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17.03.2006 11:08

U.S. dollar market of Kazakhstan: day results

/IRBIS, Sergey Yakovlev, Andrey Tsalyuk, March 17, 06/ - Following is the table of major indicators of Kazakhstan market of U.S. dollar by the day results. The rate is given in tenge per dollar, volume - th. USD. Trends are shown relative to corresponding figures of previous trading day.

Results of trades on Kazakhstan stock exchange (KASE)

---------------------------------------------------------------------
Instrument                      USD TOD        USD TOD        USD TOM
KASE's session                  Morning            Day        Evening
Time                    10:15-11:00 ALT    11:30-16:00    14:00-18:00
                        ---------------  -------------  -------------
Indicator                value    trend   value  trend   value  trend
----------------------  ------  -------  ------  -----  ------  -----
Opening rate            128.20    +0.20  127.95  -0.34       -      -
----------------------  ------  -------  ------  -----  ------  -----
Maximum rate            128.20    -0.20  127.97  -0.34       -      -
Volume on max. Price        55      +50     800   +200       0      0
----------------------  ------  -------  ------  -----  ------  -----
Minimum rate            127.70    -0.30  127.84  -0.36       -      -
volume on min. Price         5        0    1500  -3900       0      0
----------------------  ------  -------  ------  -----  ------  -----
Closing rate            127.95    -0.35  127.84  -0.39       -      -
Weight. aver. rate      128.00    -0.30  127.91  -0.33       -      -
Volume of the session   335020  +111155   18400  -3000       0      0
Number of deals            131       +6      56    -12       0      0
Number of participants      18        0      17      0       0      0
----------------------  ------  -------  ------  -----  ------  -----
Best bid*               127.95    -0.33  127.84  -0.38       -      -
Best ask*               127.98    -0.32  127.88  -0.36       -      -
----------------------  ------  -------  ------  -----  ------  -----
REUTERS Bid*            127.89    -0.31  127.83  -0.33  127.74  -0.43
REUTERS Ask*            127.94    -0.32  127.86  -0.35  127.77  -0.43
---------------------------------------------------------------------
* at closing of the session on KASE. out of stock exchange - by
  the data of REUTERS

Table of price levels of trading in US dollar on KASE on TOD terms

------------------------------------------------------------------
                                       Total by results of the day:
              Morning            Day   ----------------------------
             session:       session:                   time (ALT):
Price   -------------  -------------                  ------------
level   volume  deals  volume  deals   volume  deals   from     to
------  ------  -----  ------  -----  -------  -----  -----  -----
128.20      55      2                      55      2  10:15  10:27
128.13     500      1                     500      1  10:32  10:32
128.10    1500      3                    1500      3  10:31  10:31
128.08    2700      2                    2700      2  10:31  10:31
128.06    1000      2                    1000      2  10:31  10:31
128.05    5700     11                    5700     11  10:27  10:38
128.04    2800      6                    2800      6  10:31  10:39
128.03    3200      8                    3200      8  10:28  10:39
128.02    2700      6                    2700      6  10:27  10:40
128.01    2950      8                    2950      8  10:15  10:44
128.00  307265     60                  307265     60  10:15  10:45
127.99    2700      6                    2700      6  10:24  10:53
127.98     540      6                     540      6  10:20  10:57
127.97     400      3     800      3     1200      6  10:57  12:31
127.96                    300      3      300      3  12:31  12:38
127.95    1000      5     600      4     1600      9  10:59  13:42
127.94                   1090      7     1090      7  11:53  13:42
127.93                    910      7      910      7  12:00  13:42
127.92                   1600      4     1600      4  12:02  13:43
127.91                   4100     10     4100     10  12:02  14:18
127.90                   5000     14     5000     14  12:02  14:22
127.89                   2000      1     2000      1  13:43  13:43
127.88                    500      1      500      1  15:06  15:06
127.84                   1500      2     1500      2  15:29  15:29
127.80       5      1                       5      1  10:15  10:15
127.70       5      1                       5      1  10:16  10:16
------  ------  -----  ------  -----           -----  -----  -----
TOTAL   335020    131   18400     56   353420    187  10:15  15:29
------------------------------------------------------------------

Parameters of unsatisfied demand and supply of second tier banks in KASE' trade system for the last 5 days (total of valid bids by the time of morning and day trades closing. th. USD)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Indicator   March 13. 06  March 14. 06  March 15. 06  March 16. 06  March 16. 06
----------  ------------  ------------  ------------  ------------  ------------
Offer             16,000        28,995        29,005        22,750        40,060
Bid               12,300         4,300         4,700         7,200         6,040
----------  ------------  ------------  ------------  ------------  ------------
Difference        -3,700       -24,695       -24,305       -15,550       -34,020
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

There is practically nothing to add to the morning comment of IRBIS. By the results of the day the market unambiguously looks down.

In the opinion of IRBIS specialists, the market in March entered the phase, when drop of dollar mostly supports not action of fundamental factors, but speculative movements of traders and excitement of their clients. Today, owing to historical record volume of trades with dollar in KASE, this became especially evident.

In the opinion of IRBIS, further fate of the market is fully in hands of the National Bank. Judging by floatation of its notes today, the country's head bank has already started to undertake active steps on sterilization of excess tenge mass, occurring in process of excited sales of USD in KASE. However tough, firm support in the market of dollar from the National Bank currency traders while has not felt. Head bank as usual works only for smoothing of fluctuations of stock exchange rate, allowing tenge to strengthen to dollar with high, but constant speed. In March this speed by estimation of IRBIS specialists while is 38% APR.

[2006-03-17]