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Market and Company News
09.01.2007 20:42

U.S. dollar market of Kazakhstan: day results

/IRBIS, Sergey Yakovlev, Andrey Tsalyuk, January 9, 07/ - Following is the table of major indicators of Kazakhstan market of U.S. dollar on day results. The rate is given in tenge per dollar, volume - th. USD. Trends are shown relative to corresponding figures of previous trading day.

Results of trades on Kazakhstan stock exchange (KASE)

-----------------------------------------------------------------
Instrument                     USD TOD      USD TOD       USD TOM
KASE's session                 Morning          Day       Evening
Time                   10:15-11:00 ALT  11:30-15:30   14:00-17:00
                       --------------- ------------ -------------
Indicator                value   trend value  trend   value trend
---------------------- ------- ------- ----- ------ ------- -----
Opening rate            125.80   -0.70       125.40   -0.16
---------------------- ------- ------- ----- ------ ------- -----
Maximum rate            125.80   -0.70       125.48   -0.08
Volume on max. price         5       0         2500   +1500
---------------------- ------- ------- ----- ------ ------- -----
Minimum rate            125.00   -0.62       125.35   +0.17
Volume on min. price         5  -11495          500    -500
---------------------- ------- ------- ----- ------ ------- -----
Closing rate            125.42   -0.22       125.36   +0.03
Weight. aver. rate      125.45   -0.31       125.40   +0.03
Session volume (gross)  360365 +270720        66710   +9660
Session net-turnover   278 050 +245350        53105  +15305
Number of deals            213    +111           59      -5
Number of participants      19      +3           18      +1
---------------------- ------- ------- ----- ------ ------- -----
Day gross-turnover*                          427375 +279680
Day net-turnover*                            287150 +221795
---------------------- ------- ------- ----- ------ ------- -----
Best bid*               125.42   -0.19       125.35   +0.05
Best ask*               125.43   -0.21       125.36   +0.03
---------------------- ------- ------- ----- ------ ------- -----
REUTERS Bid*            125.39   -0.21       125.35   +0.11
REUTERS Ask*            125.43   -0.24       125.39   +0.09
-----------------------------------------------------------------
* resulting net-position on each instrument
** at closing of the session on KASE, out of stock exchange - by the data of
REUTERS

Table of price levels of trade in US dollar on KASE on TOD terms

-----------------------------------------------------------
                                      TOTAL BY DAY RESULTS:
             Morning       United -------------------------
            session:     session:               time (ALT):
Price  ------------- ------------               -----------
level   volume deals volume deals  volume deals  from    to
------ ------- ----- ------ ----- ------- ----- ----- -----
125.80       5     1                   5     1 10:15 10:15
125.50  18,600    17              18,600    17 10:21 10:23
125.48   5,050     5  2500     2   7,550     7 10:21 14:04
125.47   2,500     4   500     1   3,000     5 10:21 14:04
125.46 178,230    66             178,230    66 10:18 10:36
125.45 126,665    70  3700     5 130,365    75 10:18 14:19
125.44   4,200     8               4,200     8 10:18 10:47
125.43   3,100     3  1200     3   4,300     6 10:48 14:29
125.42   3,200     6  6300    11   9,500    17 10:49 14:30
125.41   3,000     3  1600     3   4,600     6 10:18 14:38
125.40  12,300    14 23200     8  35,500    22 10:18 15:24
125.39   1,000     2  1600     4   2,600     6 10:18 15:25
125.38     555     4 19600     7  20,155    11 10:17 15:26
125.37                3205     8   3,205     8 11:40 14:57
125.36                2805     6   2,805     6 14:51 15:29
125.35   1,700     5   500     1   2,200     6 10:17 11:40
125.30     200     2                 200     2 10:17 10:17
125.25      50     1                  50     1 10:16 10:16
125.20       5     1                   5     1 10:16 10:16
125.00       5     1                   5     1 10:16 10:16
------ ------- ----- ----- ----- ------- ----- ----- -----
TOTAL  360 365   213 66710    59 427 075   272 10:15 15:29
----------------------------------------------------------

Parameters of unsatisfied demand and supply of second tier banks in KASE' trade system for the last 5 days (total of valid bids by the time of morning and day trades closing, th. USD)

-----------------------------------------------------------------
Indicator  Jan. 3, 06 Jan. 4, 06 Jan. 5, 06 Jan. 8, 06 Jan. 9, 06
---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ----------
Offer         105,500    129,100    112,780     58,545     42,000
Bid            20,795     12,715     55,800     25,600     45,950
---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ---------- ----------
Difference    -84,705   -116,385    -56,980    -32,945     +3,950
-----------------------------------------------------------------

As it was supposed, the day trades did not influence upon the current conjuncture of the market. Trades passed smoothly and only it was remarkable with the fact that STB independently kept the price range of the morning session, having displayed the equal footing of USD demand and offering. Reasons for such behavior of banks come into view in the tough support of the morning market by the National bank and, as a result, some traders were willing to recoup themselves within short positions in the afternoon.

Nevertheless, reasoning from dispositions of banks on KASE by day results, the market conjuncture seems to be stable, it tends to further tenge strengthening, tomorrow traders, more likely, will take an effort to pass through the stage 125.00. Whether they manage or not to break through this stage will depend on the position of the head bank on the market.

Results of the technical analysis previously forecast tenge strengthening to marked stages, however, it is impossible to exclude short-term dollar rate's growth within frameworks of the technical correction.

[2007-01-09]