ ------ -------- ------ ------ --------- -------- ASBNb7 6.50 8.50 6.50 6.50 11.00 3 542.9 3 -------- ------ ------ ------ -------- ------ ------ --------- -------- ASBNb8 18.00 18.00 18.00 9.00 18.00 9 630.7 1 -------- ------ ------ ------ -------- ------ ------ --------- -------- ASELb1 13.01 13.01 13.01 -0.03 13.00 13.04 13.6 1 -------- ------ ------ ------ -------- ------ ------ --------- -------- ASFIb11 15.50 15.50 15.50 13.00 15.50 4 148.9 1 -------- ------ ------ ------ -------- ------ ------ --------- -------- ASFIb3 9.00 9.00 9.00 -2.0 6.00 11.93 42.1 1 -------- ------ ------ ------ -------- ------ ------ --------- -------- ASFIb4 16.00 16.00 16.00 9.48 16.00 4 071.0 1 -------- ------ ------ ------ -------- ------ ------ --------- -------- ASFIb5 12.50 14.50 14.30 -0.2 9.45 15.50 1 807.0 5 -------- ------ ------ ------ -------- ------ ------ --------- -------- ASFIb6 13.00 15.00 14.98 10.00 15.50 378.5 6 ASFIb7 12.22 17.52 15.00 0 9.70 17.52 36 674.0 23 ATFBb3 12.48 13.50 13.50 +0.5 6.70 13.50 4 843.9 5 ATFBb4 14.50 15.00 14.50 +1.5 7.00 15.00 1 729.8 4 BTAIb1 12.00 14.00 14.00 +0.5 7.10 14.00 36.4 2 BTAIb4 15.50 17.50 16.41 -0.61 8.80 106.15 620.4 6 BTAIb8 15.01 15.01 15.01 10.50 15.01 7 201.9 2 BTASb1 15.00 16.00 15.00 -3.0 9.00 27.33 59.3 3 BTASb4 16.00 16.50 16.00 0 9.10 47.47 199.0 6 BTASb5 6.50 6.50 6.50 6.50 8.50 129.9 1 BTASb7 7.60 8.60 8.60 +1.0 6.73 13.50 5 487.7 4 BTTRb1 17.50 19.20 17.50 -0.5 6.99 19.20 5 238.0 13 CACMb1 13.00 13.50 13.50 +1.0 9.75 13.50 274.7 4 CCBNb14 10.00 16.00 16.00 0 7.50 16.00 43.0 3 CCBNb2 14.00 14.00 14.00 -2.0 10.00 106.23 36.3 3 CCBNb3 13.00 17.35 13.00 0 8.58 17.35 161.1 5 CCBNb4 9.78 9.78 9.78 -5.1 7.50 14.88 68.3 1 CCBNb7 12.00 16.30 12.00 7.50 16.30 3 454.2 9 CCBNb8 9.66 9.66 9.66 9.66 10.45 52.7 1 CSBNb6 9.40 11.75 11.75 +0.5 9.11 13.25 16 606.9 12 DNTLb1 12.00 12.00 12.00 +0.04 11.96 12.30 172.1 1 DTJLb1 8.50 12.00 8.50 -2.5 7.00 12.00 156.4 10 EUBNb3 12.00 15.00 13.06 -0.9 9.00 15.00 348.7 4 EUBNb4 11.62 18.00 12.20 +3.2 9.00 18.00 1 123.5 7 EXBNb1 13.04 22.00 22.00 +11.6 9.11 22.00 631.4 20 EXBNb2 12.00 20.00 20.00 12.00 21.00 222.8 14 FRMPb1 8.27 8.27 8.27 8.27 8.27 24 956.2 5 GLOTb2 13.00 15.00 13.00 +6.0 7.00 15.00 517.7 4 HSBKb11 7.50 7.50 7.50 -1.0 7.50 8.50 155.5 1 HSBKb8 10.00 10.00 10.00 +0.3 7.70 12.00 1 081.0 1 HSBKb9 7.72 13.50 11.00 -2.0 7.72 13.50 4 199.1 19 IKBKb1 16.00 25.00 16.00 16.00 25.00 451.0 3 JGOKb2 10.00 10.00 10.00 -0.5 9.50 12.00 3 248.4 1 KASTb2 10.00 12.00 10.00 0 9.99 12.00 734.4 3 KATRb1 11.97 16.00 16.00 10.83 16.00 290.8 4 KAZIb1 11.00 11.00 11.00 11.00 11.00 115.7 1 KAZIb2 10.50 12.50 12.50 0 10.30 13.50 178.0 2 KKAGb3 21.10 21.30 21.10 +1.6 10.00 21.30 109.0 3 KSMKb1 12.09 13.17 13.17 12.09 13.17 4 753.2 4 KZASb2 8.70 8.70 8.70 8.69 8.70 1 405.1 1 KZIKb10 12.90 12.90 12.90 5.50 12.90 17.2 1 KZIKb4 19.13 21.67 19.13 9.50 101.09 354.9 2 KZIKb5 14.05 15.65 14.05 +0.1 11.40 15.65 37.4 2 KZIKb8 10.50 12.00 12.00 7.00 12.70 49.0 2 KZNHb2 16.00 16.00 16.00 11.20 16.00 16.5 1 LOGCb1 10.30 10.30 10.30 10.30 10.30 8.3 1 MREKb2 14.00 14.00 14.00 -2.0 9.05 16.00 18.4 1 MREKb4 8.00 8.00 8.00 -1.0 8.00 9.45 274.7 1 MREKb5 14.00 14.00 14.00 13.00 14.00 1 812.5 2 NRBNb5 12.00 12.00 12.00 +3.6 5.80 13.00 359.5 2 NRBNb6 13.20 14.00 13.20 13.20 14.00 9 634.3 3 ORDBb2 12.50 12.50 12.50 -1.1 11.61 13.56 171.7 1 ORDKb1 11.99 14.00 13.46 +1.5 11.99 15.00 403.5 7 ORNKb1 12.00 26.85 19.85 -3.4 6.35 26.85 812.4 32 TEBNb12 13.00 13.00 13.00 8.50 13.00 94.0 1 TEBNb16 8.50 8.50 8.50 7.99 12.00 173.9 8 TEBNb2 11.00 13.00 13.00 +2.0 6.00 17.00 66.2 3 TEBNb3 14.00 14.00 14.00 9.00 14.02 124.7 1 TEBNb5 11.00 13.50 11.00 9.00 13.50 4 190.4 6 TSBNb4 15.99 17.00 17.00 +1.0 8.50 17.00 5 881.1 6 TSBNb5 13.90 13.99 13.99 +1.0 10.00 13.99 2 146.4 2 TXBNb2 12.00 12.75 12.20 +0.7 8.76 13.50 2 458.8 10 VITAb4 14.40 28.00 28.00 +4.5 10.00 29.00 221.3 9 VITAb5 12.10 23.00 23.00 +6.0 9.50 28.00 292.6 8 -------- ------ ------ ------ -------- ------ ------ --------- -------- 81 188,493.5 366 ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Comments: Securities were sorted in alphabetical order according to codes of bonds. Trends are given in percentage points (1pp = 100 basis points) relative to the last deal of previous month - March 2007. In the code of bond by the number is noted the number of bonds' issue. In case of number absence (old quotation) is meant the first emission. The full list of codes of issuers is available at http://www.kase.kz/instruments/nzb_code.htm. [2008-05-15]