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Market and Company News
04.05.2007 20:52

U.S. dollar market of Kazakhstan: day results

/IRBIS, Sergey Yakovlev, Andrey Tsalyuk, May 4, 07/ - Following is the table of major indicators of Kazakhstan market of U.S. dollar on day results. The rate is given in tenge per dollar, volume - th. USD. Trends are shown relative to corresponding figures of previous trading day.

Results of trades on Kazakhstan stock exchange (KASE)

-------------------------------------------------------------------------
Instrument                       USD TOD          USD TOD         USD TOM
KASE's session                   Morning              Day         Evening
Time                     10:15-11:00 ALT      11:30-15:30     14:00-17:00
                        ----------------  ---------------  --------------
Indicator                 value    trend   value    trend   value   trend
----------------------  -------  -------  ------  -------  ------  ------
Opening rate             120.00    +0.20  119.30    -0.42  119.25   -0.91
----------------------  -------  -------  ------  -------  ------  ------
Maximum rate             120.00    -0.30  119.30    -0.50  119.25   -0.93
Volume on max. price          5        0    1000     +950     500    -500
----------------------  -------  -------  ------  -------  ------  ------
Minimum rate             119.00    -0.50  119.11    -0.44  119.14   -0.40
Volume on min. price          5        0      50     -950    1000   -1000
----------------------  -------  -------  ------  -------  ------  ------
Closing rate             119.11    -0.65  119.21    -0.39  119.17   -0.37
Weight. aver. rate       119.28    -0.59  119.22    -0.50  119.17   -0.56
Session volume (gross)   222680  +160860   72365   -24685   20500  -28000
Session net-turnover    165 815  +127315   55360   +26710   10500   +3000
Number of deals             121       -6      82      +26      14      +2
Number of participants       17       +1      20       +2       9      +4
----------------------  -------  -------  ------  -------  ------  ------
Day gross-turnover*                       295045  +136175   20500  -28000
Day net-turnover*                         209450  +151550   20500   +3000
----------------------  -------  -------  ------  -------  ------  ------
Best bid**               119.10    -0.66  119.21    -0.34  119.00   -0.50
Best ask**               119.14    -0.63  119.23    -0.37  119.22   -0.35
----------------------  -------  -------  ------  -------  ------  ------
REUTERS Bid**            119.18    -0.51  119.14    -0.41  119.06   -0.49
REUTERS Ask**            119.23    -0.56  119.19    -0.41  119.13   -0.47
-------------------------------------------------------------------------
* resulting net-position on each instrument

** at closing of the session on KASE, out of stock exchange - by the data of REUTERS

Table of price levels of trade in US dollar on KASE on TOD terms

-------------------------------------------------------------------
                                              TOTAL BY DAY RESULTS:
               Morning         United  ----------------------------
              session:       session:                   time (ALT):
Price   --------------  -------------                  ------------
level    volume  deals  volume  deals   volume  deals   from     to
------  -------  -----  ------  -----  -------  -----  -----  -----
120.00        5      1                       5      1  10:15  10:15
119.50        5      1                       5      1  10:15  10:15
119.35    1,010      2                   1,010      2  10:28  10:28
119.34       10      1                      10      1  10:28  10:28
119.32    2,020      4                   2,020      4  10:28  10:28
119.31    1,000      1                   1,000      1  10:28  10:28
119.30  151,630     45   1,000      1  152,630     46  10:27  11:31
119.29    1,000      1                   1,000      1  10:27  10:27
119.28    1,350      3                   1,350      3  10:27  10:34
119.27    1,000      1                   1,000      1  10:27  10:27
119.26      600      2                     600      2  10:34  10:34
119.25   26,050      7     925      4   26,975     11  10:27  15:18
119.24    5,500      4   3,055      8    8,555     12  10:37  15:19
119.23    7,000      4  45,750     15   52,750     19  10:27  15:27
119.22       50      1   4,055     10    4,105     11  10:23  15:27
119.21    1,050      2   2,330      4    3,380      6  10:23  15:28
119.20   13,250     14     550      3   13,800     17  10:23  15:05
119.19                     550      2      550      2  14:05  15:05
119.18    5,600      8   4,600     12   10,200     20  10:24  13:55
119.17       55      1     500      1      555      2  10:25  13:45
119.16      840      7   2,500      3    3,340     10  10:26  13:41
119.15    2,250      5   3,500      6    5,750     11  10:48  12:54
119.14                   1,450      5    1,450      5  11:42  12:43
119.13                      50      1       50      1  12:43  12:43
119.12      700      2   1,500      6    2,200      8  10:52  12:43
119.11      700      3      50      1      750      4  10:53  12:43
119.00        5      1                       5      1  10:15  10:15
------  -------  -----  ------  -----  -------  -----  -----  -----
TOTAL   222,680    121  72,365     82  295,045    203  10:15  15:28
-------------------------------------------------------------------

Parameters of unsatisfied demand and supply of second tier banks in KASE' trade system for the last 5 days (total of valid bids by the time of morning and day trades closing, th. USD)

---------------------------------------------------------------------
Indicator   Apr. 27, 07  Apr. 30, 07  May 2, 07  May 3, 07  May 4, 07
----------  -----------  -----------  ---------  ---------  ---------
Ask             103,355       39,135     20,150     52,380    126,165
Bid              14,285       18,095     25,950     41,410     12,170
----------  -----------  -----------  ---------  ---------  ---------
Difference      -89,070      -21,040     +5,800    -10,970   -113,995
---------------------------------------------------------------------
Day was dissimilar on conjuncture. The first half of it had passed in
expressed strengthening of tenge to dollar, which the National Bank had to
damp actively. Its actions had forced the speculatively mood traders to turn
the market, which on the day session had worked the correctional recoil of
dollar rate upward. The relative stabilization of prices was reached on the
closing of exchange between rates 119.20 and 119.25.

Disposition of STB on exchange was characterized by small quantitative priority of net-buyers. However in the camp of net-sellers today were working all actual market-makers, volume of supply of which had provided the decrease of dollar rate.

It is notable that relation of gross- to net-turnover today was very low - 1.41. By opinion of analysts of IRBIS it shows the strength of the noted short-term trend.

In the beginning of the next week the analysts of IRBIS are expecting the further development of the main tendency. However the decrease of dollar arte should not be significant. The amount of tenge, planned by National bank to convertation in May is very high - KZT142.5 bn. The need of convertation of such big amount of tenge into USD almost without any "inflation consequences" is able to stop the decrease of dollar on the local market, if of course National bank will be interested in such development of events.

[2007-05-04]